Back to our Jeep metaphor: the HAWKS are a like a really motivated and clever team that keeps street-racing in a 2008 Jeep Grand Cherokee. At most tiers (Qualifiers, D, C, B), your Jeep can win against sports cars and race cars because your drivers are well-trained, you've modded the hell out of the Jeep, and you're incredibly consistent in your pit crew, performance, and all those intangibles. Your Jeep can win against even the uncommon Ferrari or rare Bugatti that competes in those tiers.

In Division A, though, you're up against not just world-class street racer cars but ones that have also been modded, are also consistent, and on top of all that have the raw build and design to just demolish you on paper. They've got such a lead over you that they can even afford to mess up a little and still pick up the slack.

At some point you just have to confront that you are driving only a Jeep, in a race against Hennesseys.

Lets fight is better than half the people playing in Div A imo! Not at Warzone maybe... but you know just as a person...

A true story

Where exactly is my Hennessey

Division A
1. HAWKS
2. FCC
3. ONE!
4. SNinja
5. Masters
6.Python
7. |GG|

Division B
1. Blitz
2. VIW
3. Lu Fredd
4. M’Hunters
5. WG
6. French Communtiy
7. 101st

Division C
1. TSFH
2. Discovery
3. Statisticians
4. BIA
5. Polish Eagles
6. CORO
7. TLA


Division D
1. Vikinger
2. Varangian Guard
3. Hodopian Dynasty
4. TBA
5. IL LABORATORIO
6. USSR
7. Saber-Rattlers

Edited 3/2/2021 14:06:56

My prediction is that covid will destroy the society before the results are known.

Some people predicted on Farah's stream:
Tjoex
1. MASTER
2. SNinja
3. Python
4. ONE!
5. FCC
6. HAWKS
7. GG

Farah
1. MASTER
2. Python
3. ONE!
4. SNinja
5. FCC
6. GG
7. HAWKS

My Quick Prediction (don't feel like filling everything out individually at the moment):

Division A (Prove me wrong HAWKS!!!)
1. Python
2. Masters
3. ONE!
4. SNinja
5. FCC
6. HAWKS
7. |GG|

Division B (2 and 3 could go either way, however I figured I'd give the edge to the Frenchie's just because)
1. WG
2. French Community
3. MHunters
4. Lu Fredd
5. 101st
6. Blitz
7. VIW

Division C (I didn't really feel to strongly about this division, all I know is that CORP always chokes)
1. TSFH
2. Polish Eagles
3. CORP
4. Statisticians
5. TLA
6. Discovery
7. BIA


Division D (IDK)
1. Vikinger
2. Varangian Guard
3. Hodopian Dynasty
4. TBA
5. Saber-Rattlers
6. IL LABORATORIO
7. USSR

Edited 3/1/2021 01:03:07

Division S
1. Fahrenheit
2. Super Cute Marshmallow Gum Drop Warriors
2. Dark Lords
4. The DeVitos
5. yolo swag yoyoyo

lol

My prediction only A and B (i have no idea of C and D)

Division A
1. Python
2. Masters
3. SNinja
4. ONE
5. FCC
6. |GG|
7. HAWKS

Division B
1. French Community
2. MHunters
3. WG
4. 101st
5. Lu Fredd
6. Blitz
7. VIW

LOL fking knyte...

Also, GO HAWKS!!!

Just predicting C to balance out the silly TFSH boys who are putting us last:

1. CORP
2. Polish Eagles
3. The Last Alliance
4. Two Steps From Hell
5. Discovery
6. Brothers in Arms
7. Statisticians

Loxiiv, thank you for your support.

i'll be cheering for you every step of the way

Division A

Contenders:
1. Python (WOOOOO!!!)
2. Masters
3. ONE
4. SNinja

Safe:
5. FCC

Relegating:
6. |GG|
7. HAWKS

Division B

Promotion battle:
1. Blitz (#IBelieve)
2. MHunters
3. WG

Little chance of promoting or relegating:
4. French Community
5. 101st

Relegating:
6. Lu Fredd
7. VIW

We've got 27 predictions so far (23 for A, 16 each for B and C, and 12 for D). The crowd is pretty sure about A & D and much less sure about B & C. Below are the current consensus predictions for each Division, with predictions taken at face value, with the visualizations from https://bit.ly/cl14-predictions. Any outcome that crosses one of the lines below (e.g., Python not making it on the podium) should be considered an upset, and outcomes that cross thicker lines (e.g., HAWKS placing 4th) major upsets.

This is all aggregated mainly for posterity, so that future Clan League archivists can look at one post to gauge how people thought CL 14 would go. Then they can laugh at us for getting it so wrong.

Division A

Contenders: MASTER vs. ONE! vs. Python / SNinja
MASTER, ONE!, and Python are competing for the podium and will most likely split it among themselves. The crowd is very sure MASTER will finish somewhere around 2nd place and every prediction but Ocean's has them finishing on the podium. They're least certain about Python, which is more of a wildcard: they have the most first-place predictions but also 7 non-podium predictions.

SNinja is right behind these 3 contenders, with an outside chance of making it on the podium.

Underdogs: FCC / HAWKS vs. GG
There's a big separation in expectations after SNinja, with FCC in a league of its own. 15 people have predicted FCC to finish 5th in A: that's more than any other clan for any other position in CL 14.

With another big drop, HAWKS and GG are in a battle for 6th.

Division B

Contenders: French vs. M'Hunters vs. WG
The top of B is a 3-horse race between the French Community, M'Hunters, and WG, with FC and M'Hunters seen as the favorites to promote.

Underdogs: Lu Fredd / 101st vs. Blitz / VIW
The lower half of B has a lot more division to it: Lu Fredd is separated from above and below and, of anything in B, the crowd is most sure that Lu Fredd will finish somewhere around 4th. Just a half-step below are 101st and Blitz fighting a relegation battle, with Blitz seen as more of a wild card.

At the very bottom is VIW, another half-step below Blitz and mainly predicted to place 7th.

Division C

Contenders: TSFH / CORP / Statisticians vs. Polish Eagles vs. Discovery
The top of C is not super-exciting, with some separation between TSFH and CORP. There's a lot of variance in predictions for this division, though, so we may get a real nail-biter battle for first or promotion.

Right below CORP is where the most likely excitement happens: Statisticians, Polish Eagles, and Discovery are relative wild cards that the crowd doesn't know how to sort; the crowd is especially unsure about Polish Eagles. Could one of these 3 displace CORP/TSFH from promotion? Could this group steal both promotion slots? C is a wild card and should be exciting to watch!

Underdogs: TLA vs. BIA
In a sad pit at the bottom of C, we find TLA and BIA, both of whom the crowd expects to relegate and puts far behind the contenders. Both clans have something to prove, though! Can either stave off relegation? TLA is a wild card- in fact, BIA is the only real non-wild-card in the division. Division C has the most confused predictions of any division.

Division D

Contenders: Vikinger / Varangian Guard
We return back from the excitement of B and C to find the division that the crowd is most sure about. Almost every prediction has Vikinger taking first and Varangian Guard second. Simple as.

Underdogs: The Boiz Army vs. Hodopian Dynasty
A big step below the promotion battle, we find The Boiz Army- who debuted last season- competing against this season's exciting new debut, the Hodopian Dynasty, for 3rd place. The crowd considers both evenly matched but is predictably less sure about Hodopian Dynasty and gives The Boiz Army a slight benefit of the doubt.

Double Underdogs: Saber-Rattlers vs. USSR / IL LABORATORIO
Take another big step and you find the bottom of Division D, the only division the crowd cleanly splits into 3. The Saber-Rattlers and long-considered-anemic USSR are locked into a battle for 5th, with the crowd giving Saber-Rattlers are a slight edge due to being more of a wild card.

Finally, take a last half-step down and you'll find the new, mysterious IL LABORATORIO. Weirdly enough for a debut, the crowd is very sure about them: all predictions have them in the bottom 3 spots.

Edited 3/3/2021 00:00:40

Nice to know we are a big underdog... At the very least, whatever we do won't be disappointing!!!

Thanks to Knight for the cool compellations. I'm moving on with my predictions for division B (hoepfully I get them all out before games finish.)

Promotion battle:

1. WG: Homer pick to be sure, but I think we're good for it. After 3 seasons in A and missing a 4th by less than one game, our lineup is battle tested and deep. The other two clans in this group will be a stiff challenge, but I like WG to rise to the top.

2. MH: Really hard to choose second place here I might as well flipped a coin. Gave it to MH because I think their B performance two seasons ago deserves respect. Lineup looks strong across the board with a few standout slots.

3. FC: Very strong lineup here, and as alluded to earlier I think French Community is in the thick of the promotion battle. Rumor is after cruising through divisions D and C they are very motivated to promote from B.

Safe:

4. Lu Fredd: Lu Fredd has a lot of good players who play hard. It won't be enough to keep up with the clans above but they will score plenty and be safe from relegation.

Wild card:

5. Blitz: On paper this lineup could potentially compete for a promotion slot. On paper. Will triple H and MasterQb actually play? How rusty are they? Will Jeff and Farah try? If you stretch scenarios enough you can argue for Blitz getting anywhere from 1-7. My placement of Blitz here is a belief that they have enough good things going for them that they won't relegate, but I don't see these factors aligning for them to actually compete with the clans above.

Relegation battle:

6. 101st: Python merger seems to have actually made them worse as some top players jumped to Python. Some up and comers like Gakbobo give hope that they can finish better than this, but all the clans above them just seem to have more going for them.

7. VIW: VIW has some players that will win games, but just don't have the depth to survive in the division unless a clan above them collapses. 5th isn't out of the question, but hard to see them flying higher than that.

Division A
1.MASTER
2.ONE
3.PYTHON
4.SNINJA
5.FCC
6.HAWKS
7.GG

Division B
1.WG
2.MH
3.FC
4.LF
5.BLITZ
6.101st
7.VIW

Division C
1.CORP
2.TSFH
3.PE
4.DISC
5.TLA
6.STAT
7.BIA

Division D
1.VIKINGER
2.VG
3.USSR
4.THE BOIZ
5.HODOPIAN DYNASTY
6.SABER RATTLERS
7.LABORATORIO