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Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/26/2021 22:58:07


Aura Guardian 
Level 62
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Oh whatever ill throw a flyer for div a:

Contenders:

1. MASTER Clan
2. Python
3. ONE!
4. Sninja

Not a contender, but should be safe:

5. FCC

Relegates:

6. HAWKS
7. |GG|

@Phobos:

5. FCC: Beating out my own WG by less than a game last CL, FCC will find not relegating much easier this time. The lineup looks roughly the same with Ralph joining, but surprise standout ps-ews nowhere to be found. The relegation competition appears less stiff this go around.

ps-ews == photonic symmetry ... he changed his name.

-Aura

Edited 2/26/2021 23:03:33
- downvoted post by (deleted)
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/26/2021 23:21:04


Motoki 
Level 62
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Who I believe will win each tournament if there are no ties.

Division A

3v3 Europe: Python: Hades, Dom365, and Beep beep I'm a Jeep

3v3 Europa Magna: SNinja: max™, d-ceo, and Tof

2v2 Final Earth: SNinja: rakleader, and Hergul

2v2 Guiroma: Python: Bonsai, and Yaxvi

2v2 Landria Earth: Masters Clan: master of desaster, and Timinator • apex

1v1 Malvia: ONE!: Pardon

1v1 Strat ME: ONE!: Buns

1v1 Guiroma: Masters Clan: Timinator • apex

1v1 Biomes of America: Masters Clan: Rufus

1v1 French Brawl: Masters Clan: Rufus

1v1 Blitzkrieg Bork: SNinja: rakleader

Edited 2/26/2021 23:22:08
- downvoted post by Shrek
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/27/2021 04:18:48


Octane 
Level 65
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My Spreadsheet: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1iw2acasWG7taNAYn4nk9Ad21-aXtS76H/view?usp=sharing



Division A

1. ONE!      173
2. Masters   167
3. Python    146
4. SNinja    133
5. FCC       120
6. GG        69
7. HAWKS     32


Division B

1. WG         169
2. MH         146
3. FC         123
4. Lu Fredd   122
5. Blitz      107
6. 101st      101
7. VIW        80


Division C

1. TSFH            185
2. CORP            141
3. Discovery       135
4. TLA             125
5. Polish Eagles   112
6. Stats           101
7. BIA             41


Division D

1. Vikinger           196
2. VG                 166
3. Hodopian Dynasty   138
4. USSR               108
5. TBA                101
6. Saber-Rattlers     73
7. IL LABORATORIO     58


Edited 2/27/2021 04:43:08
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/27/2021 11:18:26


Norman 
Level 58
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Here my predictions based on how much I like the clans:

Division A
1. HAWKS --> goralgn + Vikinger + Phakh :)
2. MASTER Clan --> I cheated last season by studying their picks. Always copying from them.
3. ONE! --> If Masters not available I'm cheating off them
4. SNinja
5. |GG| --> Have lost their swag with Aranka gone
6. Python --> 50% success * 50% success = 25% success
7. FCC --> Always sore when losing

Division B
1. V.I.W. --> Lot's of players I have an awesome history with
2. French
3. Lu Fredd --> M'Hunters Italy. Always stealing our Italian players.
4. WG --> Grows by leeching from other clans
5. Blitz --> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lVmmYMwFj1I
6. 101st --> Will never make it into Python, but not joining a real clan
7. M'Hunters --> They have taken the real time RoR full distribution scene hostage. I'm too afraid to join those games nowadays.

Division C
1. TLA
2. Statisticians
3. Discovery
4. BIA
5. Polish Eagles
6. TSFH --> Darklords but without the style
7. CORP --> When I see CORP I think LAWLZ

Division D
1. Hodopian Dynasty --> RAFFLE log!!!!
2. Saber-Rattlers --> joeydavis761
3. Varangian Guard
4. USSR
5. IL LABORATORIO
6. Vikinger
7. The Boiz Army --> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4fndeDfaWCg

Edited 2/27/2021 11:20:53
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/27/2021 12:39:56


Beep Beep I'm A Jeep 
Level 64
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I could only be arsed to do Div A and I'm being ballsy, claiming simple maths 50% + 50% = 100%

1. Python
2. Masters
3. ONE
4. Sninja
5. FCC
6. GG
7. Hawks

https://drive.google.com/file/d/12Mv51klplJGK3-2FF8rQMEtvAARjgbut/view?usp=sharing

Edited 2/27/2021 13:23:06
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/27/2021 13:06:22


rakleader 
Level 65
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Division A:
1. SNinja
2. ONE
3. Masters
4. Python
5. FCC
6. GG
7. Hawks

Division B:
1. MH
2. FC
3. Lu Fredd
4. WG
5. Blitz
6. 101st
7. VIW
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/27/2021 13:23:12


(ง︡'-'︠)ง let's fight!! 
Level 62
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with 2 half glasses you may fill one, but you need to empty the other. in general you will remain with 50% of both glasses filled. Simple Maths
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/27/2021 13:29:08


Beep Beep I'm A Jeep 
Level 64
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yea that's pretty much why one clan of outlaws/lynx dropped out
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/27/2021 18:25:03


Nature
Level 61
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1. SNinja --> most consolidated line up filled with star power.
2. Master --> mod, timi and rufus, all 3 almost invincible
3. One --> strong line up, but will underperform
4. Python --> wont profit from the merge
5. GG --> my own clan
6. FCC --> if octane fails to deliver, they will relegate
7. HAWKS --> will have a hard time
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/27/2021 22:06:54


Kratt 
Level 61
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Division A
1. MASTER
2. ONE!
3. Python
4. SNinja
5. HAWKS
6. FCC
7. GG

Division B
1. FC
2. MH
3. WG
4. LF
5. 101st
6. VIW
7. Blitz

Division C
1. TSFH
2. PE
3. Stats
4. CORP
5. Disco
6. BIA
7. TLA

Division D
1. Vikinger
2. VG
3. TBA
4. THD
5. Sabers
6. IL LABORATORIO
7. USSR
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/28/2021 10:57:47


l4v.r0v 
Level 59
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We've got 19 predictions now (9-16 for each individual division) so I figured it's time to visualize them: http://bit.ly/cl14-predictions (will update periodically as more people predict). The darker the color, the more predictions have a clan finishing in a specific positions. So we can see which clans/positions the crowd feels more or less sure about, in which divisions. I also had it list the usernames of the predictors since those are nice to know, especially for outliers. Not all crowd-members are created equal!






Edited 2/28/2021 11:17:10
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/28/2021 11:20:19


dry-clean-only 
Level 63
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AI adding 50 to 50 and getting 100!

Then damn.. lets fight coming back at you with the old 50% + 50% = 50% argument :o

AI knocking it right back at him by removing a glass!
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/28/2021 11:31:37


(ง︡'-'︠)ง let's fight!! 
Level 62
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ye damn. what if the empty glass is Phyton? As Trappatoni said once former trainer of FC Bayern Munich "[Die Leistung] Ist wie Flasche leer" :D
("[the performance] Is like bottle empty")

PS: I dont really think Phyton is the empty bottle or glass. Only thinking what if.. I am just a noob coming from Division B. What do I know :)

Edited 2/28/2021 11:39:26
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/28/2021 11:39:22


l4v.r0v
Level 42
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This glass metaphor doesn't make any sense because the important thing is the variance within the original groups. A better metaphor would be Jeeps.

If you buy two old Jeeps that need repairs and you want to cobble them together into one good Jeep, it depends on how the originals are like, internally. If they need repairs because some parts in each Jeep work great while some other parts are totally broken, then you can probably salvage parts from each Jeep to create a new Jeep that's better than either original. But if both Jeeps are broken down because all (or most) of their parts are garbage, then you can't combine the two to assemble a better Jeep.

You just need one good Jeep. Were Outlaws/Lynx middling last season because all their players were middling? Or because some of their players were really good while others were middling and dragged the clans down? The merger could work really well if they combined complementary really good players, and I think that's what happened looking at their lineup.

PS: Unlike the noncommittal let's fight above, I do really think Python is a damn good Jeep.

Edited 2/28/2021 11:40:52
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/28/2021 11:42:08


(ง︡'-'︠)ง let's fight!! 
Level 62
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Beep Beep :D
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/28/2021 11:43:36


Onoma94
Level 61
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Biased and underinformed, but here it is:

Division A

1. Python
2. Master Clan
3. The One Clan
4. Stealth Ninja
5. Fifth Column Confederation
6. Good Gamers
7. Hawks

Division B

1. Monkey Hunters
2. French Community
3. WarGods
4. Lu Fredd
5. The 101st Airbourne Division
6. Very Important Weirdos
7. Blitz

Division C

1. Discovery
2. Coalition Of Rightist Parties
3. Two Steps From Hell
4. Statisticians
5. Polish Eagles
6. Brothers in Arms
7. The Last Alliance

Division D

1. Vikings
2. Varangian Guard
3. The Boiz Army
4. The Saber-Ratters
5. Hodopian Army
6. The Laboratory
7. Union of Soviet Socialist Republics

Edited 2/28/2021 11:44:08
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/28/2021 16:05:55


goralgn 
Level 60
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Why Do people think we will just bottom out of division A?

Even if we relegate I Think We can Give quite a fight (which i dont even think we will relegate)

GO HAWKS!

Edited 2/28/2021 16:06:39
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/28/2021 19:54:43


Ralph
Level 60
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Its not that people think HAWKS are bad, just that other clans in A are better. The difference between A and the rest of the divisions is that the players considered "good enough" to lead a team or finish decently in a 1v1 slot needs to be among the very best players on that template in order to have a chance.

In any other division being willing to learn, active and motivated are the main factors. In A its raw talent.

HAWKS seems to be a great clan, with a good community, but how many HAWKS-players would beat Buns, Rufus, Ai, Octane, Rakleader in a best of 3? Noone. And thats not even half the list: Fsg, xeno, timi, mod, meld, hergul, max, pardon, malakkan, jake, summer, plat, njord, wini and the list goes on and on. All these players are better than any HAWKS player. Moreover, these players tend to play what suits their strengths, which leaves HAWKS with next to nothing in comparison. Optimism and will to fight only gets you so far, but please prove us all wrong :) You might be more talented than we give you credit for, at least I hope so :)
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