LF Let's Prove Them Wrong

playing with the tail of a lion

if i were lf id just stick my head in the Lions mouth

all you can do. just do your best

I'll be there. will you be there?

Joey stop spamming. If you must post all that bluster, please do it in one post like a normal person.

Oh wow. Very tough..

Division A
Hmm.. I have no real experience with the level in A. (sure played some games on ladders and tournaments against A-players, but if all games were serious... questionable. Although noone admits to have played serious if he just lost ;) )

---

ONE! - I have to rely on previous predictions, since i cant really compare this clans yet. I believe they are strong and with their quantity of good players they can outmanouver others. that close defeat of last season will give extra motivation.

Masters
Masters. Yeah..! I hope you do good :) There is a skill gap between A and B for sure. But if you dont do good... I dont want to battle with you in relegation. xD

Ninja
When I think on SNinja I believe they are doing good lineups. Some players they field are meant to be not so strong. But then they give a good fight though, at least on that kind of template they are playing.

Python
Python is a mixture of 2 middle A clans of last season. What happens if you mix 2 middling clans?
is 50% and 50% -> 100% or
is 50% and 50% -> 50%

FCC
FCC might be in the middle of nowhere. Nothing to win and nothing to lose. Behind the top clans, but meant to be safe from relegation. Can be a dangerous mix.

Hawks
Meant to be the underdog. To be realistic the highest feeling would be to not relegate. To expect any greater is ridiculous. Seeing the lineups of the competing clans in A - my jaw drops. I hope for some surprises. We have shown that we can win games against GG. We have nothing to lose. And the motivation is high. We know about our situation. We will take this to learn, to improve and the hope is not gone that we may surprise. Would be nice to beat out GG.

GG
With us the underdog of this Division. Knowing the history of the last 4 or 5 CL seasons, GG might not really expects any other than a relegation. How big the motivation will be?

Edited 2/26/2021 15:45:06

Division A
1. ONE!
2. MASTER Clan
3. SNinja
4. Python
5. FCC
6. HAWKS
7. |GG|

Division B
1. M'Hunters
2. French
3. Lu Fredd
4. Blitz
5. WG
6. 101st
7. VIW

Division C:
1. Polish Eagles
2. CORP
3. TSFH
4. Statisticians
5. Discovery
6. BIA
7. TLA

Division D
1. Vikinger
2. Varangian Guard
3. The Boiz Army
4. Hodopian Dynasty
5. Saber-Rattlers
6. USSR
7. IL LABORATORIO

Could only be bothered to predict C:
1. CORP
2. Discovery
3. Statisticians
4. TSFH
5. Polish Eagles
6. BIA
7. TLA

I have some conclusions from my last CL predictions:

- Average points difference between predictions and results was 22,81 points.
(Div A - 36.29/Div B - 25.43/Div C - 12/Div D - 16.67)
- The most undervalued team by me was HAWKS (68 points), the most overvalued Lynx (68 points).

Division D:

Team/Points/Predicted position

1. Vikinger          196 (1)
2. Varangian Guard   138 (2-5)
3. The Boiz Army     126 (2-5)
4. Hodopian Dynasty  126 (2-5)
5. USSR              118 (2-5)
6. IL LABORATORIO     70 (6-7)
7. Sabler-Rattlers    66 (6-7)

This year Division D looks much weaker than one in CL 13. Vikinger have no real opponent there. Fight for 2nd position can be interesting though as 4 clans seems to be fighting for it: Vargarian Guard, The Boiz Army, Hodopian Dynasty and to my surprise USSR as well (as underdogs). At the bottom we should have IL LABORATORIO and Sabler-Rattlers trying to not be last.

PS: Last year I overvalued USSR and undervalued TBA.

Edit: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1t8_If4zCOOSLch0ppA-PgmGGPouhoEIP/edit#gid=1983443963

Edited 2/26/2021 16:39:29

I'll throw my prediction hat into the ring:

A
1. Masters - 169
2. ONE! - 163
3. Python - 157
4. FCC - 147
5. Sninja - 143
6. GG - 49
7. Hawks - 12 (3 wins total)

B
1. FC - 179
2. WG - 172
3. MH - 159
4. VIW - 86
5. Lu Fredd - 85
6. Blitz - 85 (oo tie for second relegation slot)
7. 101st - 74 (somehow they seemed to have gotten weaker after getting some of the players from the merger)

C
1. CORP - 166
2. Disco - 154
3. TSFH - 144
4. Stats - 143 (really surprised by this one - thought they'd be higher)
5. PE - 104
6. TLA - 94
7. BIA - 38

D
Could not care less.

I did the spreadsheet thingy and was pretty surprised by the rankings I got from them - this is not the order I would have done at a glance.

@Checkmqte
Could you link the predictions you made, I'd like to see how you ranked everyone to get to those point totals?

Edited 2/26/2021 17:08:02

Can I joins your clan

Wow I just hope we perform as almost everyone predicts.

Division B
1. WG
2. French Community
3. M'Hunters
4. 101st
5. LuFredd now
6. Blitz
7. VIW

Division C
1. Polish Eagles
2. TSFH
3. Statisticians
4. CORP
5. BIA
6. Discovery
7. TLA

Division D
1. Vikinger
2. Hodopian Dynasty
3. The Boyz Army
4. Varangian Guard
5. USSR
6. IL LABORATORIO
7. Sabler-Rattlers

Wow, we got WAY higher predictions in our favor than I expected, BY FAR...

Division C:

Team/Points/Predicted position

1. TSFH            187 (1-2)
2. CORP            154 (1-5)
3. Polish Eagles   125 (2-6)
4. TLA             118 (2-6)
5. Statisticians   114 (2-6)
6. BIA              93 (3-7)
7. Discovery        49 (6-7)

* Many players have hidden stats

TSFH looks as strong as FC last year. They should promote without a problem. CORP looks like they are aiming for 2nd place (or maybe even 1st). Polish Eagles, TLA and Statisticians will try to get them in a way and gain promotion spot (or just try to not relegate). Meanwhile BIA will be trying to survive in this Division and don't get behind Discovery (as Discovery is very likely to be 7th).

PS: Last year I undervalued Discovery and TLA + overvalued BIA, Stats and PE.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1t8_If4zCOOSLch0ppA-PgmGGPouhoEIP/edit#gid=1983443963

Edited 2/26/2021 18:57:08

Wow, we got WAY higher predictions in our favor than I expected, BY FAR...

Maybe they are impressed by your raffle wins?

Division A
1. Sninja
2. MASTER Clan
3. ONE!
4. python
5. gg
6. hawks
7. fcc

Division B
1. french
2. wg
3. lu
4. viw WG
5. 101st
6. mhunters
7. blitz

Division C
1. statiticians
2. corp
3. Statisticians
4. polish eagles
5. TLA
6. BIA
7. discovery

Division D
dunno

incase you're not aware, you put stats twice in C