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Clan League 10: Division A - Official Thread: 5/10/2018 07:11:23


Deadman 
Level 64
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                         I am he that liveth, and was dead; and behold, I am alive for evermore.

Update #4 - May 9th, 2018
Bonsai is on vacation and hasn't been seen in three days. How I envy him! I'll fill in for him, as the show must go on.

1v1 French Brawl

(3-0)   Outlaws	-  Kezzo
(1-0)   M'Hunters	-  Rogue NK
(1-1)   ONE!		-  Beren - apex
(0-0)   MASTER Clan	-  Pardon99
(0-0)   VS		-  Nackickwind
(0-1)   [Lynx]	-  Wini
(0-3)   |GG|		-  Mikaela

Beren - apex (ONE!) defeats Mikaela (GG)
https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=15439115
A great game with a lot of back and forth. Mikaela seemed to have the game by turn 4 only to throw it away with some questionable decisions. Beren wins his first game this season to put some points on the board.

1v1 Guiroma

(2-0)   |GG|		-  MisterT
(1-0)   [Lynx]	-  Quicksilver
(1-1)   MASTER Clan	-  master of desaster
(1-1)   M'Hunters	-  Emu Pub
(0-0)   Outlaws	-  Krzysztof
(0-1)   ONE!		-  Ipsimus
(0-2)   VS		-  INSIDE

MisterT (|GG|) defeats master of desaster (MASTER Clan)
https://www.warzone.com/multiplayer?GameID=15458774
MoD lays a trap but MisterT refuses to take the bait as he cruises to a win. He always seems to raise his game when it comes to Guiroma on Clan League. This hands Masters their first loss of CL10.

Emu Pub (M'Hunters) defeats INSIDE (VS)
https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=15526309
Emu Pub opens his account by beating INSIDE in a close game with a neat turn 1 counter. INSIDE still had the edge and should have taken his bonus on turn 2 instead of trying to defend a triple border. VS will need him to pick up the pace as they seek crucial points in their fight against relegation.

1v1 Elitist Africa

(2-0)   MASTER Clan	-  master of desaster
(1-0)   |GG|		-  Fireice82
(1-0)   [Lynx]	-  Juan
(0-0)   Outlaws	-  carlos12.0
(0-1)   ONE!		-  Muli
(0-1)   VS		-  Private Pabse
(0-2)   M'Hunters	-  Cluster

Juan ([Lynx]) defeats Cluster (M'Hunter)
https://www.warlight.net/MultiPlayer?GameID=15478675
Juan picks up his first win and Cluster reckons he didn't play well. This map is cancer. That is all I have to say!

master of desaster (MASTER Clan) defeats Muli (ONE!)
https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=15478674
MoD picks up his second win as Muli makes a statement by getting himself eliminated. What a rebel :O

1v1 Battle Islands

  |GG|	 -  awesomeusername
  [Lynx]	 -  timon92
  M'Hunters	 -  AI
  MASTER Clan  -  Pardon99
  ONE!         -  FiveStarGeneral
  Outlaws	 -  Krzysztof
  VS		 -  Gibson

This tournament has yet to begin.

1v1 Strategic Greece

  |GG|	-  MIFRAN
  [Lynx]	-  timon92
  M'Hunters	-  hobo
  MASTER Clan -  Master [QB]
  ONE!	-  Pj
  Outlaws	-  Edge
  VS		-  Glam 'd Slam Islam

This tournament has yet to begin.

1v1 Pangea Ultima

  |GG|	-  JV
  [Lynx]	-  Rento
  M'Hunters	-  Emu Pub
  MASTER Clan -  Master [QB]
  ONE!	-  Malakkan
  Outlaws	-  Njord
  VS		-  rocky1

This tournament has yet to begin.

2v2 Final Earth

(1-0)    MASTER Clan	-  Master of the Dead + Master Jz
(0-0)    [Lynx]	-  Rento + alexclusive
(0-0)    M'Hunters	-  AI + Rogue NK
(0-0)    ONE!		-  Suschel + Pj
(0-0)    Outlaws	-  Njord + TheRiverStyxie
(0-0)    VS		-  rocky1 + vicnus
(0-1)    |GG|	-  MIFRAN + Ko

No games finished this week.

2v2 Szeurope

 (1-0)    MASTER Clan -  Timinator + Xenophon
 (0-0)    |GG|	-  Mike GG + JV
 (0-0)    [Lynx]	-  Juan + 90 \(oo)/
 (0-0)    ONE!	-  FiveStarGeneral + Memele
 (0-0)    Outlaws	-  Platinum + Odin
 (0-0)    VS		-  Buns157 + Nackickwind
 (0-1)    M'Hunters	-  hobo + Digital

Timinator + Xenophon (MASTER Clan) defeat hobo + Digital(M'Hunter)
https://www.warlight.net/MultiPlayer?GameID=15375964
Masters pick up the first win on this stacked tournament. Xenophon refuses to mirror Timinator and picks a counter to hand his team an easy win. The game lasted a few more turns than necessary, but there is no harm in trying until you're certain.

2v2 Volcano Islands

(1-0)  M'Hunters	-  Digital + Cluster
(1-0)  MASTER Clan	-  Master of desaster + Xenophon
(1-0)   ONE!		-  Ipsimus + FiveStarGeneral
(0-0)   |GG|		-  EZpickens + Ko
(0-1)  [Lynx]	-  AWESOMEGUY + Quicksilver
(0-1)   Outlaws	-  Bonsai + aoc
(0-1)  VS		-  Steve1513 + Demhunt

Ipsimus + FiveStarGeneral (ONE!) defeat AWESOMEGUY + Quicksilver([Lynx])
https://www.warzone.com/multiplayer?GameID=15409884
Lynx come up short against ONE! as the underdogs hold their ground to put some important points on the board. Lynx has a good start to the game in the initial two turns. But ONE! make all the right moves on the following turns to post a memorable victory. FSG catches some Kezzo fever and is heard boasting that 6-0 is inevitable.

Digital + Cluster (M'Hunters) defeat Steve1513 + Demhunt(VS)
https://www.warlight.net/MultiPlayer?GameID=15409885
M'Hunters pick up yet another crucial win against relegation contenders VS. DemHunt gets isolated on the board and Digital and Cluster gang up on Steve which ends up in an elimination.

Master of desaster + Xenophon (MASTER Clan) defeat Bonsai + aoc(Outlaws)
https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=15409883
Some insane predictions as MoD defends a double border followed by a triple border defense on two turns. Not to be outdone, Xenophon defends his quad-border to hold his 6 bonus as Outlaws are left scratching their heads as to how they've lost this one.

3v3 Biomes of America

(1-0)   |GG|		-  awesomeusername + linberson + Mikaela
(0-0)  [Lynx]	-  ZeroBlindDragon + Octane + alexclusive
(0-0)   MASTER Clan	-  Timinator + Master Moto + Master Jaesar
(0-0)   ONE!		-  Malakkan + Muli + Adreso
(0-0)   Outlaws	-  Edge + Bonsai + aoc
(0-0)    VS		-  vicnus + johnmd20 + jef
(0-1)   M'Hunters	-  hobo + AyanM + Jo Jo

No games finished this week.

Edited 5/10/2018 07:48:19
Clan League 10: Division A - Official Thread: 5/10/2018 07:18:02


Emu Pub 
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Edited 5/10/2018 15:40:56
Clan League 10: Division A - Official Thread: 5/10/2018 07:42:13


Deadman 
Level 64
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3v3 Europe

(1-0)   MASTER Clan	-  Master of the Dead + Master Jz + Master Moto
(0-0)   |GG|		-  Mike GG + MisterT + Po1onius
(0-0)   [Lynx]	-  ZeroBlindDragon + Dom165 + Octane
(0-0)   ONE!		-  Beren - apex + Suschel + Muli
(0-0)   Outlaws	-  Platinum + Odin + Kezzo
(0-0)   VS		-  INSIDE + DarrenDieHard + tobe
(0-1)   M'Hunters	-  AI + blobblob + Melethron

No games finished this week
Current Standings:



(1) Masters
(Total Points 1st // Max Points T-1st // % Points T-1st)
A good week for Masters where they go 3-1 with some close victories. They are off to a cracking start as they put early points on the board.

(2) |GG|
(Total Points 2nd // Max Points 5th // % Points 3rd)
An average week for GG as they finish 1-1. They are off to a steady start as they keep putting points on the board. They've distanced themselves from the relegation spots. Maybe Platinum was right all along and GG will contend for the podium spots!

(3) M'Hunters
(Total Points 3rd // Max Points 7th // % Points 6th)
A good week for MH as they pick up two crucial wins against fellow relegation contenders VS. They do lose two games though which drops their max point ceiling. If they can keep picking up points, they might be able to defy popular opinion and survive this division!
They're definitely in a hurry and have the most games finished so far in Group A.

(4) Outlaws
(Total Points 4th // Max Points 2nd // % Points 2nd)
The slow-pokes of this division. Outlaws pick up their first loss of the season in a close game. They'll have to convert these games to wins if they want to challenge Masters for the top spot. They finish the week with a 0-1 record.

(5) ONE!
(Total Points 5th // Max Points 4th // % Points 5th)
ONE recover from their dodgy start to finish this week with a solid 2-1 record. They'll need to keep up the pace if they are to repeat their heroics from last season.

(6) Lynx
(Total Points 6th // Max Points 3rd // % Points 4th)
A steady week for Lynx as they go 1-1. This still have a high max points ceiling, but will need to put points on the board to keep in touch with all the eager clans who are finishing games at a rapid pace.

(7) VS
(Total Points 7th // Max Points 6th // % Points 7th)
Another rough week for VS as they lose two games to direct rivals MH. They are still seeking their first points of the season. Another concern will be the poor form of INSIDE who is one of their key players.
Clan League 10: Division A - Official Thread: 5/10/2018 08:00:28


Kezzo
Level 61
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Great update, last were better tho, more Kazoofocused!! :D

However I just relized, we are thats we are not alone on 4 finished games... its three teams on 4 games.. this season people is even slower than the CL clot was at start! :D
Clan League 10: Division A - Official Thread: 5/10/2018 08:09:00

FiveStarGeneral
Level 61
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Wtf deadman such a slanderer!

FiveStarGeneral - Last Monday at 12:36 PM
no
it was a fluke
FiveStarGeneral - Last Monday at 12:36 PM
i am not worthy to be a kezzi :/

If I ever said 6-0, it was directed towards BI V.

Edited 5/10/2018 08:09:14
Clan League 10: Division A - Official Thread: 5/10/2018 11:39:15


(deleted) 
Level 62
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"Maybe Platinum was right all along and GG will contend for the podium spots!"

I knew I was going to be right. People saying I was trolling, when in actual fact I was being a logistical future predictor!
Clan League 10: Division A - Official Thread: 5/15/2018 15:38:30


Onoma94
Level 61
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in CL8 GG had a great start as well :)
Clan League 10: Division A - Official Thread: 5/19/2018 10:52:51


LND 
Level 60
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Whats the deal with the Horse Race thing?
Clan League 10: Division A - Official Thread: 5/19/2018 13:50:13


│ [20] │MASTER│ Rikku │ I love my wife │ • apex │
Level 61
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^ GTFO

Great thoughts from OZ!
The horse race is self explanatory , it shows progress like a literal horse race would .. I think

Why doesn't your clan join next season? =)
Clan League 10: Division A - Official Thread: 5/20/2018 15:47:29


Emu Pub 
Level 65
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I think the horse race confusion is that a horse race lasts two minutes (yes I know there are stupidly long ones as well) whereas clan league takes 2 days 23 hours and 59 minutes for every turn and would better likened to a tectonic plate . We measure horse speeds in meters per second. Clan league's "speed" would be in centimeters per decade.
Clan League 10: Division A - Official Thread: 5/20/2018 16:07:26


Rogue NK
Level 59
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High up in the North in the land called Svithjod, there stands a rock. It is a hundred miles high and a hundred miles wide. Once every thousand years a little bird comes to this rock to sharpen its beak. When the rock has thus been worn away, then a single Clan League will have gone by.

Edited 5/20/2018 16:07:51
Clan League 10: Division A - Official Thread: 5/20/2018 23:12:36


LND 
Level 60
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So, the Horse race is just a graph showing the speed/progress of how many games have been played?
@Rikku, don't worry, we are joining CL next year. I'm so keen (although I'm probably not good enough to make the first team lineup ;)
Clan League 10: Division A - Official Thread: 5/21/2018 04:51:34

FiveStarGeneral
Level 61
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Then git gud
Clan League 10: Division A - Official Thread: 5/21/2018 06:07:45


LND 
Level 60
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I plan on it ;)
Clan League 10: Division A - Official Thread: 5/21/2018 22:35:54


John Titor
Level 56
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https://discord.gg/6zCP7vE You can join this Thele gend
Clan League 10: Division A - Official Thread: 5/22/2018 04:57:34


LND 
Level 60
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I would but I don't currently use discord... Thanks for the offer.
Clan League 10: Division A - Official Thread: 5/26/2018 20:22:35


Oh 
Level 60
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Go M'Hunters! Huzzah and stuff. Yay CL!!!!
Clan League 10: Division A - Official Thread: 5/27/2018 19:11:56


Norman 
Level 58
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Go M'Hunters! Huzzah and stuff. Yay CL!!!!

Well, thank you kind sir.
Clan League 10: Division A - Official Thread: 5/29/2018 19:54:30


Math Wolf 
Level 64
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I ran some simulations to predict the results.
Details of the calculation at https://www.warzone.com/Forum/301728-clan-league-10-division-b-official-thread?Offset=63 .
(std=standard deviation, PI=prediction interval)

             mean   (std)    95% PI
1. MASTER   149.10 (13.18) [123-174]
2. [Lynx]   142.53 (15.49) [111-172]
3. |GG|     125.85 (15.44) [ 96-156]
4. Outlaws  119.27 (15.38) [ 89-150]
5. ONE!     114.82 (14.36) [ 87-143]
6. MHunters  93.10 (12.91) [ 68-118]
7. VS        62.34 (12.28) [ 39-87 ]

                1      2      3      4      5      6      7
  MASTER   53.97% 30.38% 11.29%  3.43%  0.89%  0.04%  0.00%
  [Lynx]   33.70% 35.63% 18.01%  8.40%  3.69%  0.56%  0.01%
  |GG|      7.45% 17.38% 29.66% 24.90% 16.31%  4.18%  0.12%
  Outlaws   3.37% 10.15% 22.33% 28.99% 26.46%  8.34%  0.36%
  ONE!      1.50%  6.22% 17.30% 28.16% 34.25% 12.19%  0.38%
  MHunters  0.01%  0.24%  1.41%  6.07% 18.14% 70.16%  3.97%
  VS        0.00%  0.00%  0.00%  0.05%  0.26%  4.53% 95.16%

Main takeaways:
Everything is still open for the win with MASTER and [Lynx] the main candidates (obvious from the standings as well), and VS seems unlikely not to relegate at this point (within the limitations of the method).

Congrats at MHunters. In one of the 10000 simulations, you came out on top (and it wasn't even close):
1. MHunters 143; 2. ONE! 128; 3. [Lynx] 126; 4. MASTER 125; 5. |GG| 113; 6. Outlaws 97; 7. VS 75. Make it happen! (/trolling)
Clan League 10: Division A - Official Thread: 5/29/2018 20:49:14

hobo
Level 61
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0.01% chance of winning...... i like them odds..lol
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