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Clan League 10: Division B Official Thread: 5/6/2018 18:34:29


rakleader 
Level 65
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What do you want from me? ;-)
I still haven't finished a game.


Wow, you're such a staller.
Clan League 10: Division B Official Thread: 5/7/2018 20:06:28


Math Wolf 
Level 64
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What do you want from me? ;-)
I still haven't finished a game.

Wow, you're such a staller.

I know right!
But my opponents are outdoing themselves to outstall me, it's like a game in a game!
Clan League 10: Division B Official Thread: 5/7/2018 21:22:47


rakleader 
Level 65
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French school of stalling, baby!
Nack and Ven taught us all their tricks.
Clan League 10: Division B Official Thread: 5/7/2018 23:00:22


(deleted) 
Level 62
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Biggest change from CL9 to CL10?

Rakleader's banter.

Why?

Cause he knows Sninja is going to promote to A.
Clan League 10: Division B Official Thread: 5/7/2018 23:57:19

Waddles
Level 58
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Should I talk more too? or is that overkill? :D
Clan League 10: Division B Official Thread: 5/8/2018 13:06:44


Nackickwind
Level 64
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Don't forget to commit though, while stalling
Clan League 10: Division B Official Thread: 5/8/2018 15:58:18


│ [20] │MASTER│ Rikku │ I love my wife │ • apex │
Level 61
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I hate this game and I hate clan league
Clan League 10: Division B Official Thread: 5/8/2018 16:04:07


(deleted) 
Level 62
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That's two negatives there, two negatives - - make a + , so secretly you love this game and clan league.
Clan League 10: Division B Official Thread: 5/8/2018 17:46:50


Emu Pub 
Level 65
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just like everyone secretly wants to have plat's babies. or not.
Clan League 10: Division B Official Thread: 5/10/2018 18:17:54


dry-clean-only 
Level 63
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If you add two negatives it becomes even more negative.
Clan League 10: Division B Official Thread: 5/12/2018 00:38:35


LND 
Level 60
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- x - = +
- + - = -

So, the question is, are we multiplying or adding?
According to mathematical language of probability, 'and' means you multiply.
So it's positive.
Clan League 10: Division B Official Thread: 5/12/2018 10:00:35


Math Wolf 
Level 64
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According to mathematical language of probability, 'and' means you multiply.

If you are talking about the events. If the 'and' refers to the probabilities, it's actually a plus.
P(X = 1 and Y = 1) = P(X = 1) . P(Y = 1)
P(X = 1) 'and' P(Y = 1) = P(X = 1) + P(Y = 1) - P(X = 1) . P(Y = 1) = P(X = 1 or Y = 1)
(all under independence of X and Y)

I hate this game and I hate clan league

In Rikku's example, with P(... = 1) means I hate, X = this game, and Y = clan league, I would arguably say the construction of his sentence may be the second case (sum) rather than the first case (multiplication), but it's not all that clear really.

So please continue this discussion until we have full clarity of the situation! :-)

EDIT: and can we actually assuming the hating of this game and clan league are independent? I think they aren't, in which case both rules are not correct and we have to include the correlation of hating both, which I assume is positive.

Edited 5/12/2018 10:01:51
Clan League 10: Division B Official Thread: 5/13/2018 06:44:48


Aura Guardian 
Level 62
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Comprehensive Update III:

I almost forgot to do this today. My bad.

I did say I as going to do these on Fridays, but I guess I am doing them on Saturdays instead. Neat.

I feel tired and sluggish right now. I want to go to bed. Ugh. I feel as tired and sluggish as FCC's performance has been. Still only one win, with the midseason approaching. Hmmm... Well, anyway, I think a brewed a bit of controversy over a decision I made, to not replace an inactive player in Volcano Island 2v2 until after midseason, effectively giving up 8 free points. Some people are clearly seeing this as a poor decision, since FCC seems to be giving up free points. Which is true. But with 6 substitutions remaining, and midseason upcoming, I am willing to sacrifice 8 points for a better shot at 8 points in the future. FCC doesen't have anyone capable to take over the slot. Knowing the intensity that players take these games, I don't see any feasible way for FCC to win those games anyway. It therefore justifies waiting until a more capable player can be slotted in at the midseason. The odds gained by having an extra slot on hand might outweigh the odds gained by replacing the slot now and losing a slot at the midseason.

This may go against the spirit of clan league. All games should be covered, right? Well, consider this a bit of an experiment, then. What should a clan do with limited substitutions before the midseason, have players of a higher calibur after the midseason, and need to sub in now? If FCC is likely going to demote anyway, now is as good of a time as ever to try and experiment with this a bit. As they say, you don't know if you don't try...

And maybe this is pretty obvious mistake to everyone in warzone and their brother. I am usually prone to obvious mistakes. But, I am committed to this now, so let my errors shine so that they may not happen again...

In any case, you guys can choose to debate whether this is a good idea or not. It make for some interesting discussion. And sure, this may make me the worst manager in CL right now. But as all modelers know... Garbage in == Garbage out. There wasn't much of a chance to begin with.

Anyway, here is what is going on as of now with the scores:

Quick Update: By Points Scored:

TJC 			33
Sninja			32
WG			27
Statisticians		16
Hydra			12
FCC			3

Quick Update: By Max Points:

Sninja			197
TJC			187
Statisticians		185
WG			185
Hydra			170
FCC			153

Completed Games: (Bold detonates winner)

TJC is now first in points scored and second in max points. They definitely have something going on. Its still thisclose between the top four clans. Meanwhile, the divide between FCC and Hydra continues to grow. Now at 17 points, the hole grows deeper.

Finished Games:

1v1: Guiroma


Statisticains vs Hydra		https://www.warzone.com/multiplayer?GameID=15594095 (5/7)
Hydra vs Sninja			https://www.warzone.com/multiplayer?GameID=15526313 (5/9)
Hydra vs WG			https://www.warzone.com/multiplayer?GameID=15594095	 (5/12)


1v1: French Brawl

TJC vs Statisticians		https://www.warzone.com/multiplayer?GameID=15573142	 (5/10)

1v1: Elitist Africa:

WG vs FCC		 	https://www.warzone.com/multiplayer?GameID=15478681 (5/12)
TJC vs FCC		 	https://www.warzone.com/multiplayer?GameID=15546768 (5/9)

2v2: Final Earth

Nothing doing...

2v2 Volcano Island

Sninja vs FCC 			https://www.warzone.com/multiplayer?GameID=15580813 (5/10)

2v2 Szeurope

"knocks on door".... 
Aura: Any progress today?
Group B: Nope
Aura: :(

3v3 Europe

C'mon guys. Super Smoove wanted to analyze more 3v3 Erope games.... you turds... smh.

3v3 Biomes

I guess they were baffled by the bonus system so much that no one were incapable of finishing games this week...


Edited 5/14/2018 02:04:34
Clan League 10: Division B Official Thread: 5/13/2018 06:44:56


Aura Guardian 
Level 62
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The Horse Race:



Progressions:



Analysis:

Milly has been the workhorse for Hyrdra thus far, providing the clan with 12 of its 12 points. Also, having lost less games than FCC, it currently holds a solid edge against its competitor for relegation. A free four points from FCC look to help it further in this fight. Unless something drastic changes after midseason, FCC seems to be a lock for relegation at this point.

The top four continues to hold for a close race. There has not been really much change. The divide between statisticians and the three above didn't change much, keeping them in fighting distance for a promotion slot. Needless to say, its reasonable to think that none of these clans should fear relegation at this point, especially with hydra and FCC trying their utmost to lose games to insure of this fate.

Besides milly's games, its been mostly a quiet week for the rest of the division, with only 4 other 1v1s completed, and a team game "completed". Hopefully we get a bit more action this week. We shall see.

Otherwise, I need to sleep guys. Peace.

Edited 5/13/2018 07:02:21
Clan League 10: Division B Official Thread: 5/14/2018 01:29:15

Jackie Treehorn 
Level 63
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The link on Hydra vs Stats for Guiroma 1v1 is not correct. And Stats should be bold type there :)

Edited 5/14/2018 01:29:40
Clan League 10: Division B Official Thread: 5/15/2018 23:13:47


Φιλώτας 
Level 62
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Best stalling trick ever:
Outstall you staller opponent for various turns - even if this mean you have to commit1' before auto
then suddenly in a turn commit hours before auto
He will be confused and get booted
Clan League 10: Division B Official Thread: 5/16/2018 07:09:48

Nemo
Level 65
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Game link with such experience?
Clan League 10: Division B Official Thread: 5/16/2018 08:31:27


Φιλώτας 
Level 62
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On my fav, the season game
Clan League 10: Division B Official Thread: 5/18/2018 00:38:09


Super Smoove 
Level 61
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Heads up to other clans, I won't go worse than 12-3

Quote me on this when I get booted from 4 games :)
Clan League 10: Division B Official Thread: 5/18/2018 00:41:08


Master Cowboy 
Level 60
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[WG] must stand for [Worst Gamers] because they suck.
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