Vote : Silver

I suspect him to be a wolf. Seemed to shoot down everything arun brought up. Maybe he even tried to shoot him. .. well, no way to know.

You guys are just voting for anythign now. Quit trying to start bandwagons ace.

If it was a Serial Killer attack, that would be made clear in the update.

Silver who do you suspect again?

Here is my analysis. Keep in mind that I am neither experienced at wolves (this being my first game)
nor do I have any real knowledge about the behavior of any of the people in this game beyond what has
happened in this game. I will also not be taking into consideration the seering round or anything said
during the first night, or anything said during the current day. Only posts after Dom’s first death post
and after his latest will be counted.

The first part of each person’s report is a fact analysis. The first bullet is who has voted the same
as the person more than once, not including the seer round. The second bullet is their status. The third
bullet is how active they have been (measured in number of posts). Everything after that is
my opinion/analysis.

A Talking Taco 
Landalf
Alive, unknown
43
Has posted a lot, often distractive comments. Also voted the same as Landalf, might be 2 colluding
wolves. Has been a suspect before.
Ace Windu
None
Alive, unknown
17
Nothing really suspicious yet.
Alias09
None
Dead, villager
7
Apollo
None
Dead, villager
1
bdh1998
John Smith, Semicedevine
Alive, unknown
6
Has not posted a lot, might be afraid of being caught as a wolf if he says something wrong? Voted
the same as John Smith, but also as Semicedevine, who was a villager.
CharlieBrown
None
Alive, unknown
0
Should be dead already because of inactivity?
Clavicus Vile
None
Alive, unknown
8
Less posts than some people, but still more than a lot. Slightly suspicious.
Coaleyes
Voted Green twice
Alive, unknown
7
Why did he vote Green twice? Is he a seer who knows Green is a wolf or a wolf who has a vendetta
against Green? Also, has a relatively small number of posts, may be trying to hide being a wolf.
On Gror’s list.
Dom
None
Dead, villager
0
Dr. Stupid
None
Alive, unknown
20
Nothing really suspicious yet.
Ehrmantraut
None
Alive, unknown
7
Small number of posts, may indicate hiding wolf?
Eliza
None
Dead, villager
0
Frankdeslimste
None
Alive, unknown
4
Significantly less posts than most others, hiding wolf?
G. Arun
None
Alive, villager
106
Only known villager. Lots of posts because he is trying to coordinate the village.
GeneralGror
Traintown
Dead, villager
11
Genghis
None
Alive, unknown
7
Smaller number of posts, might be a hiding wolf?
Green
None
Alive, unknown
19
Nothing suspicious beyond Coaleyes voting for him twice.
his balls. 
Taisho
Alive, unknown
44
Has posted a lot, and voted the same as Taisho. However, seems to be one of the more reasonable
people.
John Smith
bdh1998, Semicedevine
Alive, unknown
5
Voted the same as bdh1998, and Semicedevine, who was a villager. Has a significantly smaller number
of posts.
Kasparov
None
Dead, villager
0 
Kellen the Conqueror
None
Alive, unknown
5
Significantly smaller number of posts, maybe wolf trying to hide? Has talked about his clan being
Wolf, which I don’t think he would have done if he had been a wolf. On Gror’s List.
Landalf
A Talking Taco
Alive, unknown
16
Voted the same as A Talking Taco. Might be colluding wolves? On Gror’s list.
Lord Veigar
None
Alive, unknown
13
Nothing really suspicious yet.
Mayor Sonnen
None
Alive, unknown
14
Nothing really suspicious yet.
MoOoOoOoO
None
Alive, unknown
4
Has not voted, so maybe should be eliminated due to inactivity as well? Dom?
Mr. Pride
None
Alive, unknown
60
A large number of posts. Might be trying to overcompensate for being a wolf by posting a lot?
Seems to be somewhat antagonistic. Has been a big suspect before.
rento
None
Alive, unknown
10
Nothing really suspicious yet.
Semicedevine
bdh1998, John Smith
Dead, angel
33
Silver
None
Alive, unknown
6
Slightly less posts than others, hiding wolf?
Tactical Incursion
None
Dead, villager
4
Taisho
his balls.
Alive, unknown
11
Voted the same as his balls. Other than that, not really suspicious.
Traintown
GeneralGror
Alive, unknown
27
Has posted a relatively large number of posts. Voted the same as General Gror, who was a villager.
Is me…what else do you expect me to say?


Top suspects, in order of suspiciousness:
A Talking Taco
bdh1998 
Landalf
Coaleyes
Mr. Pride
John Smith
Green
Frankdeslimste

I apologize if any of you have to side-scroll...the code tag I used to get the monospaced font didn't wrap automatically so I had to insert linebreaks automatically.

Edit: err...manually. I had to insert linebreaks Manually. *facepalm*

Edited 2014-11-05 18:54:31

You definitely just confirmed yourself for me.

Whoo! Not the top* suspect!

Edited 2014-11-05 19:00:57

Colluding with Landalf?

well , im not going to argue with you traintown if that is your opinions .

But anyway

My suspect list (modified)

Coaleyes : has not posted much , hiding wolf or silent villager? And yet he still vote because of the miss vote , you die rule.

MoOoOoOo : inactive , should have died by now

Genghis :probably a silent villager

Mr.Pride :I could not say much but he is a big suspect

Edited 2014-11-05 19:15:56

Wow, that must have taken a lot of work. Nice one Traintown.

Does the fact that no one has been murdered mean that there probably isn't a serial killer?
Could they be waiting until there becomes conflict between factions?

Well, I'm gonna vote for my top suspect of course.

VOTE TACO

Nevermind.

Edited 2014-11-05 19:32:08

Green
None
Alive, unknown
19
Nothing suspicious beyond Coaleyes voting for him twice.

--

Top suspects, in order of suspiciousness:
A Talking Taco
bdh1998
Landalf
Coaleyes
Mr. Pride
John Smith
Green
Frankdeslimste

Could you explain to me why I'm on your top suspects list please Traintown?

Train - your analysis is too number dependent. Your list of suspects is based largely on those who posted the least and those who voted the same as another player. You're looking at quantity over quality, in other words.

However, your list of top suspects shares a number of similarities.

Dr Stupid:

Landalf
bdh

Gror:

Landalf
JohnSmith
Kellen
Coaleyes

Train:

A Talking Taco
bdh1998
Landalf
Coaleyes
Mr. Pride
John Smith
Green
Frankdeslimste

Common Names:

Landalf
Coal Eyes
Bdh
John Smith

There's a couple other names I would add, namely Arun supporters who suddenly went quiet. If what Pride observed before stands, it would make sense that wolves would support the one spreading chaos like free candy and then slink into the silence as soon as villagers start catching on, very wolf-like indeed.

My top (former supporters of the tyrant Arun) suspects:

Mayor Sonnen
Genghis

Because Coaleyes may be a seer, and has voted for you twice, indicating that you may be a wolf? You're near the bottom of it, because Coaleyes being a seer is pretty unlikely. That's part of why he is so much higher.

Taisho, I agree that it is highly number dependent, but numbers tend to be a better summary of what is actually going on than guesses or, in many cases, intuition. For example, noting that wolves may try to stay invisible and not throw any suspicion on themselves, as well as noting that in order to counteract that, wolves may be far more outspoken than others, is a good reason to be suspicious of the people who post few times or many more times than others. I am in no way guaranteeing that this is the way it is working out, and I have less information than most of you because I do not know how people have acted in previous rounds. This is just my thoughts on who is most likely to be wolves.

Alright, that's fair enough.

You're relying him on being a seer, seering me the first night, then posting:

Vote Green

I will see his role one way or another :)

As long no one gets the wrong impression that's fine by me.

That does make it look a little less likely...I was going to go through and read all the messages tonight and come to further conclusions to post. Just didn't have time with all the stuff I did for the first post. I think it is much more likely that he is a wolf and just has a vendetta against you.

Your posts make me wishIwas a seer (btw I will confirm I am definitely not a seer).

I'm intrested that you guys suspect me for my voting when you list the person I voted for as a suspect...

Um sorry confirmed villagers - Will make your chat now.