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Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 3/1/2021 19:32:42


Tukuro 
Level 63
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My prediction only A and B (i have no idea of C and D)

Division A
1. Python
2. Masters
3. SNinja
4. ONE
5. FCC
6. |GG|
7. HAWKS

Division B
1. French Community
2. MHunters
3. WG
4. 101st
5. Lu Fredd
6. Blitz
7. VIW
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 3/1/2021 20:11:32

FiveStarGeneral
Level 61
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LOL fking knyte...

Also, GO HAWKS!!!
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 3/1/2021 21:10:39

Naviiso 
Level 63
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Just predicting C to balance out the silly TFSH boys who are putting us last:

1. CORP
2. Polish Eagles
3. The Last Alliance
4. Two Steps From Hell
5. Discovery
6. Brothers in Arms
7. Statisticians
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 3/2/2021 00:46:13


Obsidian
Level 56
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Loxiiv, thank you for your support.
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 3/2/2021 18:28:27


Loxiiv 
Level 58
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i'll be cheering for you every step of the way
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 3/2/2021 21:24:46


Hades 
Level 64
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Division A

Contenders:
1. Python (WOOOOO!!!)
2. Masters
3. ONE
4. SNinja

Safe:
5. FCC

Relegating:
6. |GG|
7. HAWKS

Division B

Promotion battle:
1. Blitz (#IBelieve)
2. MHunters
3. WG

Little chance of promoting or relegating:
4. French Community
5. 101st

Relegating:
6. Lu Fredd
7. VIW
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 3/2/2021 23:24:02


l4v.r0v 
Level 59
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We've got 27 predictions so far (23 for A, 16 each for B and C, and 12 for D). The crowd is pretty sure about A & D and much less sure about B & C. Below are the current consensus predictions for each Division, with predictions taken at face value, with the visualizations from https://bit.ly/cl14-predictions. Any outcome that crosses one of the lines below (e.g., Python not making it on the podium) should be considered an upset, and outcomes that cross thicker lines (e.g., HAWKS placing 4th) major upsets.

This is all aggregated mainly for posterity, so that future Clan League archivists can look at one post to gauge how people thought CL 14 would go. Then they can laugh at us for getting it so wrong.

Division A

Contenders: MASTER vs. ONE! vs. Python / SNinja
MASTER, ONE!, and Python are competing for the podium and will most likely split it among themselves. The crowd is very sure MASTER will finish somewhere around 2nd place and every prediction but Ocean's has them finishing on the podium. They're least certain about Python, which is more of a wildcard: they have the most first-place predictions but also 7 non-podium predictions.

SNinja is right behind these 3 contenders, with an outside chance of making it on the podium.

Underdogs: FCC / HAWKS vs. GG
There's a big separation in expectations after SNinja, with FCC in a league of its own. 15 people have predicted FCC to finish 5th in A: that's more than any other clan for any other position in CL 14.

With another big drop, HAWKS and GG are in a battle for 6th.

Division B

Contenders: French vs. M'Hunters vs. WG
The top of B is a 3-horse race between the French Community, M'Hunters, and WG, with FC and M'Hunters seen as the favorites to promote.

Underdogs: Lu Fredd / 101st vs. Blitz / VIW
The lower half of B has a lot more division to it: Lu Fredd is separated from above and below and, of anything in B, the crowd is most sure that Lu Fredd will finish somewhere around 4th. Just a half-step below are 101st and Blitz fighting a relegation battle, with Blitz seen as more of a wild card.

At the very bottom is VIW, another half-step below Blitz and mainly predicted to place 7th.

Division C

Contenders: TSFH / CORP / Statisticians vs. Polish Eagles vs. Discovery
The top of C is not super-exciting, with some separation between TSFH and CORP. There's a lot of variance in predictions for this division, though, so we may get a real nail-biter battle for first or promotion.

Right below CORP is where the most likely excitement happens: Statisticians, Polish Eagles, and Discovery are relative wild cards that the crowd doesn't know how to sort; the crowd is especially unsure about Polish Eagles. Could one of these 3 displace CORP/TSFH from promotion? Could this group steal both promotion slots? C is a wild card and should be exciting to watch!

Underdogs: TLA vs. BIA
In a sad pit at the bottom of C, we find TLA and BIA, both of whom the crowd expects to relegate and puts far behind the contenders. Both clans have something to prove, though! Can either stave off relegation? TLA is a wild card- in fact, BIA is the only real non-wild-card in the division. Division C has the most confused predictions of any division.

Division D

Contenders: Vikinger / Varangian Guard
We return back from the excitement of B and C to find the division that the crowd is most sure about. Almost every prediction has Vikinger taking first and Varangian Guard second. Simple as.

Underdogs: The Boiz Army vs. Hodopian Dynasty
A big step below the promotion battle, we find The Boiz Army- who debuted last season- competing against this season's exciting new debut, the Hodopian Dynasty, for 3rd place. The crowd considers both evenly matched but is predictably less sure about Hodopian Dynasty and gives The Boiz Army a slight benefit of the doubt.

Double Underdogs: Saber-Rattlers vs. USSR / IL LABORATORIO
Take another big step and you find the bottom of Division D, the only division the crowd cleanly splits into 3. The Saber-Rattlers and long-considered-anemic USSR are locked into a battle for 5th, with the crowd giving Saber-Rattlers are a slight edge due to being more of a wild card.

Finally, take a last half-step down and you'll find the new, mysterious IL LABORATORIO. Weirdly enough for a debut, the crowd is very sure about them: all predictions have them in the bottom 3 spots.

Edited 3/3/2021 00:00:40
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 3/2/2021 23:58:33


LND 
Level 60
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Nice to know we are a big underdog... At the very least, whatever we do won't be disappointing!!!
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 3/3/2021 04:09:41


Phobos 
Level 62
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Thanks to Knight for the cool compellations. I'm moving on with my predictions for division B (hoepfully I get them all out before games finish.)

Promotion battle:

1. WG: Homer pick to be sure, but I think we're good for it. After 3 seasons in A and missing a 4th by less than one game, our lineup is battle tested and deep. The other two clans in this group will be a stiff challenge, but I like WG to rise to the top.

2. MH: Really hard to choose second place here I might as well flipped a coin. Gave it to MH because I think their B performance two seasons ago deserves respect. Lineup looks strong across the board with a few standout slots.

3. FC: Very strong lineup here, and as alluded to earlier I think French Community is in the thick of the promotion battle. Rumor is after cruising through divisions D and C they are very motivated to promote from B.

Safe:

4. Lu Fredd: Lu Fredd has a lot of good players who play hard. It won't be enough to keep up with the clans above but they will score plenty and be safe from relegation.

Wild card:

5. Blitz: On paper this lineup could potentially compete for a promotion slot. On paper. Will triple H and MasterQb actually play? How rusty are they? Will Jeff and Farah try? If you stretch scenarios enough you can argue for Blitz getting anywhere from 1-7. My placement of Blitz here is a belief that they have enough good things going for them that they won't relegate, but I don't see these factors aligning for them to actually compete with the clans above.

Relegation battle:

6. 101st: Python merger seems to have actually made them worse as some top players jumped to Python. Some up and comers like Gakbobo give hope that they can finish better than this, but all the clans above them just seem to have more going for them.

7. VIW: VIW has some players that will win games, but just don't have the depth to survive in the division unless a clan above them collapses. 5th isn't out of the question, but hard to see them flying higher than that.
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 3/3/2021 14:23:15

Samwise 
Level 62
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Division A
1.MASTER
2.ONE
3.PYTHON
4.SNINJA
5.FCC
6.HAWKS
7.GG

Division B
1.WG
2.MH
3.FC
4.LF
5.BLITZ
6.101st
7.VIW

Division C
1.CORP
2.TSFH
3.PE
4.DISC
5.TLA
6.STAT
7.BIA

Division D
1.VIKINGER
2.VG
3.USSR
4.THE BOIZ
5.HODOPIAN DYNASTY
6.SABER RATTLERS
7.LABORATORIO
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 3/5/2021 11:29:37


Ze 
Level 59
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Division A
1.ONE
2.SNINJA
3.PYTHON
4.MASTER
5.FCC
6.GG
7.HAWKS

Division B
1.FC
2.MH
3.101st
4.LF
5. WG
6.BLITZ
7.VIW
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 3/5/2021 12:14:38


(ง︡'-'︠)ง let's fight!! 
Level 62
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Division B
FC - seems to find to old strength
WG - have been the stronger relegator

MH - have been the weaker relegator
LuFredd - upcoming power. expeting to fight for 3rd.
101st - question mark. Lost players, but got some talented players. But will it be enough?

VIW - has some skilled players, no doubt. But I dont have them above 101st. Last comparison with Blitz was in their favor.
Blitz - Sry, but FC and VIW are tougher than Stats and BIA.
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 3/5/2021 14:44:00


goralgn 
Level 60
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with the new informations that i have seen on this thread I decided to update my list


1st Masters
2nd Python
3rd GG
4th One!
5th Hawks (I BELIEVEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE)
6th Sninja
7th FCC

(no changes were made)

Edited 3/5/2021 14:44:10
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 3/5/2021 15:44:40


lineal2012
Level 62
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It was very difficult for me to do predictions for B this year.
I had completely no clue how should I do it.
Somehow I was finally able to complete it.

Division B:
Team/Points/Predicted position

1. WG                179 (1-4)
2. Blitz             157 (1-4)
3. M'Hunters         154 (1-4)
4. FC                136 (1-4)
5. VIW                76 (5-7)
6. Lu Fredd           73 (5-7)
7. {101st}            65 (5-7)



WG seems to be the strongest this year. Blitz, M'Hunters and even FC will be fighting for the 2nd place in my opinion with some chance for getting 1st place. I don't see any of these clans relegating. I predict relegation battle will be between VIW, LuFredd and {101st}. Hopefully it will end in the right order for us ;)

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1t8_If4zCOOSLch0ppA-PgmGGPouhoEIP/edit#gid=1983443963
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 3/5/2021 15:58:12


IRiseYouFall 
Level 61
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Division A
1) Sninja
2) One
3) Python
4) Fcc
5) WG
6) GG
7) Hawks

Div D
master clan
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 3/8/2021 12:10:44


lineal2012
Level 62
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Finally my predictions for Division A. Also this time I had troubles how to rate players.

Division A:
Team/Points/Predicted position

1. ONE!      186 (1-3)
2. SNinja    157 (1-4)
3. MASTER    148 (1-5)
4. Python    136 (2-5)
5. FCC       110 (3-6)
6. |GG|       86 (5-6)
7. HAWKS      17 (7)


I see ONE! once again as favourites with no chance of going lower than 3rd place. In my opinion SNinja and MASTER clan can challenge them. Python should be safe and likely near the top, but seems they have not enough strenght to get 1st place. FCC looks strong enough to stay in Division A or even challenge clans like Python or Master. GG should have safe 6th position with some chances for staying in Division A. I don't see HAWKS going higher than 7th place (but I underestimated them greatly in past 3 seasons).


https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1t8_If4zCOOSLch0ppA-PgmGGPouhoEIP/edit#gid=1983443963
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 3/8/2021 14:17:33


goralgn 
Level 60
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wow not only are we gonna get relegated but also we will get the lowest amount of points in the history of CL? no I wont let that happen I dont care if I have to play all the games if it comes to that
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 3/8/2021 14:19:43


UnFairerOrb76 
Level 58
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^^ theirs no I in team
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 3/8/2021 14:21:21


Ocean0.1 
Level 59
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But there is a m-e
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 3/8/2021 14:29:09


JK_3 
Level 63
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Predictions for Div D:
1 Vikinger
2 VG
3 TBA
4 Hodops clan
5 Saber Rattlers
6 il lab
7 USSR

4 and 5 I'm not sure about, maybe they need to be swapped but I'm lacking experience with sabers to say anything about them.

IL LAB is new, but still above USSR since USSR is not even joining half their games
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