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Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/25/2021 22:33:13


Phobos 
Level 62
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CL 14 lineups are out, make your predictions so we can laugh at them later.

Divisions and lineups can be found here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1-M-IGtNTlpuVhHO4RlQQjEIEDUF-5ln91xQH5DB6Pwk/edit#gid=257646870

Edited 2/25/2021 22:50:15
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/25/2021 22:37:37


TheThedde
Level 62
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Hydra will promote to C... Oh wait ;)
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/25/2021 22:42:04


goralgn 
Level 60
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wait what happened to hydra?
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/25/2021 22:42:37


Ursus 
Level 64
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They didnt want to play in D so merged with TLA
- downvoted post by Proplayer
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/25/2021 23:19:19


l4v.r0v
Level 42
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Division A
1. Python
2. MASTER Clan
3. ONE!
4. SNinja
5. FCC
6. |GG|
7. HAWKS

Division B
1. M'Hunters
2. 101st
3. French
4. WG
5. Lu Fredd
6. Blitz is ̶r̶e̶c̶r̶u̶i̶t̶i̶n̶g̶ relegating
7. VIW

Division C
1. Discovery
2. TSFH
3. Statisticians
4. CORP
5. TLA
6. BIA
7. Polish Eagles

Division D
1. Vikinger
2. Varangian Guard
3. The Boiz Army
4. USSR
5. IL LABORATORIO
6. Saber-Rattlers
7. Hodopian Dynasty

Methodology
Xenu told me in a dream
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/26/2021 04:27:14


Phobos 
Level 62
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As before predictions division by division. First up A.

Three Contenders, Most Motivated Wins

1. Python: All three clans here boast powerhouse lineups, and there's really no point in going over the slots too in depth. I have Python here, cause I think after years of being bridesmaids the former Lynx and Outlaws members are out for their championship.

2. One!: Champions of CL 12, tied for first in CL 13 only to fall on tiebreakers. On paper their lineup is probably the most consistently terrifying, but it was the same last clan league. Motivation seemed an issue last season, will it be again this time?

3. Master: Returning after three clan leagues absent. The depth isn't there relative to the other two clans in this grouping, but MoD and Rufus are playing 6 tournaments and are as good as anyone. Feels like a lot depends on how motivated Timi is and whether their support slots can step up.

Safe, but won't contend

4. Sninja: The winners of two of the last three clan leagues might surprise again. However, their reliance on a thin lineup though will be tested but what looks to stiffer championship on the top half of CL. Doesn't help that Master Meldarion who went 5-1 on Bork last season now plays for Master instead.

5. FCC: Beating out my own WG by less than a game last CL, FCC will find not relegating much easier this time. The lineup looks roughly the same with Ralph joining, but surprise standout ps-ews nowhere to be found. The relegation competition appears less stiff this go around.

Bouncing back to B

6. GG: A familiar spot for GG as they seem to promote to A only to get beat down to B just about every two clan leagues. They get 6th on the virtue of having more star power than Hawks and that being more important in A than high B consistency Hawks shows.

7. Hawks:
Hawks probably loves it when I predict against them at this point, getting 2nd in B from my prediction of 6th last season. This isn't B though and the lack of A-quality star power will be felt. Or they'll win the whole thing just to spite me.

Edited 2/26/2021 04:27:38
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/26/2021 04:51:57


goralgn 
Level 60
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Dont be So sure Phobos i believe we have enough in the tank to stay in division A as hawks
even if we go down i believe we will go down swinging
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/26/2021 08:02:17


goralgn 
Level 60
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My prediction For CL14 Division A
method: gut feeling + dice throw

1st Masters
2nd Python
3rd GG
4th One!
5th Hawks (I BELIEVEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE)
6th Sninja
7th FCC
- downvoted post by Arrow838™
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/26/2021 08:37:44


goralgn 
Level 60
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They were nearly relegated from Division B last season hawks Beat GG to 2nd place on what I call upset of the warzone year
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/26/2021 08:53:15


lineal2012
Level 61
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https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1t8_If4zCOOSLch0ppA-PgmGGPouhoEIP/edit#gid=1983443963

I copied players, teams and templates to last year predictions.
Tell me if you can open it.

To be clear - these are not my predictions - I want to make them soon though.

Edited 2/26/2021 08:53:34
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/26/2021 09:16:01


Master Meldarion 
Level 63
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Division A
1. ONE!
2. MASTER Clan
3. Python
4. SNinja
5. FCC
6. |GG|
7. HAWKS

Division B
1. M'Hunters
2. French
3. WG
4. Lu Fredd
5. Blitz
6. 101st
7. VIW

Division C
1. CORP
2. TSFH
3. Statisticians
4. Polish Eagles
5. Discovery
6. BIA
7. TLA

Division D
1. Vikinger
2. Varangian Guard
3. The Boiz Army
4. Hodopian Dynasty
5. Saber-Rattlers
6. USSR
7. IL LABORATORIO
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/26/2021 10:39:38


Ursus 
Level 64
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Division A:
1. ONE!
2. Python
3. MASTER clan
4. FCC
5. SNinja
6. |GG|
7. HAWKS

Division B:
1. M'Hunters
2. French Community
3. |WG|
4. [Blitz]
5. {101st}
6. LuFredd
7. [V.I.W]

Division C:
1. TSFH
2. Polish Eagles
3. Statisticians
4. CORP
5. Discovery
6. BIA
7. TLA

Division D:
1. Vikinger
2. Varangian Guard
3. TBA
4. The saber rattlers
5. Hodopian Dynasty
6. USSR
7. IL LABORATORIO

Edited 2/26/2021 10:39:50
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/26/2021 10:53:16


UnFairerOrb76
Level 56
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Not got the brains to say who is going to win but I do think saber-clan (my clan) will surpass expectations as we haven’t been fully blooded so nobody could truly say how good or bad we are. I’m just saying if their is a wild-card for division D we are it
- downvoted post by joeydavis761
- downvoted post by joeydavis761
- downvoted post by joeydavis761
- downvoted post by joeydavis761
- downvoted post by joeydavis761
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/26/2021 11:38:40


goralgn 
Level 60
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LF Let's Prove Them Wrong
- downvoted post by joeydavis761
- downvoted post by joeydavis761
- downvoted post by joeydavis761
- downvoted post by joeydavis761
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/26/2021 12:27:44


{TLA} LND
Level 60
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Joey stop spamming. If you must post all that bluster, please do it in one post like a normal person.
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/26/2021 12:27:50


(ง︡'-'︠)ง let's fight!! 
Level 62
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Oh wow. Very tough..

Division A
Hmm.. I have no real experience with the level in A. (sure played some games on ladders and tournaments against A-players, but if all games were serious... questionable. Although noone admits to have played serious if he just lost ;) )



ONE! - I have to rely on previous predictions, since i cant really compare this clans yet. I believe they are strong and with their quantity of good players they can outmanouver others. that close defeat of last season will give extra motivation.

Masters
Masters. Yeah..! I hope you do good :) There is a skill gap between A and B for sure. But if you dont do good... I dont want to battle with you in relegation. xD

Ninja
When I think on SNinja I believe they are doing good lineups. Some players they field are meant to be not so strong. But then they give a good fight though, at least on that kind of template they are playing.

Python
Python is a mixture of 2 middle A clans of last season. What happens if you mix 2 middling clans?
is 50% and 50% -> 100% or
is 50% and 50% -> 50%

FCC
FCC might be in the middle of nowhere. Nothing to win and nothing to lose. Behind the top clans, but meant to be safe from relegation. Can be a dangerous mix.

Hawks
Meant to be the underdog. To be realistic the highest feeling would be to not relegate. To expect any greater is ridiculous. Seeing the lineups of the competing clans in A - my jaw drops. I hope for some surprises. We have shown that we can win games against GG. We have nothing to lose. And the motivation is high. We know about our situation. We will take this to learn, to improve and the hope is not gone that we may surprise. Would be nice to beat out GG.

GG
With us the underdog of this Division. Knowing the history of the last 4 or 5 CL seasons, GG might not really expects any other than a relegation. How big the motivation will be?

Edited 2/26/2021 15:45:06
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/26/2021 13:17:58


We ride! 
Level 62
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Division A
1. ONE!
2. MASTER Clan
3. SNinja
4. Python
5. FCC
6. HAWKS
7. |GG|

Division B
1. M'Hunters
2. French
3. Lu Fredd
4. Blitz
5. WG
6. 101st
7. VIW

Division C:
1. Polish Eagles
2. CORP
3. TSFH
4. Statisticians
5. Discovery
6. BIA
7. TLA

Division D
1. Vikinger
2. Varangian Guard
3. The Boiz Army
4. Hodopian Dynasty
5. Saber-Rattlers
6. USSR
7. IL LABORATORIO
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/26/2021 15:39:55


Photonic Symmetry
Level 60
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Could only be bothered to predict C:
1. CORP
2. Discovery
3. Statisticians
4. TSFH
5. Polish Eagles
6. BIA
7. TLA
Clan league 14 prediction Thread: 2/26/2021 16:36:08


lineal2012
Level 61
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I have some conclusions from my last CL predictions:

- Average points difference between predictions and results was 22,81 points.
(Div A - 36.29/Div B - 25.43/Div C - 12/Div D - 16.67)
- The most undervalued team by me was HAWKS (68 points), the most overvalued Lynx (68 points).

Division D:
Team/Points/Predicted position

1. Vikinger          196 (1)
2. Varangian Guard   138 (2-5)
3. The Boiz Army     126 (2-5)
4. Hodopian Dynasty  126 (2-5)
5. USSR              118 (2-5)
6. IL LABORATORIO     70 (6-7)
7. Sabler-Rattlers    66 (6-7)


This year Division D looks much weaker than one in CL 13. Vikinger have no real opponent there. Fight for 2nd position can be interesting though as 4 clans seems to be fighting for it: Vargarian Guard, The Boiz Army, Hodopian Dynasty and to my surprise USSR as well (as underdogs). At the bottom we should have IL LABORATORIO and Sabler-Rattlers trying to not be last.

PS: Last year I overvalued USSR and undervalued TBA.

Edit: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1t8_If4zCOOSLch0ppA-PgmGGPouhoEIP/edit#gid=1983443963

Edited 2/26/2021 16:39:29
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