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Outlaws A vs M'Hunters: 12/29/2018 03:10:26


Rogue NK
Level 59
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It wasn't a terrible idea. CL started around Jan/Feb last year so it is reasonable to want to get the games done before CL 11.
Outlaws A vs M'Hunters: 12/29/2018 03:18:56


(deleted) 
Level 62
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True, anyways I'm retiring. I will probably update the scores at the very end when all the games of the battle are done. Although knowing Norman he'll probably do it automatically with the game analyzing ;)
Outlaws A vs M'Hunters: 12/29/2018 20:11:22


Emu Pub 
Level 65
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Sad to see you go Plat. Who is taking over Outlaws?
Outlaws A vs M'Hunters: 12/29/2018 21:02:41


Norman 
Level 58
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@♪♬ (☞゚∀゚)☞ Maayan ☚(゚ヮ゚☚) ♪♬ / Lightning McQueen:

Since you are already M'Hunters biggest external fan, how about you just rejoin? Only relevant rule for you would be to no whistleblowing around, we still call them whistleblowers rats.
Outlaws A vs M'Hunters: 1/8/2019 15:20:19


Master Meldarion 
Level 63
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12-8 now, outlaws needs to win 6/7 remaining battles to still win this.. And Rogue still hasn't accepted any games :p
Outlaws A vs M'Hunters: 1/9/2019 01:28:44

FiveStarGeneral
Level 61
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Typical Outlaws, sandbagging before CL.

"Only relevant rule for you would be to no whistleblowing around"
hmm, what is there to whistleblow about?

Edited 1/9/2019 01:30:05
Outlaws A vs M'Hunters: 1/9/2019 22:11:52


Beep Beep I'm A Jeep 
Level 64
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I hope you win 2-1 against Odin, get your first pick on the China template and lose the game.


@ Norman: Goddamn, guess what happened, haha.
Outlaws A vs M'Hunters: 1/9/2019 22:58:32


Norman 
Level 58
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Typical Outlaws, sandbagging before CL.

Yeah, it's definitely a probable scenario that that a whole clan conspired to not stomp M'Hunters on purpose in order to get underestimated, so their opponents in the next clan league... uhm... play their game as usual???

However there are probable scenarios and then there are likely scenarios. And the most likely scenario for me looks like M'Hunters is set up to poop the elitist div A party next season.



=== AyanM goes 0:3 against Facetroll ===

Facetroll is probably a great player however I'm only looking at AyanM here. Before the first game ended, I randomly opened up the chat in one of their games:
Facetroll: gl and hf for all games
AyanM: sorry cant wish you the same, i wanna win

As I read this, I immediately properly guessed a 3:0 victory for Facetroll. Sure, I believe my guy when he say that he "wants to win", however there is a difference between "wanting to win" and "wanting to win hard enough to actually care about ones moves".

Here some examples:
https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=17321518 --> There was some talk here going on about the North brokenly being OP. I respect players challenging this talk by going for a creative different strategy, however as in AyanMs case, he most likely just doesn't read those strategy discussions.

https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=17321525 --> AyanM somewhat countered the +3 first turn bonus in Sporades. However he never bothered about moving in there until his opponent showed up there himself turn 3. I understand a thought process of not moving into that bonus, guessing that the opponent won't finish it due the danger of getting snipped. However as in AyanMs case, I'm just to certain, that he just didn't bother at all. Well, as I said, there is just this difference between "wana win a game" and "wana win a game hard enough in order to form a valid hypothesis about the opponents picks".

Edited 1/9/2019 22:59:49
Outlaws A vs M'Hunters: 1/9/2019 23:12:26


Master Meldarion 
Level 63
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Well with AI winning 2-1 vs Odin it's official then; M'Hunters won this battle (: congrats!
Outlaws A vs M'Hunters: 1/10/2019 22:29:31


Norman 
Level 58
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Thanks dude. First I was sure that Meldarion sounded an awful lot like Melethron, so I just ignored you. However it's nice to have finally a non M'Hunters alt chearing for us :)
Outlaws A vs M'Hunters: 1/11/2019 21:54:02


Norman 
Level 58
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AI wins 3:2 against Odin

--- AI wins against Odin on the old ladder settings: https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=17321394 ---

AIs picks were pretty bad while Odins picks looked sound. AI didn't get punished appropriately for how he picked in Europe, however even with his lucky outcome he should have lost the game after picks. As expected, Odin had the game pretty much completely won after turn 3... and this is when it all went to shit. In such a situation where a game is almost decided there are 2 involved parties.

- If you are the winning party you have to scan for options how you could still throw the game and then play as cautious as possible.

- If you are the loosing party you have 2 options. Either you press the surrender button or you go fully YOLO madman mode. I have seen enough clanmates "safely playing out their losing game". AI was never one of those guys and he got rewarded here.


--- AI loses against Odin on the China template https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=17321432 ---
Odin picked the board for very quick income however stuff like the +2 Shanghai offer no board coverage at all. One could argue that his fast income played out perfectly regarding the early fights, however I just believe that he could have gotten punished by superior opponent income from bigger bonuses. Odin won because he sniped AIs bonus in Yunnan. Thinking about the board I could have also quite well locked in my picks with AIs picks and similarly gotten my bonus snipped.

This was the highest bracked matchup from two div A clans, so I believe it's sound to say that this is how the pros play this template out. It very much proves my point, that the template isn't even remotely as bad as some guys made it in this thread. The picking is kinda static but not completely. The North isn't gamebreaking OP but smart players play around the possibility of not getting the +1 there. Also, as I believe to be the most likely scenario, both players met after turn 3.
Outlaws A vs M'Hunters: 1/11/2019 23:29:48


Norman 
Level 58
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Meanwhile our retiree Platinum finally hit the 600.000 points earned last month ;)
Outlaws A vs M'Hunters: 1/11/2019 23:43:54


Min34 
Level 63
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lol
Outlaws A vs M'Hunters: 1/12/2019 08:44:07


Lightning McQueen
Level 55
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Since you are already M'Hunters biggest external fan, how about you just rejoin? Only relevant rule for you would be to no whistleblowing around, we still call them whistleblowers rats.

Thanks Norman, but still I will be an alt with this account. If MH starts a training clan/ an alt friendly allied clan, I will join it :)

And congrats to MH winning this battle.
Outlaws A vs M'Hunters: 1/12/2019 09:29:19


Beep Beep I'm A Jeep 
Level 64
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@Norman: Thanks for analyzing :)
Looking at my picks in the Old Ladder game afterwards, I still don't see a huge blunder from my side. yeah, I was kinda lost after picks, but I would never ever expect someone to pick Central America 1st in this kind of distribution... You can never use the leftovers to complete the bonus which sucks even more in WR settings...however...

And for the China game, damn, I have never seen someone checking Yunnan. Well played on Odin's part.

Also, a big thank you to Odin for delaying the games about Christmas time, so I didn't get booted.
Outlaws A vs M'Hunters: 1/12/2019 11:59:23


Norman 
Level 58
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@AI:
- I see nothing wrong with Odin picking Central America first and imo it's also not out of the ordinary. Odin ended up with the likely scenario of having just a single leftover and leftovers could potentially get used to either complete South America or attack there. As for leftovers, Odins pick in East China was more dangerous, since there taking East China first would be a gamble which could have failed.

- Odin picked the board in a manner that, apart from losing hist first pick, he would be happy with the outcome. Even if I knew Odins picks from the start I would have difficulties finding picks in order to beat him (apart from me knowing about Greenland). For me picking is about thinking through a lot of different combinations and once I come up with something that most likely won't backfire, I lock my picks in.

- Your picks in Antartica and South America were very vulnerable from Central America. You took a risk there which Odin didn't accept. As for myself, I have to be careful of not making to smartass comments with the power of hindsight, however I'm very certain that I also wouldn't have accepted that risk.

- Odin picked East China while you didn't. Picking East China went well with Odin not picking Antartica first, because he could attack an Australia followup bonus from you there. Also with this distribution East China was a superb pick, offering Odin great safety and good expansion options. There is also an imbalance between East China and Europe since East China can attack Europe efficiently, however it's not the case the other way around.

- As for your Europe pick, West Russia loses against Scandinavian Peninsula. You had great pressure moving in there, had to hope Odin wouldn't take the bonus first and even with your counter working out perfectly you gained pretty much nothing, apart from you now being in danger of losing your spot in Scandinavian Peninsula but not vice versa. Of course it played out differently, however the way it played out was probable but not likely.

- You pick number 5 then was just a complete gamble of you losing your picks 3 and 4. There were many other scenarios of you getting your pick number 5.

- You pick number 6 would have only made some sense... against Odin tripple picking in Europe??? However even if you assumed Odin let Blowfly make his picks, with that pick 6 you were just risking getting eliminated there and you could have just picked East China in order to outexpand + attack Odin / Blowfly. The more likely scenario with you getting your pick 6 is you also getting your pick 3.

Edited 1/12/2019 12:28:58
Outlaws A vs M'Hunters: 1/12/2019 16:02:06


Bonsai 
Level 63
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My favorite part of this might be that one of your "future stars" didn't even stay in the clan for the duration of the battle.
Outlaws A vs M'Hunters: 1/12/2019 18:48:48


NoName 2.1
Level 60
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It was only my fault, Bonsai. M'Hunters gaves me the opportunity to play this battle, but I went away just to help another clan of a my childhood friend.

I don't have a level to stay in Clan League A, im not a future star im sure for that
Outlaws A vs M'Hunters: 1/12/2019 19:42:12


Beep Beep I'm A Jeep 
Level 64
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@Bonsai: Understandable. There's not much else you can be happy about in this battle :)
Outlaws A vs M'Hunters: 1/13/2019 04:35:25


Bonsai 
Level 63
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Hey, if you guys won, congrats and good job.

Now where's the scathing criticism by your leader who didn't play of the game bOOOm and I played on Strat ME that only illustrates that neither one of us knew what we were doing? Lol.
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