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❸ Wolves ❸: 9/23/2014 05:56:13


Dr. Stupid 
Level 60
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ok, here's my theory with the data I gathered (took me a lot longer than I had supposed). to a certain extent wolves need to vote together without actually looking like they're voting together. I went through all the wolves2 game with the knowledge of who were wolves and tabulated the 7 voting rounds. (sorry for all the data I'm throwing out here)

round 1: wolves vote 80% for the lynch victim; village votes 41%; Result: mislynch
round 2: wolves vote 50% for the lynch victim; village votes 66%; Result: dead wolf!
round 3: wolves vote 66% for the lynch victim; village votes 50%; Result: mislynch
round 4: wolves vote 100% for lynch victim; village votes 71%; Result: mislynch
round 5: wolves vote 100% for lynch victim; village votes 33%; Result: mislynch
round 6: wolves vote 100% for lynch victim; village votes 33%; Result: mislynch
round 7: wolves vote 100% for lynch victim; village votes 50%; Result: mislynch

The ONLY round the village outvoted the wolves percentage wise was the one round that they actually caught a wolf.

So far, the only four players that have voted "with the bloc" this game are Silver (already under suspicion), Arun, Gnuff, Tactical. I consider these my top suspects as of now, but I will not vote until I hear some more discussion.

Honestly though, guys. We gotta stop having people vote piecemeal and getting sent on these crazy runs at innocents. Can we all discuss until we know who we all are voting for before people start casting random oddball votes out there?
❸ Wolves ❸: 9/23/2014 06:04:19


Genghis 
Level 54
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*clap clap* exactly why I abstained yesterday. Tomorrow's voting round will be ... Stupid.
❸ Wolves ❸: 9/23/2014 06:38:20


Ⓖ. Ⓐrun 
Level 57
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I don't know exactly how you got that data :/

I'm not a wolf; I'm giving all the info I have here but I'm just a villager.
❸ Wolves ❸: 9/23/2014 08:40:03

Dom365 
Level 67
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When night fell, the villagers all returned home, hoping that they wouldn't be targeted during the night. The settled down, apprehensively, and prayed.

But one man did not sleep. He had a vendetta against one man, and stalked him back to his house, where he waited outside, hidden in the shadows, until the man was asleep. Maybe he had got annoyed with his attitude? Maybe he wanted the man to concentrate on his Wild West game? Maybe, even, he thought the man was a wolf (although given the 3 games so far, this seems unlikely)! Whatever the reason, the man stole out of the shadows in the dead of the night, whipped out his pistol and shot the man through his heart.


Silver is DEAD. He was a villager.




At the sound of the pistol, the villagers amassed at the scene of the death, murmuring quietly, and trying to understand the situation. Meanwhile, one man stayed at home. He was worried it was a trap, and did not want to be caught out in the open if the wolves game for him.

Alas, his tactic was wrong, and the wolves came for him at home anyway, and though he heard them coming and tried to escape through the roof, one wolf had stayed outside and met the man as he slid down the thatch and into the path of the waiting wolf.


rento is DEAD. He was a Seer.




Meanwhile, one man missed all of the events, as he'd consumed far too much whisky and vodka the previous evening, and passed out next to the well outside the inn. He would not wake for a while, either!

Frankdeslimste is DRUNK.
❸ Wolves ❸: 9/23/2014 10:07:39

Silver 
Level 56
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Damn it, shot by my own kind. :(

EDIT:
Actually I get that I had to go. No hard feelings as I was the number 1 suspect and wasting a lynch wouldn't be cool. :/
GG.

Edited 9/23/2014 10:19:57
❸ Wolves ❸: 9/23/2014 10:23:45


[WM] Gnuffone 
Level 60
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So we basically lost... 2 seer RIP. Some villagers as well.
❸ Wolves ❸: 9/23/2014 10:44:21


Tac(ky)tical 
Level 63
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Nah Silver, whoever killed you was being stupid. We hardly had any evidence to convict you, and now we've lost our two most proactive villagers, one of them being a seer (our second seer).
❸ Wolves ❸: 9/23/2014 10:44:41


Coaleyes
Level 59
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On the plus side for now I can talk :)

*Better ask me questions b4 the silencers come

Edited 9/23/2014 10:50:11
❸ Wolves ❸: 9/23/2014 10:52:42


Tac(ky)tical 
Level 63
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So far, the most obvious people we've gone after turned out to be villagers. Maybe switch up tactics? Go after the lesa-obvious, that is how a wolf is supposed to act, of course. Instead of shooting down our own, maybe we should look into Timinator today.
❸ Wolves ❸: 9/23/2014 10:56:45


Tac(ky)tical 
Level 63
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Coal, maybe you should say your piece now.
❸ Wolves ❸: 9/23/2014 11:15:32


Coaleyes
Level 59
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Kk

Firstly I see Apollo as a potential suspect as they just seem to follow other votes rather quickly and does not give much reasoning.

I also feel that Mod hasn't really been contributing much of use.

Tatical Ifeel you comment way to much on every point (nothing personal)

I feel his balls, skunk are def villages and garun I think is although I'm not 100% and therfore I trust them.

Today I feel an Apollo or Mod lynch may bring positive results, although tbf the probability of lynch a wolf this time is more likely today. Although to be fair I won't cast a vote just yet due to the likelihood of myself being silenced for a 3rd day.
❸ Wolves ❸: 9/23/2014 11:49:22

JSA 
Level 60
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Guys, I claim to be an idiot. I saw skunk day 1 and it was revealed he is a villager. Since I am the idiot, he is not a regular villager. Most likely, he is a wolf. Night 2 I seered silver :( skunk looks the most suspicious to me.

Assuming skunk is a wolf, coal eyes should be next based on his statement above.

Edited 9/23/2014 11:52:08
❸ Wolves ❸: 9/23/2014 12:01:12


Timinator • apex 
Level 67
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Assuming you're saying the truth JSA:

Remaining possibilities for skunk:
2x Angel
2x Elder
2x Vigilante
1x JuggaWolf
8x Wolf

9/15 he's a wolf, 6/15 he's not


Other possible voting-option: Tactical Incursion
Already suspected him last time for double-bandwagoning, now he tries to rise a campaign against me. i assume he might want me out because i'm one of the most active remaining players, which sounds wolfy to me
❸ Wolves ❸: 9/23/2014 12:13:42


Coaleyes
Level 59
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@JSA

1)btw it's her not he
2) I still belive skunk is not a wolf but I spose you can say guilty untill proven innocent.
❸ Wolves ❸: 9/23/2014 12:19:05

JSA 
Level 60
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3/5 chance skunk is a wolf. That's the best we have to go on. After that, there are three that are most likely wolves.

1. Clavicles vile. Before silver died, he said there was a 99% chance clavicus is a wolf. This is because of how he played this game compared to silvers game where he was a mafia member. He played the same in both games.

2. Timinator. Who was rento trying to get voted off? Timi and frank. Frank is drunk today so that makes it likely timinator is a wolf. Also, we know the wolf is very smart, they have taken out two of the strongest villagers so far.

3. Coal eyes. Based on her defense of skunk.

I am planning on voting clavicus right now. If I die tonight, remember my statements.

Edited 9/23/2014 12:19:38
❸ Wolves ❸: 9/23/2014 12:31:13


Coaleyes
Level 59
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I'll remember but you have also contradicted yourself as you say one is likely and voted the other?

Surely that's an issue to start with.

I feel there are stil some strong villagers and wolves a like.

I think we should wait for a few more imputs before we take to voting.
❸ Wolves ❸: 9/23/2014 12:53:10

JSA 
Level 60
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I didn't contradict myself. I said I think timi is likely a wolf. I think clavicus is more likely to be a wolf even. But I agree on waiting a bit to vote.
❸ Wolves ❸: 9/23/2014 12:56:38


Coaleyes
Level 59
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Atm I'm just enjoying words.
❸ Wolves ❸: 9/23/2014 13:07:26


Ace Windu 
Level 58
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I don't like tactical Incursion's reasoning. It's basically "Too townie to be town." That's a logical fallacy.

JSA, why does Frank being drunk indicate Timi is a wolf?
❸ Wolves ❸: 9/23/2014 13:14:07

Rento 
Level 61
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Shame I wasn't shot. Would be more funny than that.
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