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Warzone Dying?: 2/1/2019 01:44:11


Benjamin628 
Level 59
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Short Answer: No! In fact, the opposite. The title is clickbait

So I'm sure that this has been done numerous times before, but I wanted to give a lot of insight about how the rate of warlight game production has increased, and doing statistics on a game I've spent 2000+ Hours on is a lot more fun than reading The Great Gatsby.

https://imgur.com/a/IeL1VN4

The first two million games don't really count, since it apparently took 4 years to get to that point so we will start our analysis here:

https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=2000000

This game was created on January 18th, 2012. The end game for this analysis is here:

https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=17700000

This game was created two days ago, on January 29th, 2019. That is an elapsed time of 2568 days (7 Years) for 16.7 Million games, or an average rate of 164 days for every 1 million games. The standard deviation of this sample is 31 days (About 20% of the mean).

In the chart it says the average is 162 days, this is because I multiplied the last 700k games by 10/7 so that it is calibrated to 1 million, and this data point that is already lower than the mean, multiplied by a constant greater than 1 would thus increase it's impact on the mean as opposed to just a straight Games/Days.

https://imgur.com/a/d7kvL9x

Here is a pretty nice graph with a trendline that shows the increasing speed of game creation over the past 7 years.

I think that overall the reason many people seem to think the community is dying or Warzone is dying is because of the presence of Quickmatch which has destroyed things like Open Games and the Real-Time Ladder, which have a lot more interaction between players. I think that "The Community" will always be ~5% of active Warzone players, but Quickmatch and some other things have led to a decreased "feel" of a community.
Warzone Dying?: 2/1/2019 01:46:40


TBest 
Level 60
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The title is clickbait


GG..... damn!

Anyways nice post :P

Over 10,000 multi-player games per day is not bad :)

Edited 2/1/2019 01:49:43
Warzone Dying?: 2/1/2019 02:05:01

Fizzer 
Level 60

Warzone Creator
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Don't listen to him. WarLight died in 2017.
Warzone Dying?: 2/1/2019 02:32:02


Quicksilver 
Level 60
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A+ joke
Warzone Dying?: 2/1/2019 03:16:30


Bane 
Level 60
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Warzone Dying?: 2/1/2019 03:21:21


MrTrolldemort 
Level 58
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I'm looking forward to the publication of your thesis. It will help me greatly for my own research when I get a PhD in Warlight History

Edited 2/1/2019 03:21:31
Warzone Dying?: 2/1/2019 03:24:25


Benjamin628 
Level 59
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Don't listen to him. WarLight died in 2017.

Thanks for the ability to change subjects of threads :)
Warzone Dying?: 2/1/2019 03:49:01


Bane 
Level 60
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When warzone does, I hope it takes us all down with it.
Warzone Dying?: 2/1/2019 03:49:39


celticfringe 
Level 63
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does this mean I shouldnt get a warlight tattoo?
Warzone Dying?: 2/1/2019 15:57:31


Dave the Okay
Level 59
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It's a great game. TY Fizzer.
Warzone Dying?: 2/1/2019 20:57:12


Nergal
Level 60
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Great analysis based on looking at only created games.
I am just wondering what the number of UNIQUE active players are on exactly those dates that have 1M games increments.

Because there is a clear increase in length of duration near the end (4/20/16 - /22/17)
But then it drops sharply, due to QM?

If more players have more alts that need more games to level and they have QM on, that would have a definite impact on the statistics.
Warzone Dying?: 2/2/2019 02:39:27


Benjamin628 
Level 59
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If more players have more alts that need more games to level and they have QM on, that would have a definite impact on the statistics.

Kinda doubt that, I think just playing QM in general leads to a big impact on the statistics, not so much alts.
Warzone Dying?: 2/2/2019 03:36:04


Kenny • apex 
Level 59
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I feel like Fizzer has gotten sillier every year when replying to threads. I don't dislike it.
Warzone Dying?: 2/2/2019 18:54:18


Zero2
Level 57
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Warzone is my favorite game, and I do think that the state of things is pretty good as it stands. I have played this game for years and have never truly been disappointed with it, and the recent update I feel has also improved the game quite a bit.

However I also feel there are a few concerns that are understandably and undeniably, quite different tackle, such as open games filling slower than in past years (a concern that has been addressed many times by users), the userpool of skilled players being quite scarce, etc.

But these aren't urgent concerns of mine, if they were, I wouldn't remain a WZ addict. I'm looking forward to seeing how this game continues to evolve as more years pass by, and hopefully a new elite clan will arise to challenge the Masters and the Lynx's. :)
Warzone Dying?: 2/3/2019 01:30:12


Kenny • apex 
Level 59
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What's kinda funny is what you've talked about has already happened. WM was the best clan for 2 years uncontested really. At the time 101st and [P] who were the mother clans to Lynx and WG weren't really considered competitors. Then Apex swiped the crown away from WM and proved to be more skilled than WG and 101st/Lynx. Masters during this time were decent but weren't really considered that great. Then Lynx and Masters became the top tier. Now the top tier is gonna change. Lynx isn't even the same clan as it was when they first became great competitors. JSA, Darkpie, Mudderducker, GreenTea, Kantos etc all don't really compete anymore or are retired. WG is hardly the same clan Marc2013, Summer, Oh Noes, Tenshi, Lord Syvedyas don't compete anymore.

There's always an ebb and a tide. Every clan I've mentioned up there has died or become much bigger. The standard clan used to be like 7-8 members. Now most clans sponsor over 20 easily even the competitive clans. It's pretty crazy how many new faces come in and change the game every year.
Warzone Dying?: 2/3/2019 06:03:06


Jefferspin 
Level 61
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I thought it died in 2015 and 2016 as well?
Warzone Dying?: 2/3/2019 13:51:12


Benjamin628 
Level 59
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I thought it died in 2015 and 2016 as well?

I don't think anyone who replied to this thread thinks WZ is dying
Warzone Dying?: 2/3/2019 14:09:08

IRiseYouFall
Level 59
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cause it's dead
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