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MEGA ANALYSIS: Income/Differential/Duration: 6/27/2015 22:00:37

smileyleg 
Level 61
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Five tables coming up in separate posts:

In each table, the columns are the turn numbers. These are after the turn, so turn 0 is after distribution, turn 1 is after the first turn where you can move, etc.

Table 1: What % of games last N turns, and what % of games end after the Nth turn
Table 2: By turn, % of times a player has I income
Table 3: By turn, when a player has I income, what is their win %
Table 4: By turn, % of times the income differential is D
Table 5: By turn, when the income differential is D, what is the win % of the player with the higher income

All tables are based on 100,000 1v1 ladder games, all ranks, games with boots excluded.
MEGA ANALYSIS: Income/Differential/Duration: 6/27/2015 22:00:58

smileyleg 
Level 61
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Table 1: What % of games last N turns, and what % of games end after the Nth turn

TURN      0     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12    13    14    15    16    17    18    19    20
LONG  100.0  99.9  99.7  99.1  97.7  95.6  91.1  86.0  80.3  74.4  66.7  59.5  52.3  45.6  38.1  31.4  25.6  21.0  16.6  13.1  10.2
END     0.1   0.2   0.6   1.4   2.1   4.5   5.0   5.7   5.9   7.7   7.2   7.1   6.7   7.5   6.6   5.8   4.6   4.4   3.5   2.8   2.0
MEGA ANALYSIS: Income/Differential/Duration: 6/27/2015 22:01:19

smileyleg 
Level 61
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Table 2: By turn, % of times a player has I income
I\T     0     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12    13    14    15    16    17    18    19    20
  5 100.0  90.1  24.9   9.3   5.6   3.8   2.9   2.4   2.0   1.9   1.6   1.5   1.4   1.3   1.3   1.2   1.2   1.2   1.2   1.3   1.4
  8   0.0   7.5  33.9  23.6  15.8  11.0   8.4   6.6   5.4   4.5   3.7   3.1   2.6   2.2   2.0   1.7   1.7   1.5   1.5   1.4   1.3
  9   0.0   2.3  30.9  22.7  14.8  10.5   7.9   6.3   5.3   4.4   3.6   3.1   2.7   2.4   2.1   1.9   1.8   1.7   1.6   1.4   1.3
 10   0.0   0.0   4.7   5.6   3.6   2.6   2.2   1.9   1.7   1.6   1.4   1.3   1.2   1.2   1.1   1.1   1.0   1.0   0.9   1.0   0.9
 11   0.0   0.0   4.0  10.8   9.1   7.5   6.3   5.0   3.8   2.8   2.2   1.8   1.5   1.2   1.1   1.0   0.8   0.7   0.7   0.6   0.5
 12   0.0   0.0   1.5  18.5  19.7  18.4  17.1  15.1  12.9  10.6   8.9   7.6   6.4   5.6   4.9   4.4   4.0   3.7   3.4   3.2   2.9
 13   0.0   0.0   0.1   7.1  11.3  10.9  10.7   9.9   8.8   7.7   6.7   6.0   5.4   4.8   4.3   4.0   3.7   3.4   3.2   3.0   2.9
 14   0.0   0.0   0.0   1.6   4.4   4.5   4.1   3.9   3.5   3.1   2.8   2.6   2.5   2.3   2.1   2.0   2.0   2.0   2.0   1.8   1.8
 15   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.6   6.2   8.5   7.9   7.6   7.2   6.7   6.0   5.3   4.9   4.5   4.1   3.8   3.6   3.4   3.2   2.9   2.8
 16   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   6.3  10.1   9.9  10.0  10.2   9.8   9.1   8.4   7.6   6.9   6.3   5.6   5.3   4.9   4.5   4.3   4.1
 17   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   2.2   5.3   6.0   6.2   6.6   6.7   6.6   6.2   5.9   5.6   5.4   5.1   4.8   4.6   4.4   4.3   4.5
 18   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.8   3.3   4.4   4.3   4.6   4.8   4.9   4.9   4.8   4.7   4.5   4.5   4.6   4.4   4.3   4.3   4.4
 19   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   1.5   3.4   4.1   4.6   5.1   5.3   5.3   5.2   5.0   4.8   4.7   4.6   4.4   4.2   4.0   4.0
 20   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   1.0   3.2   4.0   4.7   5.2   5.6   5.8   5.7   5.7   5.5   5.4   5.2   4.9   4.9   4.9   4.4
 21   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.7   2.5   3.4   3.9   4.3   4.8   5.1   5.1   5.1   5.0   4.9   5.0   4.7   4.8   4.7   4.6
 22   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   1.5   2.5   3.0   3.5   3.9   4.3   4.5   4.6   4.8   4.9   4.9   5.1   5.1   5.1   4.8
 23   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.9   2.2   2.8   3.4   3.8   4.2   4.5   4.6   4.6   4.8   4.7   4.8   4.7   4.7   5.1
 24   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.4   1.4   1.8   2.5   3.0   3.3   3.6   3.7   3.9   3.9   3.9   4.1   4.2   4.1   4.1
 25   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   1.0   1.5   2.0   2.5   2.8   3.1   3.3   3.4   3.5   3.5   3.6   3.5   3.5   3.7
 26   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.9   1.6   2.1   2.6   3.0   3.2   3.5   3.8   3.8   4.0   4.2   4.2   4.3   4.1
 27   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.7   1.4   2.0   2.4   2.8   3.1   3.4   3.6   3.8   3.9   4.0   4.1   4.3   4.4
 28   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.7   1.2   1.6   2.0   2.4   2.6   2.8   3.0   3.1   3.2   3.1   3.3   3.2
 29   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.5   0.9   1.3   1.6   1.9   2.1   2.3   2.4   2.4   2.5   2.6   2.7   2.7
 30   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.4   0.7   1.1   1.4   1.7   2.0   2.2   2.4   2.4   2.5   2.6   2.7   2.8
 31   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.5   0.9   1.3   1.7   1.9   2.2   2.4   2.7   2.9   3.0   3.2   3.3   3.6
 32   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.3   0.6   0.9   1.2   1.5   1.7   1.8   1.9   2.1   2.2   2.3   2.4   2.6
 33   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.4   0.7   0.9   1.1   1.3   1.4   1.4   1.6   1.6   1.6   1.7
 34   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   0.7   0.9   1.1   1.2   1.5   1.6   1.7   1.8   1.7   1.9
 35   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.6   0.9   1.1   1.3   1.4   1.5   1.6   1.8   1.9   2.0
 36   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.3   0.5   0.8   0.9   1.1   1.3   1.4   1.5   1.6   1.7   1.7
 37   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.3   0.5   0.6   0.8   0.9   0.9   1.0   1.1   1.1   1.1
 38   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.5   0.7   0.7   0.9   0.9   1.0   1.0   1.1
 39   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.4   0.5   0.6   0.7   0.8   0.9   1.0   1.0   1.1
 40   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.3   0.4   0.5   0.6   0.8   0.8   0.9   0.9   0.9
 41   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.3   0.5   0.5   0.6   0.6   0.7   0.8   0.9
 42   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.2   0.3   0.4   0.5   0.5   0.6   0.6   0.5
 43   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.2   0.3   0.4   0.4   0.5   0.6   0.6   0.5
 44   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.2   0.3   0.3   0.4   0.5   0.5   0.5   0.5
 45   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.2   0.3   0.3   0.3   0.5   0.4   0.4
MEGA ANALYSIS: Income/Differential/Duration: 6/27/2015 22:01:34

smileyleg 
Level 61
Report
Table 3: By turn, when a player has I income, what is their win %
I\T     0     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12    13    14    15    16    17    18    19    20    
  5  50.0  48.5  34.0  24.1  17.7  13.0  10.0   7.5   6.3   5.3   4.9   3.5   3.6   2.7   2.4   2.7   2.5   2.9   3.1   3.1   2.3    
  8     -  64.6  52.3  46.4  41.5  34.4  28.3  23.8  20.6  17.1  15.2  14.2  12.9  11.1   9.8   8.9  10.1   9.6   8.6   7.7   9.0    
  9     -  60.2  55.8  50.5  46.7  39.8  33.9  28.8  24.4  20.2  18.2  16.2  16.0  14.6  15.1  14.1  12.5  11.7   9.5  11.0   9.6    
 10     -  61.4  58.5  46.0  38.9  32.7  26.3  21.4  18.3  14.8  12.5  11.1  10.1   8.1   6.6   6.6   6.0   6.9   6.9   4.1   5.1    
 11     - 100.0  67.2  56.8  54.0  52.0  48.4  44.6  40.5  37.3  34.1  29.9  27.5  22.9  22.7  23.4  22.2  19.1  14.1  13.7  11.2    
 12     -     -  71.4  57.8  54.7  54.3  51.0  47.2  42.9  38.5  34.5  30.4  27.6  24.8  23.0  22.3  20.2  19.7  18.8  17.9  20.7    
 13     -     -  70.9  60.5  54.1  53.9  51.8  48.4  44.2  39.6  35.3  31.6  28.8  25.8  23.1  21.6  19.5  17.8  18.8  16.9  15.4    
 14     -     -  80.0  65.2  55.9  52.5  51.8  49.7  45.8  40.8  36.3  31.8  27.9  22.9  21.0  19.4  18.7  19.3  18.5  17.6  18.2    
 15     -     -     -  74.1  60.2  57.7  59.4  59.3  56.4  53.5  48.2  44.1  39.5  35.5  32.4  28.0  26.4  24.2  24.5  21.8  21.5    
 16     -     -     -  72.9  62.6  59.3  60.9  61.0  59.4  55.9  52.3  48.4  44.4  40.7  38.1  35.6  34.3  31.8  29.8  28.9  26.4    
 17     -     -     -  88.5  69.5  61.7  62.0  61.8  59.9  57.2  53.2  49.1  44.9  42.4  39.3  37.7  34.4  32.3  30.3  31.1  27.8    
 18     -     -     - 100.0  67.7  59.3  54.6  54.5  54.7  53.4  48.9  44.9  41.7  39.0  36.5  33.1  32.1  31.6  30.4  30.7  30.6    
 19     -     -     -     -  75.8  65.6  58.4  59.6  62.0  61.5  59.7  56.7  52.4  50.1  47.6  44.4  42.5  38.9  35.9  32.8  33.2    
 20     -     -     -     -  83.3  70.4  62.3  62.6  64.8  64.0  62.5  60.0  57.1  53.4  50.8  47.5  45.2  41.9  41.5  39.6  39.1    
 21     -     -     -     - 100.0  71.3  64.8  62.9  63.8  64.7  63.0  61.2  59.3  56.6  52.8  49.5  47.8  46.1  44.9  43.8  41.0    
 22     -     -     -     -     -  77.4  67.3  60.1  59.3  60.3  58.7  57.6  55.0  53.3  50.4  48.3  47.1  45.8  44.3  41.2  41.3    
 23     -     -     -     -     -  84.6  68.4  60.9  59.3  61.3  59.9  59.1  57.2  55.4  53.7  51.3  48.5  48.4  46.7  46.4  43.7    
 24     -     -     -     -     - 100.0  73.7  67.0  66.5  68.1  67.0  67.1  66.1  63.7  61.2  59.3  59.6  58.4  54.2  52.1  50.3    
 25     -     -     -     -     - 100.0  75.5  68.5  66.0  66.2  66.9  66.2  65.3  64.7  62.1  59.6  57.7  56.2  56.3  57.3  59.1    
 26     -     -     -     -     - 100.0  80.2  71.2  66.3  65.8  67.1  66.6  66.1  64.2  62.5  61.4  59.1  58.8  56.8  56.6  54.0    
 27     -     -     -     -     -     -  85.9  71.9  66.7  64.4  66.2  66.0  65.0  63.2  62.3  61.3  59.9  57.7  60.4  59.2  56.3    
 28     -     -     -     -     -     -  91.7  77.2  69.9  69.1  69.4  70.3  70.3  69.5  68.7  69.5  68.1  66.3  63.5  63.2  63.3    
 29     -     -     -     -     -     -  50.0  75.7  70.0  69.4  72.2  73.6  73.7  73.8  73.4  71.4  70.4  70.0  69.1  70.6  67.8    
 30     -     -     -     -     -     -     -  85.1  75.6  72.2  71.9  74.4  74.1  75.6  75.0  75.0  74.1  73.6  72.0  69.6  70.8    
 31     -     -     -     -     -     - 100.0  83.3  76.9  74.8  75.1  75.7  76.9  76.7  77.0  75.0  73.5  73.0  70.7  69.2  68.9    
 32     -     -     -     -     -     -     -  88.9  79.5  74.2  77.3  76.9  78.0  78.9  77.0  75.8  76.2  77.9  77.5  76.8  73.3    
 33     -     -     -     -     -     -     - 100.0  89.8  82.3  81.9  81.7  84.0  84.6  82.5  81.8  82.2  82.6  81.8  83.1  85.2    
 34     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -  88.9  86.1  83.1  85.2  86.5  85.7  85.1  85.5  84.3  84.4  83.4  83.8  82.2    
 35     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -  91.8  85.4  85.4  86.0  86.3  87.2  88.2  86.5  87.4  85.8  87.1  85.9  84.5    
 36     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -  94.8  87.0  86.1  85.9  86.3  86.1  86.6  88.9  89.2  88.4  87.5  86.4  89.3    
 37     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -  95.7  88.0  89.9  90.8  88.6  90.4  90.8  92.3  91.7  92.3  93.7  88.4  91.7    
 38     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -  85.7  89.1  93.1  90.9  92.2  95.0  95.0  94.4  92.4  92.4  90.4  89.8  90.7    
 39     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     - 100.0 100.0  91.6  91.9  94.0  93.8  92.4  94.6  94.7  94.8  94.9  96.4  95.3    
 40     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     - 100.0  94.9  90.2  96.7  96.7  96.8  96.3  95.9  96.5  95.8  94.8  95.0  95.3    
 41     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -  93.3  94.2  92.7  97.4  97.1  97.5  97.7  96.3  95.1  95.1  95.8  97.6    
 42     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     - 100.0  96.0  98.3  98.3  97.8  97.6  97.8  97.5  95.7  97.1  97.4  97.1    
 43     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     - 100.0  93.9  95.7  98.5  96.7  96.3  98.1  99.0  97.4  98.2  99.3  99.0    
 44     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     - 100.0 100.0  98.4 100.0  99.4  99.4  99.5  99.5  99.0  98.6  99.2  99.0    
 45     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     - 100.0 100.0  96.6  96.2  97.6  99.4 100.0 100.0 100.0  98.1  98.7    
MEGA ANALYSIS: Income/Differential/Duration: 6/27/2015 22:01:53

smileyleg 
Level 61
Report
Table 4: By turn, % of times the income differential is D
 D\T     0     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12    13    14    15    16    17    18    19    20    
  +0 100.0  82.4  31.1  22.8  18.4  16.1  13.7  11.9  10.4   8.8   7.6   6.6   6.1   5.3   4.9   4.7   4.3   4.1   4.1   4.1   3.9    
  +1   0.0   0.5  27.6  27.8  25.5  23.8  21.1  18.9  16.8  14.7  13.3  11.9  10.7   9.6   9.1   8.5   8.2   7.7   7.5   7.1   7.2    
  +2   0.0   0.0   7.1  14.4  15.9  16.4  15.9  14.9  13.4  12.3  11.5  10.3   9.7   8.8   8.4   8.2   8.0   7.8   7.6   7.6   7.3    
  +3   0.0  13.0  19.2  18.4  17.8  16.7  16.2  15.1  14.1  13.0  12.0  11.0  10.1   9.3   8.6   8.2   7.8   7.6   7.4   6.9   7.2    
  +4   0.0   4.0  12.3  11.7  12.9  12.9  13.4  13.2  12.9  12.1  11.1  10.5   9.6   9.1   8.6   8.2   7.4   7.2   7.1   7.2   6.9    
  +5   0.0   0.0   1.4   2.7   4.7   6.0   7.5   8.2   8.6   8.6   8.6   8.1   7.9   7.6   7.2   6.6   6.6   6.3   6.3   6.5   6.5    
  +6   0.0   0.0   1.0   1.3   2.5   3.5   4.5   5.4   6.2   6.9   6.9   7.0   6.9   6.7   6.5   6.4   6.3   6.4   6.1   6.1   6.0    
  +7   0.0   0.0   0.3   0.8   1.6   2.5   3.7   4.9   5.8   6.4   6.6   6.7   6.5   6.3   6.3   6.1   6.1   5.8   5.5   5.7   5.5    
  +8   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.5   1.1   2.0   3.0   3.9   4.7   5.2   5.4   5.5   5.5   5.6   5.2   5.1   5.2   5.3   4.9   5.2    
  +9   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.4   0.8   1.6   2.4   3.2   3.8   4.4   4.6   4.7   4.7   4.6   4.9   4.6   4.7   4.8   5.0    
 +10   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.6   1.1   1.8   2.6   3.1   3.6   3.9   4.1   4.3   4.4   4.4   4.4   4.4   3.9   4.0    
 +11   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.8   1.4   2.0   2.7   3.1   3.4   3.6   3.6   3.7   4.0   4.0   3.8   3.8   4.0    
 +12   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.4   0.9   1.4   1.9   2.4   2.7   3.0   3.1   3.3   3.4   0.0   3.3   0.0   3.4    
 +13   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.5   1.0   1.4   1.9   2.2   2.6   2.8   3.0   3.0   3.1   3.1   2.9   0.0    
 +14   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.4   0.7   1.1   1.5   2.0   2.2   2.5   2.5   0.0   2.8   2.7   2.6   0.0    
 +15   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.8   0.0   0.0   1.9   2.1   2.1   2.0   0.0   0.0   2.4   2.5    
 +16   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.9   0.0   1.5   1.6   1.9   2.0   2.2   2.2   2.1   0.0    
 +17   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.0   0.7   1.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   1.6   0.0   1.9   2.1   0.0    
 +18   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   1.4   1.5   1.5   1.6   0.0   0.0   0.0    
 +19   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.9   0.0   0.0   1.3   1.3   0.0   0.0   0.0    
 +20   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   1.3   0.0   1.4   0.0    
MEGA ANALYSIS: Income/Differential/Duration: 6/27/2015 22:03:17

smileyleg 
Level 61
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Table 5: By turn, when the income differential is D, what is the win % of the player with the higher income
 D\T     0     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12    13    14    15    16    17    18    19    20    
  +0  50.0  50.0  50.0  50.0  50.0  50.0  50.0  50.0  50.0  50.0  50.0  50.0  50.0  50.0  50.0  50.0  50.0  50.0  50.0  50.0  50.0    
  +1     -  48.8  56.1  57.0  58.4  58.0  59.1  59.7  60.2  60.2  60.3  60.0  60.3  61.1  59.5  60.2  59.3  58.9  62.0  62.2  60.6    
  +2     -  25.0  63.0  62.6  65.7  67.0  68.6  69.7  70.2  70.6  71.0  70.3  70.2  71.4  71.3  69.9  70.7  69.9  68.8  70.7  71.0    
  +3     -  66.7  73.9  74.5  76.4  78.2  79.4  80.5  81.0  80.2  80.1  80.0  80.0  79.2  79.8  78.4  78.2  76.9  78.1  76.8  76.7    
  +4     -  62.2  77.6  78.9  80.2  84.5  85.0  86.1  86.2  86.4  86.4  86.3  86.9  86.6  86.0  86.0  84.1  83.6  81.9  83.6  84.1    
  +5     -  64.1  78.1  80.2  82.5  86.5  87.0  88.9  90.1  90.5  89.6  91.0  91.0  89.8  90.8  89.7  90.0  89.5  88.7  87.8  89.0    
  +6     -     -  86.1  89.4  89.6  90.7  91.4  91.3  92.8  93.2  93.4  93.4  92.9  92.8  92.4  91.8  91.6  92.4  92.9  91.8  91.0    
  +7     -     -  89.8  94.4  94.1  95.0  95.1  95.2  95.6  95.8  96.3  96.0  95.9  95.9  95.7  95.9  95.3  94.6  95.2  95.3  95.8    
  +8     -     -     -  94.5  95.6  96.4  96.5  96.2  96.1  97.0  97.3  97.0  97.6  97.1  96.4  96.2  97.2  96.7  96.7  97.5  97.4    
  +9     -     -     -  94.4  95.6  97.4  96.4  96.7  98.0  97.9  98.3  98.1  98.1  97.9  98.0  97.8  98.0  97.8  98.3  97.4  97.5    
 +10     -     -     -     -  98.5  98.6  97.9  97.8  98.5  98.4  99.2  98.7  98.4  99.1  98.6  99.2  99.1  98.0  98.4  97.9  98.2    
 +11     -     -     -     -     -  99.2  99.3  99.2  98.6  99.3  99.3  99.5  99.3  99.5  99.4  99.3  99.4  98.6  98.6  99.1  98.4    
 +12     -     -     -     -     -     -  99.0  99.0  98.4  98.6  98.6  99.3  99.0  99.8  99.4  99.7  99.6     -  99.6     -  99.7    
 +13     -     -     -     -     -     -     -  99.5  99.2  99.4  99.5  99.3  99.8  99.7  99.5  99.7  99.7  99.3  99.4  98.9     -    
 +14     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -  99.6  99.6  99.9  99.6  99.7  99.6  99.8  99.9     -  99.6  99.8  99.7     -    
 +15     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -  99.8     -     -  99.9  99.9  99.8  99.8     -     -  99.3  99.1    
 +16     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -  99.8     -  99.8  99.8  99.8  99.8  99.8  99.4  99.6     -    
 +17     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -  99.4     -  99.7  99.8     -     -     -  99.7     -  99.7  99.6     -    
 +18     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -  99.6  99.3  99.5  99.7     -     -     -    
 +19     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -  99.7     -     -  99.7  99.6     -     -     -    
 +20     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -     -  99.6     -  99.4     -    
MEGA ANALYSIS: Income/Differential/Duration: 6/27/2015 22:23:43

Widzisz • apex 
Level 60
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I LOVE IT :*

Edited 6/27/2015 22:24:19
MEGA ANALYSIS: Income/Differential/Duration: 6/28/2015 03:11:14


Rogue Nikolai Krogius
Level 58
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... I don't have a long enough attention span to read/interpret/analyze all this data.
MEGA ANALYSIS: Income/Differential/Duration: 6/28/2015 03:13:16


Benjamin628 
Level 59
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+20 income and losing 0.6% of the time? Sounds impossible to me xD

... I don't have a long enough attention span to read/interpret/analyze all this data.

I'm sure you're not the only one...
MEGA ANALYSIS: Income/Differential/Duration: 6/28/2015 03:23:00


Timinator • apex 
Level 64
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Table 3: By turn, when a player has I income, what is their win %

I\T 0 1 2 3 4
11 - 100.0


There has been a game with 11 income after turn 1?

Edited 6/28/2015 03:23:29
MEGA ANALYSIS: Income/Differential/Duration: 6/28/2015 03:27:09


Benjamin628 
Level 59
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There has been a game with 11 income after turn 1?

17 armies (14 mobile) and 6 territories to take, it is possible. I would like to see that game however :D
MEGA ANALYSIS: Income/Differential/Duration: 6/28/2015 03:52:29


ā™ˆ§IRIÜSā™ˆ 
Level 57
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by turn 6... someone got an income of 26..... how? i wonder what is the other player doing?
MEGA ANALYSIS: Income/Differential/Duration: 6/28/2015 05:07:48


Fleecemaster 
Level 59
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TL;DR: More income = more chance to win.
MEGA ANALYSIS: Income/Differential/Duration: 6/28/2015 07:54:55


Rogue Nikolai Krogius
Level 58
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"I'm sure you're not the only one..."

Where I live it is 3:57 am. Not a good time to analyze anything.
MEGA ANALYSIS: Income/Differential/Duration: 6/28/2015 10:09:38

Widzisz • apex 
Level 60
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Thank you very much for all this, much appreciated! I have to say thou that I would prefer to see a smaller top 50 sample, since it would give more reliable results, that actually mean something.

@Table 1:
Honestly I expected to see a spike near start because of early counter.
Also didn't expect average to be so high (above 10.3). I bet it's lower for top 50 games.

@Table 2:
I really like the graph for this, the "waves" show the luck influence - one tide being the people that got lucky, and the other those who did not. I'm pretty sure this would look totally different for 0% SR.
I suspect for top the wave of "lucky" is higher and "not lucky" lower.

@Table 3:
Man, some of those are sick! 11, 14, 18, 21, 26, 31 ... I have no words. I have no idea how they do that.
I think this is very interesting table, there is a lot one can conclude from it about the template. Also lol at 10 income being worse than 9 in late game (oh, actually not so late, losing since turn 3).

@Table 4:
Hmm. Make sense, especially combined with Table 1. Not sure what make out of this one alone, I think it have to be compared to other (or top 50) to get some useful clues.

@Table 5:
Turn 1 look weird. I guess it's because +1 and +2 are not so frequent to happen (0.5% and 0.0% based on Table 4). First turn +3 is better than +4 make kind of sense I guess. I really don't get why there is not 100% from certain line onward, I'm with Benjamin on this one. But "90% win rate" line look kind of steady since turn 5.

Edited 6/28/2015 10:14:31
MEGA ANALYSIS: Income/Differential/Duration: 6/28/2015 16:02:01


Sephiroth 
Level 60
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11 income in 1 turn
14 income in 2 turns
18 income in 3 turns
etc

How do you achieve that?

Could you find those games for us smiley?

Edited 6/28/2015 16:02:56
MEGA ANALYSIS: Income/Differential/Duration: 6/29/2015 05:32:18

Fizzer 
Level 58

Warzone Creator
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Awesome data!

One thing of note is that before 2011-09-27, the 1v1 ladder started players with 5 armies on every territory instead of the current 4. This may explain the high early-income anomalies. You may want to filter games before that out of your data, and see if the anomalies still remain.
MEGA ANALYSIS: Income/Differential/Duration: 6/29/2015 08:51:27

Hennns
Level 58
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I was gonna spend some time to try to comprehend all that data, but when I see Fizzers comment I want to wait before I invest time into that :p
MEGA ANALYSIS: Income/Differential/Duration: 6/29/2015 20:06:04

smileyleg 
Level 61
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Thanks Fizzer!

Looks like there were about 5,000 games in the set with 5 starting armies. (Including the ones Sephiroth asked about.)

I think I will rerun with something like top 100 players over the last 18 months.
MEGA ANALYSIS: Income/Differential/Duration: 6/29/2015 21:50:55


Sephiroth 
Level 60
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that makes sense
MEGA ANALYSIS: Income/Differential/Duration: 6/30/2015 20:34:12

DanWL 
Level 62
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Is it to much for you to create a graph for each table? ;)
MEGA ANALYSIS: Income/Differential/Duration: 6/30/2015 21:08:01

smileyleg 
Level 61
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I think I could do that pretty easy.

I am planning to rerun these with something like games of top 100 players in the last 18 months. When I post that I can include some charts.

Edited 6/30/2015 21:11:07
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