Update 08/14/2021:

FCC secured 1st! Congratulations. Python becomes 2nd and ONE! on 3rd. Masters, Hawks and SNinja are to this moment in the fight for survival in A. GG is doomed to be 7th and relegates.

Horserace:

1.  FCC     - 40W - 24L - 148/231 pts, 157 MP,  64.1% PC,  62.5% GW
2.  Python  - 38W - 26L - 137/231 pts, 146 MP,  59.3% PC,  59.4% GW
3.  ONE!    - 34W - 29L - 121/227 pts, 134 MP,  53.3% PC,  54.0% GW
4.  Masters - 30W - 33L - 107/229 pts, 118 MP,  46.7% PC,  47.6% GW
5.  HAWKS   - 29W - 35L - 106/232 pts, 114 MP,  45.7% PC,  45.3% GW
6.  SNinja  - 28W - 36L - 100/231 pts, 109 MP,  43.3% PC,  43.8% GW
7.  |GG|    - 24W - 40L -  87/231 pts,  96 MP,  37.7% PC,  37.5% GW

% of games finished: 96.5
% of points finished: 96.0

Finished games last weeks - Gamelog
(players may differ due to subs)

3v3 Europe
Motoki, Marcus Aurelius, Timinator • apex defeated Hiro, Bear, (ง︡'-'︠)ง let's fight!! - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27029682
Nature, MIFRAN, Po1onius defeated Motoki, Marcus Aurelius, Timinator • apex - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27314995

3v3 Europa Magna
MGO, PapaMarsh, Xenophon defeated Master Ryiro, Marcus Aurelius, master of desaster - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27357341
Stales78, alexclusive, Redqueen defeated Phakh Gokhn, TurboTT117, Rodrigo - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27357342

2v2 Final Earth
Hergul, rakleader defeated MGO, IRiseYouFall - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27228687
Hergul, rakleader defeated iNsAnE, JV - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27386776
Min34, Marcus Aurelius defeated MGO, IRiseYouFall - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27386777

2v2 Guiroma
Denriev, (ง︡'-'︠)ง let's fight!! defeated mtt, master of desaster - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27429446
Hades, Bonsai defeated FiveStarGeneral, Beren Erchamion - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27429444
FiveStarGeneral, Beren Erchamion defeated Po1onius, linberson - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27273412

2v2 Landria Earth
IRiseYouFall, Ralph defeated The Infinite Rick, TurboTT117 - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27467602
krunx, JustinR17 defeated The Infinite Rick, TurboTT117 - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27094347
krunx, JustinR17 defeated Nature, Thrall - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27467600
Buns157, 89thlap defeated Nature, Thrall - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27314978

1v1 Malvia
Edge defeated Kicker - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=26520726

1v1 French Brawl
Ralph defeated Wini - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27467561

1v1 Blitzkrieg Bork
JP defeated Master Meldarion - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27498949
89thlap defeated Nature - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27498947

Full List of finished games and tournament scores:
https://www.warzone.com/Forum/529485-clan-league-14-division-official-thread?Offset=1

Edited 8/17/2021 14:48:50

Congrats FCC!

Congrats FCC!

Congratulations

Congratulations FCC,
who would have guessed this result after the fiftht place last season?behind lynx and outlaws now ahead of python!
and Ninja without the hopping meldarion doesnt shine so bright on the throne....strange season...

5th --> 1st GO HAWKS :)

Congratulation FCC!

1 more game is open
https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27408436

Edited 9/2/2021 08:21:30

The stallers game,
no pressure! meanwhile i will take a look at the predictions ;D

i blame rak for this

Its in your hands to finish faster than Division B

Final Update 05/09/2021:

Thanks for have played Clan League 14.
I made the last update as video.
Happy watching! :)

Youtube < https://youtu.be/U1ADPxxscN8 >
OneDrive < https://cutt.ly/jWRvUfi >

Find all other data here:

Overview and Scores:
https://www.warzone.com/Forum/529485-clan-league-14-division-official-thread?Offset=0
Full List of finished Games and Tournament Results:
https://www.warzone.com/Forum/529485-clan-league-14-division-official-thread?Offset=1

And most important:

Sign Up Here for Clan League 15!
https://www.warzone.com/Forum/569994-clan-league-15-timetable

Edited 9/5/2021 15:49:05

@let's fight: your video does not load for me when I follow that OneDrive link. YouTube works, though!
---
Here's how actual results (boxed borders) compare with predictions from https://bit.ly/cl14-predictions (usernames are people who predicted that clan would finish at that rank, numbers are counts of people):




Predictors, Ranked
based on: SSE, then SAE, then # of Correct Predictions, then listed in order of when they made their predictions

Rank | Predictor   | SSE | SAE | Correct Predictions       |     r |   r^2 
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
   1 | Ralph       |  14 |   8 | Python, MASTER            |  0.750 | 0.563
   2 | Sandokan    |  20 |   8 | Python, ONE!, GG          |  0.643 | 0.413
   3 | Ursus       |  20 |  10 | Python                    |  0.643 | 0.413 
   4 | OTTERYCAT   |  26 |  10 | ONE!, GG                  |  0.536 | 0.287
   5 | Checkmqte   |  26 |  12 |                           |  0.536 | 0.287
   6 | Phobos      |  28 |  12 |                           |  0.500 | 0.250
   7 | Aura Guardn |  30 |  10 | Python, ONE!, GG          |  0.464 | 0.216
   8 | l4v.r0v     |  30 |  12 | ONE!                      |  0.464 | 0.216
   8 | Beep Beep   |  30 |  12 | ONE!                      |  0.464 | 0.216
   8 | Onoma94     |  30 |  12 | ONE!                      |  0.464 | 0.216
   8 | Hades       |  30 |  12 | ONE!                      |  0.464 | 0.216
  12 | Phaeril     |  30 |  12 |                           |  0.464 | 0.216
  13 | Samwise     |  32 |  12 | GG                        |  0.429 | 0.184
   - | CONSENSUS   |  32 |  12 | GG                        |  0.429 | 0.184
  14 | Farah       |  34 |  13 | Python, ONE!              |  0.393 | 0.154
  15 | Meldarion   |  34 |  14 |                           |  0.393 | 0.154
  15 | Octane      |  34 |  14 |                           |  0.393 | 0.154
  17 | Tukuro      |  36 |  14 |                           |  0.357 | 0.128
  18 | Ocean0.1    |  38 |  12 | ONE!, GG                  |  0.321 | 0.103
  19 | let's fight |  38 |  14 | GG                        |  0.321 | 0.103
  19 | We ride!    |  38 |  14 | GG                        |  0.321 | 0.103
  21 | Kratt       |  40 |  12 | HAWKS, GG                 |  0.286 | 0.082
  22 | Ze          |  42 |  14 | MASTER                    |  0.250 | 0.063
  23 | Xenophon    |  42 |  16 |                           |  0.250 | 0.063 
  24 | Tjoex       |  44 |  14 | GG                        |  0.214 | 0.046
  25 | lineal2012  |  46 |  16 |                           |  0.179 | 0.032
  26 | rakleader   |  52 |  16 |                           |  0.071 | 0.005
  27 | goralgn     |  62 |  14 | Python, HAWKS, SNinja     | -0.107 | 0.011
  28 | Nature      |  66 |  18 | ONE!                      | -0.179 | 0.032
  29 | finding mwc |  74 |  18 | ONE!                      | -0.321 | 0.103
  30 | Norman      |  80 |  20 | ONE!                      | -0.429 | 0.184

SSE = sum of squared errors (e.g., 16 points for guessing FCC would finish 5th); higher is worse
SAE = sum of absolute errors (e.g., 2 points for guessing MASTERS would finish 2nd); higher is worse

r = Pearson's (and in this case, also Spearman's) correlation coefficient; computed as 1-(SSE/56), thanks to Math Wolf for the formula. 1 = perfect, 0 = uninformed, -1 reversed. Above 0.8 is considered good.
r^2 = coefficient of determination; what % of the variation in results aligns with the predictions, can think of as what % of the information about final rankings someone actually had in their prediction. E.g., "Ralph was 9/16ths right, while if you did the opposite of Norman's predictions you would've been 18% right. rakleader's predictions, on the other hand, had basically zero information."

Edited 9/5/2021 13:49:56

I like how goralgn had 3 clans right :D