oh yeah. Would be boring if a Clan League Season wouldnt become interesting at some point

Edited 7/25/2021 13:19:34

Update 07/25/2021:

80% have passed. In the last week's update the results have been turned around. Top clans failed wo win. Relegating clans started to roll over what ever came in their way. This week... is the not much different. The trend continues, promising a close battle in this Division at the end of this season.

FCC counts 0 wins, but 2 defeats the last week. The PC% falls to 64%. On 2nd place Python fails again to use it and loses 2 games as well. At least 1 win makes their performance of this week a bit better. Between FCC and Python are now less than 6%. The close fight in the center has another twist ready. The clan, which was last of this 3er group after last week, is now leading it. ONE! is with 3 wins and 2 defeats. They have the best result of the mentioned group. ONE!'s PC% score is slightly positive. With 98 won points versus 191 contested points, the PC% is at 51.3%. Masters and HAWKS keep slightly below the 50% mark. Masters with 1 win and 2 defeats is at 49% and HAWKS with 1 win and 3 defeats is at 47.4%. ONE! is 2.3% ahead of Masters and Masters is 1.6% ahead of HAWKS. The gaps increased to last week. Instead the gaps to the relegation area is shrinking. GG complete this week with another positive score. 2 wins 1 defeat. Their PC% is now at 40.6%. This is 6.8% behind the safe shore. But GG is facing another difficulty. They are not the only clan in the water. SNinja is swimming really fast. With 6 wins and 2 defeats they have closed up to GG and is about to pass probably. SNinja is at 39.6% and only 0.8% behind GG now.

Horserace:

1.  FCC     - 34W - 21L - 126/197 pts, 169 MP,  64.0% PC,  61.8% GW
2.  Python  - 33W - 22L - 116/198 pts, 158 MP,  58.6% PC,  60.0% GW
3.  ONE!    - 28W - 26L -  98/191 pts, 147 MP,  51.3% PC,  51.9% GW
4.  Masters - 27W - 27L -  94/192 pts, 142 MP,  49.0% PC,  50.0% GW
5.  HAWKS   - 25W - 29L -  91/192 pts, 139 MP,  47.4% PC,  46.3% GW
6.  |GG|    - 23W - 34L -  82/202 pts, 120 MP,  40.6% PC,  40.4% GW
7.  SNinja  - 23W - 34L -  82/206 pts, 116 MP,  39.8% PC,  40.4% GW

% of games finished: 83.5
% of points finished: 82.0

Finished games last week - Gamelog
(players may differ due to subs)

3v3 Europe
rakleader, Devi, Banner defeated Checkmqte, kwihade, Octane - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27314996

2v2 Landria Earth
Jo Jo, max™ defeated The Infinite Rick, TurboTT117 - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=26914581

2v2 Final Earth
Min34, Marcus Aurelius defeated Thor, TurboTT117 - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27228688

2v2 Guiroma
Hades, Bonsai defeated max™, d-ceo - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27273413

1v1 Malvia
almosttricky defeated Edge - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27346930
JV defeated almosttricky - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27185147
Pardon defeated Octane - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27185149

1v1 Guiroma
Relajate defeated linberson - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27408435

1v1 French Brawl
Jo Jo defeated FiveStarGeneral - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27467560
Jo Jo defeated The Infinite Rick - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27314958
FiveStarGeneral defeated Wini - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27314959

1v1 Blitzkrieg Bork
rakleader defeated Master Meldarion - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27346935

1v1 Biomes of Americas
tornado defeated Rufus - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27439292


Full List of finished games and tournament scores:
https://www.warzone.com/Forum/529485-clan-league-14-division-official-thread?Offset=1

Edited 7/25/2021 15:01:04

Hello 👋

Edited 8/2/2021 11:14:18

Update 08/02/2021:

At the end of the season the moivation is slowly going down for me a bit to keep track with the updates. Excuse me therefore. But I have found now some motivation to give my 2 pennies to the previous week. 87.4% of all points have been given. Since the last update FCC has won 3 games and lost only 1. They are now at a PC% of 64.5%. At 2nd rank is still Python. But has another rather bad week behind them. Their result is the opposite of FCC with 1-3. Their PC is falling to 56.9%. Meanwhile they need to watch out for ONE!. On 3rd rank they are with 2-2 last week and a PC of 51.2%. That is less than 6% away from Python. The 4th and 5th rank changed again. HAWKS was able to catch Masters. WIth 2 wins an 1 defeat they had a better week than Masters' 1-2. Between Hawks and Masters are 0.2%. Another switch happened on the last ranks. SNinja is now 6th after a 3-2 week. Their PC increases to 41.3% whereas GG's PC has fallen to 39.6% after a week with 0 wins and 1 defeat.

Horserace:

1.  FCC     - 37W - 22L - 136/211 pts, 165 MP,  64.5% PC,  62.7% GW
2.  Python  - 34W - 25L - 120/211 pts, 149 MP,  56.9% PC,  57.6% GW
3.  ONE!    - 30W - 28L - 107/209 pts, 138 MP,  51.2% PC,  51.7% GW
4.  HAWKS   - 27W - 30L -  99/204 pts, 135 MP,  48.5% PC,  47.4% GW
5.  Masters - 28W - 29L -  98/203 pts, 135 MP,  48.3% PC,  49.1% GW
6.  SNinja  - 26W - 36L -  92/223 pts, 109 MP,  41.3% PC,  41.9% GW
7.  |GG|    - 23W - 35L -  82/207 pts, 115 MP,  39.6% PC,  39.7% GW

% of games finished: 88.7
% of points finished: 87.4

Finished games last week - Gamelog
(players may differ due to subs)

3v3 Europa Magna
Phakh Gokhn, TurboTT117, Rodrigo defeated PJ, Muli, malakkan - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27075838
PJ, Muli, malakkan defeated El Diablo, ADHDnl, Thrall - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27357343

2v2 Landria Earth
Buns157, 89thlap defeated Timinator • apex, master of desaster - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=26914582

2v2 Guiroma
mtt, master of desaster defeated Neighbor, Xenophon - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27273414
Neighbor, Xenophon defeated max™, d-ceo - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27429445

2v2 Final Earth
Hergul, rakleader defeated Thor, TurboTT117 - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=26996682
krunx, Edge defeated Rheumakay, Neal - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=26996680

1v1 Malvia
Octane defeated Min34 - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27346931

1v1 Guiroma
Relajate defeated Quicksilver - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27250891
Photonic Symmetry defeated Tof - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27250890
Tof defeated Quicksilver - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27408434

1v1 Blitzkrieg Bork
rakleader defeated Beep Beep I'm A Jeep - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27498948

Full List of finished games and tournament scores:
https://www.warzone.com/Forum/529485-clan-league-14-division-official-thread?Offset=1

Edited 8/5/2021 11:52:24

finally wrote a bit to the last update, heheh.

Update 08/14/2021:

FCC secured 1st! Congratulations. Python becomes 2nd and ONE! on 3rd. Masters, Hawks and SNinja are to this moment in the fight for survival in A. GG is doomed to be 7th and relegates.

Horserace:

1.  FCC     - 40W - 24L - 148/231 pts, 157 MP,  64.1% PC,  62.5% GW
2.  Python  - 38W - 26L - 137/231 pts, 146 MP,  59.3% PC,  59.4% GW
3.  ONE!    - 34W - 29L - 121/227 pts, 134 MP,  53.3% PC,  54.0% GW
4.  Masters - 30W - 33L - 107/229 pts, 118 MP,  46.7% PC,  47.6% GW
5.  HAWKS   - 29W - 35L - 106/232 pts, 114 MP,  45.7% PC,  45.3% GW
6.  SNinja  - 28W - 36L - 100/231 pts, 109 MP,  43.3% PC,  43.8% GW
7.  |GG|    - 24W - 40L -  87/231 pts,  96 MP,  37.7% PC,  37.5% GW

% of games finished: 96.5
% of points finished: 96.0

Finished games last weeks - Gamelog
(players may differ due to subs)

3v3 Europe
Motoki, Marcus Aurelius, Timinator • apex defeated Hiro, Bear, (ง︡'-'︠)ง let's fight!! - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27029682
Nature, MIFRAN, Po1onius defeated Motoki, Marcus Aurelius, Timinator • apex - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27314995

3v3 Europa Magna
MGO, PapaMarsh, Xenophon defeated Master Ryiro, Marcus Aurelius, master of desaster - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27357341
Stales78, alexclusive, Redqueen defeated Phakh Gokhn, TurboTT117, Rodrigo - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27357342

2v2 Final Earth
Hergul, rakleader defeated MGO, IRiseYouFall - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27228687
Hergul, rakleader defeated iNsAnE, JV - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27386776
Min34, Marcus Aurelius defeated MGO, IRiseYouFall - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27386777

2v2 Guiroma
Denriev, (ง︡'-'︠)ง let's fight!! defeated mtt, master of desaster - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27429446
Hades, Bonsai defeated FiveStarGeneral, Beren Erchamion - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27429444
FiveStarGeneral, Beren Erchamion defeated Po1onius, linberson - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27273412

2v2 Landria Earth
IRiseYouFall, Ralph defeated The Infinite Rick, TurboTT117 - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27467602
krunx, JustinR17 defeated The Infinite Rick, TurboTT117 - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27094347
krunx, JustinR17 defeated Nature, Thrall - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27467600
Buns157, 89thlap defeated Nature, Thrall - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27314978

1v1 Malvia
Edge defeated Kicker - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=26520726

1v1 French Brawl
Ralph defeated Wini - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27467561

1v1 Blitzkrieg Bork
JP defeated Master Meldarion - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27498949
89thlap defeated Nature - https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27498947

Full List of finished games and tournament scores:
https://www.warzone.com/Forum/529485-clan-league-14-division-official-thread?Offset=1

Edited 8/17/2021 14:48:50

Congrats FCC!

Congrats FCC!

Congratulations

Congratulations FCC,
who would have guessed this result after the fiftht place last season?behind lynx and outlaws now ahead of python!
and Ninja without the hopping meldarion doesnt shine so bright on the throne....strange season...

5th --> 1st GO HAWKS :)

Congratulation FCC!

1 more game is open
https://www.warzone.com/MultiPlayer?GameID=27408436

Edited 9/2/2021 08:21:30

The stallers game,
no pressure! meanwhile i will take a look at the predictions ;D

i blame rak for this

Its in your hands to finish faster than Division B

Final Update 05/09/2021:

Thanks for have played Clan League 14.
I made the last update as video.
Happy watching! :)

Youtube < https://youtu.be/U1ADPxxscN8 >
OneDrive < https://cutt.ly/jWRvUfi >

Find all other data here:

Overview and Scores:
https://www.warzone.com/Forum/529485-clan-league-14-division-official-thread?Offset=0
Full List of finished Games and Tournament Results:
https://www.warzone.com/Forum/529485-clan-league-14-division-official-thread?Offset=1

And most important:

Sign Up Here for Clan League 15!
https://www.warzone.com/Forum/569994-clan-league-15-timetable

Edited 9/5/2021 15:49:05

@let's fight: your video does not load for me when I follow that OneDrive link. YouTube works, though!
---
Here's how actual results (boxed borders) compare with predictions from https://bit.ly/cl14-predictions (usernames are people who predicted that clan would finish at that rank, numbers are counts of people):




Predictors, Ranked
based on: SSE, then SAE, then # of Correct Predictions, then listed in order of when they made their predictions

Rank | Predictor   | SSE | SAE | Correct Predictions       |     r |   r^2 
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
   1 | Ralph       |  14 |   8 | Python, MASTER            |  0.750 | 0.563
   2 | Sandokan    |  20 |   8 | Python, ONE!, GG          |  0.643 | 0.413
   3 | Ursus       |  20 |  10 | Python                    |  0.643 | 0.413 
   4 | OTTERYCAT   |  26 |  10 | ONE!, GG                  |  0.536 | 0.287
   5 | Checkmqte   |  26 |  12 |                           |  0.536 | 0.287
   6 | Phobos      |  28 |  12 |                           |  0.500 | 0.250
   7 | Aura Guardn |  30 |  10 | Python, ONE!, GG          |  0.464 | 0.216
   8 | l4v.r0v     |  30 |  12 | ONE!                      |  0.464 | 0.216
   8 | Beep Beep   |  30 |  12 | ONE!                      |  0.464 | 0.216
   8 | Onoma94     |  30 |  12 | ONE!                      |  0.464 | 0.216
   8 | Hades       |  30 |  12 | ONE!                      |  0.464 | 0.216
  12 | Phaeril     |  30 |  12 |                           |  0.464 | 0.216
  13 | Samwise     |  32 |  12 | GG                        |  0.429 | 0.184
   - | CONSENSUS   |  32 |  12 | GG                        |  0.429 | 0.184
  14 | Farah       |  34 |  13 | Python, ONE!              |  0.393 | 0.154
  15 | Meldarion   |  34 |  14 |                           |  0.393 | 0.154
  15 | Octane      |  34 |  14 |                           |  0.393 | 0.154
  17 | Tukuro      |  36 |  14 |                           |  0.357 | 0.128
  18 | Ocean0.1    |  38 |  12 | ONE!, GG                  |  0.321 | 0.103
  19 | let's fight |  38 |  14 | GG                        |  0.321 | 0.103
  19 | We ride!    |  38 |  14 | GG                        |  0.321 | 0.103
  21 | Kratt       |  40 |  12 | HAWKS, GG                 |  0.286 | 0.082
  22 | Ze          |  42 |  14 | MASTER                    |  0.250 | 0.063
  23 | Xenophon    |  42 |  16 |                           |  0.250 | 0.063 
  24 | Tjoex       |  44 |  14 | GG                        |  0.214 | 0.046
  25 | lineal2012  |  46 |  16 |                           |  0.179 | 0.032
  26 | rakleader   |  52 |  16 |                           |  0.071 | 0.005
  27 | goralgn     |  62 |  14 | Python, HAWKS, SNinja     | -0.107 | 0.011
  28 | Nature      |  66 |  18 | ONE!                      | -0.179 | 0.032
  29 | finding mwc |  74 |  18 | ONE!                      | -0.321 | 0.103
  30 | Norman      |  80 |  20 | ONE!                      | -0.429 | 0.184

SSE = sum of squared errors (e.g., 16 points for guessing FCC would finish 5th); higher is worse
SAE = sum of absolute errors (e.g., 2 points for guessing MASTERS would finish 2nd); higher is worse

r = Pearson's (and in this case, also Spearman's) correlation coefficient; computed as 1-(SSE/56), thanks to Math Wolf for the formula. 1 = perfect, 0 = uninformed, -1 reversed. Above 0.8 is considered good.
r^2 = coefficient of determination; what % of the variation in results aligns with the predictions, can think of as what % of the information about final rankings someone actually had in their prediction. E.g., "Ralph was 9/16ths right, while if you did the opposite of Norman's predictions you would've been 18% right. rakleader's predictions, on the other hand, had basically zero information."

Edited 9/5/2021 13:49:56

I like how goralgn had 3 clans right :D