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Clan League Season 8: Group A Offical Thread: 2016-06-30 02:34:51


Deadman 
Level 64
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Standings:
By Points
                  Clan                1v1      2v2      3v3       Points        Max Points
1st               Master              6-3      1-0                  22            231 
2nd               GG                  5-1                           15            237 
3rd               French              5-4                           15            228 
4th               Turtles             4-2      0-1                  12            230 
5th               Lynx                3-5                            9            225 
6th               Apex	              2-4                            6            228 
7th               WG                  1-7                            3            219 


By max points






Results
  • Jz beats MG on Greece.
  • Wazz beats ChrisCMU on Greece
  • MoD beats Verzehrer on Guiroma
  • MisterT beats le Marseilllais on Guiroma
  • MotD beats Beren on French Brawl



GG finally lose a game. MG boots against Jz. He was in the weaker position though with 7vs9 income. He has another game waiting on him for 2 days and 18 hours against Timinator. Hope he can make his move in time. Regardless it's been an impressive start by GG.

Masters grab 3 wins in a day to improve their win percentages significantly. French grab another win and keep picking up points. WG are sliding quickly and have made a wretched start. Still plenty of time to catch up though.
Clan League Season 8: Group A Offical Thread: 2016-06-30 04:09:14


Master Ree 
Level 59
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tl;dr
    Predicted Points 1st GG 141 2nd Master 136 3rd French 124 4th Icelandic Turtles 123 5th Apex 109 6th Lynx 109 7th WG 95





Honestly, I believe this was mentioned somewhere, but the standings should be portrayed as a percentage of games won and loss by games remaining. More like predictive scoring based on current results combined with potential results.

So for example:

Masters have 25 points being 7-3,1-0,0-0

1v1:
7-3 with 26 games remaining
Current win %: 70%

Every game is 50/50 as anyone can win any game, but including adjusting for trends, we would see the "predicted" results being closer to the average of current and this 50/50, or 60%. Which means that should have the following predictive score in the rest of their matches:

26 games x 3 points = 78 possible points => 47 more points

Total 1v1: 21+47= 68 points

You do the same for 2v2 and 3v3

2v2:
(ignoring the 1 win because by itself, skews the results too much early on)

17 games x 4 points = 68 points => 34 more points

Total 2v2: 4+34= 38 points

3v3:

12 games x 5 points = 60 possible points => 30 more points

Total 3v3: 0+30= 30 points

TOTAL: 68+38+30= 136 points

You do this for the rest and you get the following:

    Predicted Points 1st GG 141 2nd Master 136 3rd French 124 4th Icelandic Turtles 123 5th Apex 109 6th Lynx 109 7th WG 95 (rounded 1 decimal place)



Obviously any system is flawed, and I was trying to find a way to balance current and future games. This one assumes things stay somewhat towards their current trends and all players and matches are indeed equal. I still think however, that this gathers the strong start of GG and the weak start of WG. We know Apex is stronger with team games which is why they are lower now, but I am interested to see as the season progresses, how this stacks up.

Edited 6/30/2016 04:14:41
Clan League Season 8: Group A Offical Thread: 2016-06-30 18:30:17


ZeroBlindDragon 
Level 60
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Well then... MG ReLite from GG got booted from his 3rd game now (China 2v2 Vs. Lynx). This is GG's 4th overall boot. It sucks because they had such a nice start. ;w;
Clan League Season 8: Group A Offical Thread: 2016-06-30 18:38:05


master of desaster 
Level 66
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i don't know the reason for his boots, but:

Last seen less than 15 minutes ago

so maybe it's just his way to surrender?
Clan League Season 8: Group A Offical Thread: 2016-06-30 19:12:40


Master Ree 
Level 59
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He was booted before that, I checked this morning and last seen was 2 days 13 hours iirc
Clan League Season 8: Group A Offical Thread: 2016-06-30 20:12:51


Phaeril 
Level 62
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GG have a lot of very good players. They could have chosen a roster with player that are able to do their orders on time... it's really heartbreaking, I like this team.

But almost one more loose will come to GG soon and without boot...

Edited 6/30/2016 22:11:42
Clan League Season 8: Group A Offical Thread: 2016-07-01 04:46:10


Deadman 
Level 64
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Standings:
By Points
                  Clan                1v1      2v2      3v3       Points        Max Points
1st               Master              6-3      1-0                  22            231 
2nd               French              6-4                           18            228 
3rd               GG                  5-2                           15            234 
4th               Turtles             4-2      0-1                  12            230 
5th               Apex	              4-4                           12            228 
6th               Lynx                3-6                            9            222 
7th               WG                  1-8                            3            216 

By max points





Results
  • Timinator beats MG on Greece
  • Phaeril beats Oh Noes on French Brawl
  • Miyagi beats le Marseilllais on Guiroma



MG got booted against Timi, although he was in the weaker position. Something to keep an eye on.

Edited 7/1/2016 04:47:43
Clan League Season 8: Group A Offical Thread: 2016-07-01 22:49:43


ZeroBlindDragon 
Level 60
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Thank you Deadman for the daily updates. ^^

Lynx has been underperforming in 1v1 matches so far... We may need to rely on our 2v2 and 3v3! They are going pretty well.
Clan League Season 8: Group A Offical Thread: 2016-07-02 04:21:02


Deadman 
Level 64
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Standings:
By Points
                  Clan                1v1      2v2      3v3       Points        Max Points
1st               Master              7-3      1-0                  25            231 
2nd               French              7-4                           21            228 
3rd               Turtles             5-2      0-1                  15            230 
4th               GG                  5-4                           15            228 
5th               Apex	              4-5                           12            225 
6th               Lynx                3-6                            9            222 
7th               WG                  1-8                            3            216 

By max points





Results
  • Jz beats Chris on Treasure map
  • Phaeril beats JV on French Brawl
  • Buns beats Window Cleaner on Strat ME



Turtles continue their solid start with yet another win. Their 1v1 and 2v2 line-ups look as good as any other clan. If their 3v3 teams can keep pace they could be the dark horse this season. Masters and French keep the momentum with a win each. Apex has made a slow start, but the gap isn't too big yet. GG picks up two more losses which sets back them a bit after their spectacular start.
Clan League Season 8: Group A Offical Thread: 2016-07-02 04:26:58


ZeroBlindDragon 
Level 60
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Always looking forward to your daily updates, Deadman. Keep up the good work! ^w^
Clan League Season 8: Group A Offical Thread: 2016-07-02 16:12:39


Hades 
Level 64
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I think 1st and last place are starting to become clear. I think masters will take this lead until the end, and I don't think WG are going to move much either. Apex's rough start might mean they struggle to catch french up, I guess we'll see if french can hold 2nd when the team games start coming through. Turtles have got an impressive record so far, but a lot of it due to buns, will they be able to carry this on throughout the team games? GG were off to a great start, but thats started to slip, which they really cant afford, GG I think are very weak on teams, and so they really need to perform well in the 1v1s. Lynx aren't off to a great start, and like apex, will rely on the team games to climb up the ladder.

My predicted leaderboard:
Masters 1st
French 2nd-3rd
Apex 2nd-4th
Turtles 3rd-6th
Lynx 4th-6th (was going to say 3rd-6th, but that might be bias, so I'll go with 4-6)
GG 4th-6th
WG 7th
Clan League Season 8: Group A Offical Thread: 2016-07-03 06:15:52


Deadman 
Level 64
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Only one game finished over the last day.

Reza boots against Nackickwind on Treasure map in what seemed like an even game. WG can't afford to boot at this stage given their start :|
Clan League Season 8: Group A Offical Thread: 2016-07-03 08:45:34

[WG] Reza
Level 60
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I was making my turn while I got booted :(
Clan League Season 8: Group A Offical Thread: 2016-07-03 12:55:15


Phaeril 
Level 62
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Really... please guys, boot against a team advantage one above others.

Please, get booted against French only. TY. :p
Clan League Season 8: Group A Offical Thread: 2016-07-03 19:24:18


Sephiroth
Level 61
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ibis redibis non morieris in bello
Clan League Season 8: Group A Offical Thread: 2016-07-03 21:49:30


Hades 
Level 64
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Pig Dei
Clan League Season 8: Group A Offical Thread: 2016-07-03 22:41:29


Timinator • apex 
Level 67
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so much bunga bunga in here
Clan League Season 8: Group A Offical Thread: 2016-07-04 05:08:49


Deadman 
Level 64
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Standings:
By Points
                  Clan                1v1      2v2      3v3       Points        Max Points
1st               Master              7-4      1-0                  25            228 
2nd               French              7-5                           21            225
3rd               Apex	              5-5               1-0         20            225  
4th               Turtles             6-2      0-1      0-1         18            225 
5th               GG                  5-4                           15            228 
6th               Lynx                4-6                           12            222 
7th               WG                  1-9                            3            213 

By max points





Results
  • Nackickwind beats Reza on Treasure map
  • GreenTea beats Bjarke on Battle Islands
  • Timinator beats Wazz on Greece
  • Apex beat Turtles on 3v3 Great Lakes



Masters and French both lose a game each. With these results, the max points chart looks so tight. #1 and #6 are separated by just 6 points!

Team games are always crucial in the clan league. We've seen dominance in 1v1s amount to very little, if it cannot be backed by good performances in team games. Apex draw first blood on 3v3 Great Lakes! Timi justifies his billing on Greece by beating Wazz. This puts them right back into the mix.

Lynx pick up another win to keep pace with the rest of the clans above them. WG is beginning to look a bit isolated in 7th.
Clan League Season 8: Group A Offical Thread: 2016-07-04 09:51:10


Buns157 
Level 68
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As clan league progresses more into team game results.

Clan League Season 8: Group A Offical Thread: 2016-07-05 04:04:52


Deadman 
Level 64
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haha.. That's a cute turtle.

Standings:
By Points
              Clan                1v1      2v2      3v3       Points      Max Points   Win %
1st           Master              7-4      2-0                  29            228      69.23
2nd           French              7-5                           21            225      58.33
2nd           Turtles             7-2      0-1      0-1         21            225      63.64
4th           Apex                5-6      0-1      1-0         20            218      46.15
5th           Lynx                4-6      1-0                  16            222      45.45
6th           GG                  5-4      0-1                  15            224      50.00
7th           WG                  1-9                            3            213      10.00

By max points





Results
  • Turkish beats timon92 on Battle Islands
  • Masters beat Apex on 2v2 Strat ME
  • Lynx beat GG on 2v2 Strat ME



Masters pick up their 2nd win on Strat ME. They are building up momentum and the other challengers need to stay in touch. Turtles continue their impressive showing and have the best record on 1v1s among all clans with a 7-2 record. They move up to a joint 2nd place with the French.

Bad day for Apex, as they pick up two losses. Still a long way to go, and they will rely heavily on the team games which are yet to come. GG are falling at a rapid rate after their spectacular start. They've gone from 4-0 to 5-5 and now occupy a relegation spot! Just goes to show how competitive this season is.

Lynx pick up a win to move out of the relegation zone. I really liked their game against GG. They had a great plan and executed it perfectly. I expect them to do rather well on Start ME after having watched that game.

Edited 7/6/2016 01:09:41
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