I just wanted to share my personal analysis of this game since I thought it was very interesting. Hats off to Adiba for a great match, and I welcome any comments you have on the game play. https://www.warlight.net/MultiPlayer?GameID=7837111
In turn 5, Adiba breaks Australia, leaving indonesia and a path to east china open, which would finish the game. At this point I believe I have lost.
In turn 6, I lay a trap for him by blockading Western Australia, so that I can appear weak in queensland, but transfer troops in turn 7 to use the defense bonus to hurt his army badly.
In turn 7 I do beat his army into Queensland, gaining an advantage of 6 troops in the conflict. I also forgo combat in australia with my army, and keep moving toward south america to capture that bonus in turn 11.
In this turn, Adiba captures causcasus, and takes a 4 reinforcement advantage that he will hold for two turns.
In turn 8, I predict adiba will abandon australia since it has been blockaded, and suffer a large loss for my miscalculation. I was hoping to end his presence there, and take down the blockade, at a cost of 7-8 armies.
In turn 9, I accurately guess the location of his other forces, taking West China and building an attack force there. I also open myself up to the great vulnerability of losing west china, which would end the game for me.
I end my reinforcement deficit, and take a one reinforcement per turn lead. I also put him on the defensive, so he can't just plow through me with his forces in Papua New Guinea which I would never be able to stop if that were his sole investment.
In turn 10, I stop his attempt to split my defenses by premtively taking Tomsk, leaving Xinjang open.
In turn 11, I return to Xinjang to defend, and move troops to eastern kazakstan to try to break his west russia bonus. I also capture south america, giving me a reinforcement surplus of 7 armies per turn.
At the close of turn 11, there are 5 bonuses that stand in contention: West Russia, Caucasus, West China, East China, and Indonesia. Success for Adiba sees his reinforcements at 21, and mine at 9. Success for me put me at 19, and him at 8. Never have I played a game where so much hung in the balance, in one turn.
In turn 12 I finally stop his marauding army in the phillipines, and also prevent his capture of indonesia in the solomon islands, taking papa new guinea as well to remove the threat of the indonesia bonus in the next turn. I also stop the capture of Caucasus, turning the game into my favor for the first time, despite the difficulty of defending the large west china bonus.
Defending China was the greatest difficulty for me, since losing it would have meant certain defeat, and since it has fairly open borders, even with the wasteland in pakistan. This is really what kept the game so exciting, since each turn I had to juggle between tomsk and xinjiang to hold my ground, and the whole game hung on these territories, even while many other skirmishes occurred.
In turn 13 I empty my deck, using a priority card to move into western kazakhstan and protect the caucasus bonus while still challenging west russia, and then use a order delay card to get the upper hand in an evenly match taiwan/phillipines battle.
The game ends with reinforcements set at 12 and 19, but adiba has lost striking capability on west china for the first time, and now has a troop deficit in Taiwan for the first time as well. If the game were to continue, I would defend Taiwan and move to georgia, improving my position and solidifying my troop advantage.
Adiba fought a really good game, and I appreciate all the thought that went into this match this morning!