Another week, another update. This week the first group has finished all of it's games.
Oh Noes 3-1
This was a pretty slow week for most players, The player with most completed games this week was Bonsai going down in the standings with a 1-4 record for this week.
On the top side AI, Oh Noes and graemes all have their title changes in their own hands but theoratically there can still be a 3-way tie for first with Baer included in it so all 4 players still have changes on winning this season.
In the middle we have InSaNe who can't win the title any more but also knows for sure he won't relegate.
Then going to the bottom 3 from which 2 will probably relegate.
For Hunta not to finish bottom 2 the other 2 have to lose all of their games which is possible since both still play Oh Noes and 1 plays graemes as well, or Bonsai loses his game and Pabse only wins 1 game then Hunta wins on H2H results.
For Bonsai not to finish bottom 2 he needs to win his game and Pabse needs to lose both of his games, if Pabse wins 1 of them there will a 3-way tie which might results in another tournament for seeding.
For Pabse not to finish bottom 2 he just needs to win both of his games. Losing 1 game would mean that Bonsai has to win his game to get the 3-way tie tournament possibly if it's not breakable.
Fc Bayern 3-3
Kevin Turner 0-6
The only way Octane won't become the winner in this division is if Hasdrubal wins all 4 of his remaining games which are against the other 3 players with 2 losses so far (except himself and Octane) since he is the only player that wins a H2H against Octane, all other 3 have lost against Octane and there is no way there can be a 3-way tie for first. This also directly means that all other players even with good results for them know they won't be able to get first but good thing for them is top 3 promotes. With that in mind we can confirm that Octane will promote for sure.
Matt431 can secure promotion by winning against Hasdrubal. With a loss there are too many variables to consider for the spots.
Lampião has to win his game against Andersault and Matt431 has to win against Hasdrubal and Fc Bayern has to lose any game for him to secure a promotion spot since he has H2H over all other players.
For all other involved players there are still too many games to go over to type out for all of their scenario's to secure promotion.
Cata Cauda 4-1
Royal Canadian 3-2
Ragnar Lothbrok 1-2
jacob 0-6 (all boots so will be removed from league)
still too many games left to talk about promotion scenario's so enjoy this short section once again.
Tof is looking in the driver seat right now with his 3-0 record and noted that Cata Cauda his only loss is against him.
This group could theoratically still finish with a 3-way tie at 5-1 for first and that would mean tie-break tournament here as well.
So with this week finished we've confirmed the top 4 in this group already. KingNorbs can't drop below MoneyMakingMitch since he won the H2H so even if he loses his last game he won't drop in the rankings.
For the bottom 4 there still is something to play for possibly since number 5 in the concept will still promote as well. bigbear isn't in this race any more though since he already lost too many games (on boots) to make a change for the 5th place. All other players have their own fate in their hands.
Group E - Finished
Star of the East 3-2
Tournament Finished. BelSon kind of surprising by finishing in 2nd place followed by Star of the East in 3rd, tomjh in 4th and OilSpotter in 5th. The other 2 places were already confirmed after last weeks update.
Soul Survivor 5-0
Coronel Gavilan 3-1
Bayern München 1-1
no games finished in the last week.
Lugh of the Long Finger 6-7
Belgian Gentleman 1-11
Only 3 players can still win this group.
The first one is Quicksilver who still plays Fluttershy and BADA. If he loses 1 of his games then Mar3i has to lose his game as well, if he loses both his game he doesn't have any changes to win the group but still change to finish in top 2. He is ensured top 3.
Mar3i is the next that can still win. He only plays Fluttershy still and if he wins his game then QuickSilver has to lose at least 1 of his games and he is guaranteed first place. If Quicksilver wins both of his games then Mar3i can't win the group. Winning his game guarantees top 2 finish though no matter what else happens.
Last with a change to win the group is Fluttershy. For this to happen he needs to win all 7 of his remaining games and QuickSilver has to lose against BADA. No other way for him to finish in first, all 3 of them will be at 11-3 record then and he holds H2H over both then. To finish in 2nd he still needs to win all his games but then QuickSilver won against BADA.
The other competitors for top 3 besides FlutterShy are Little-Mouse, SeruM, Meldarion and BADA. Last of them and FlutterShy have much work left to do to actually make this happen and i haven't looked at other 3 how they did against each other so possibly Meldarion has 0% change on top 3 for example even if everything goes in his favor.
I'm not going to look into this right now since i've been busy with this update for the last hour so kind of tired from it and this will be probably another 10 minutes just to get everything correct.