I don't know how to find the exact answer. But you could always make an experiment. I don't think it would be to difficult to collect the data. You probably could accomplish collecting a reasonable sample size pretty quickly.
Yes, perhaps if you can't work out the theory from the ground up with a systematic standpoint of view, you could always instead start from outside observation and then work your way inwards and base your understanding off of noticeable patterns and trends that seem to repeat over a set interval of time.
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