This just shows why your first 4 picks are critical. When making them you should always account for each scenario. If you get your first pick, what should you do. If you lose out on your first pick at least take solace and have a solid game plan around knowing you'll get your #2 and #3.
Personally, if given the choice I would more often prefer foregoing the first pick and instead getting my 2 and 3, especially if I clump them together for a quick 4 set. The advantage of the first pick having an advantage is a myth in my opinion. The sequencing order more than makes up for this.
If your strategy hinges on getting your first pick then you will never be a very strong player.
How getting priority picks wins the game: 4/4/2011 20:55:14