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Yemen in chaos.: 3/27/2015 00:47:57


Eklipse
Level 57
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I just wanted to see what everyone's thoughts were on the emerging situation in Yemen:

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-32061632

It's definitely a bad situation. You've got Saudi Arabia (+Allies) and the Yemen government fighting Iranian backed rebels. Meanwhile you also have Al-Qaeda and a small group of Islamic State just waiting for the chance to stir the pot further. There are a lot of ways this situation could go to hell fast.

Question is: What should be done to stop this from escalating further?
Yemen in chaos.: 3/27/2015 00:57:09


Ariane 5
Level 26
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this kinda stuff can't be stopped by america madly running in to kill people, and you country should remember what kind of a cycle that creates:


Edited 3/27/2015 00:57:16
Yemen in chaos.: 3/27/2015 00:57:35


Ariane 5
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oops didn't realise the GIF would be that big
Yemen in chaos.: 3/27/2015 02:14:24


Piss Flaps the Sly
Level 56
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I agree with Claymore, this is a regional issue.

IS won't develop a foothold there and within 12 months will be all but gone as any sort of real threat worldwide (outside of the occasional bombing all terrorist groups carry out)

AQAP are a powerful group but with Saudi Arabia involved in a military capacity I see them being able to do little.

America almost certainly won't get involved and if they for some reason do it would obviously be on the side of the Saudi's and the government of Hadi. I don't see that happening though.

Overall I see this just furthering the plan to turn the country into 6 separate semi autonomous states (I think it's six but may be wrong) since no one is going to beat the Saudi's militarily and they won't back down to the Iranians.
Yemen in chaos.: 3/27/2015 02:23:45


Thomas 633
Level 56
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what should happen is...
actually IS is hard to fight, in the same way that you can't just get all of MI6 on a battlefield and blow them up, stab them or shoot them to death. IS has only 30,000 men (apparently) but they use it very effectively
Yemen in chaos.: 3/27/2015 02:24:23


Thomas 633
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the problem is there are very few plans on what we SHOULD do, so america and some other nations bluster and if it gets bad enough send some troops
Yemen in chaos.: 3/27/2015 02:40:32


Piss Flaps the Sly
Level 56
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I'm sorry Thomas but that is a terrible comparison.

IS will have lost all their gains in Iraq by the end of the year. Best case for them is that the battle for Mosul will still be ongoing. The problem in defeating them fully will be their territory in Syria ajnd unless Libya gets sorted they may have a foothold there. Sadly I feel the Syrian conflict will end in Bashir's side winning.

The Western coalition is happy to bomb IS targets in Syria now, but once they are driven out of Iraq I feel this will change. Bashir has the support of Hezbollah directly and Iran indirectly, this will be enough to defeat IS and from there the like of Al Nusra, the FSA etc.

The only way the above will end differently, in my mind, is if Western nations decided to get as involved in Syria as they did Libya, and we all know how well that's ended.
Yemen in chaos.: 3/27/2015 04:30:34


Жұқтыру
Level 55
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I think the situation in Yemen is very sad; they're just going to get crapped on by the Islamists and the Americans. It's already started.

There was recently a major Arabian penninsula stock market tumble because folk think that Yemen might be contested by Arabia and Iran.

Update: Arabia just started bombing Yemen today, and it will be the many first in a ten country coalition.

Edited 3/27/2015 04:44:57
Yemen in chaos.: 3/27/2015 09:57:18


Piss Flaps the Sly
Level 56
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Please name some of these countries rather than say a '10 country coalition'

If what I have previously written doesn't happen over the next 12 months I will eat my hat. (I'll need to buy one first.
Yemen in chaos.: 3/27/2015 11:30:25


Thomas 633
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make it a very small hat then...
also here are the bombings:
http://edition.cnn.com/2015/03/26/middleeast/yemen-saudi-arabia-airstrikes/
Yemen in chaos.: 3/27/2015 16:04:15


Жұқтыру
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The ten countries:

Arabia, Bahrain, Egypt, Jordan, Kuwait, Morocco, Qatar, Sudan, Emirate
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