i have posted on like a forum already but i had a 3v2 3v2 and 2v2 while twm missed a 3v2 to get the win :), and arun, chances are much higher for 2v2 if you do them often during pointless expansion like you did, as opposed to getting a key bonus on turn 1 or 2
piggy's right. even if the 5v4 failed, the 2v1 would have wiped you from the russian area. you were too far off from taking aus, you should have just broke his bonus instead.
it was a bit unlucky for you admittedly, but not because of the 5v4 but because you hit the wrong area.