In game http://warlight.net/MultiPlayer?GameID=6356304
, in turn 3 I have bad luck attacking Lycanitis with 3 against 2. Normally with 0% luck, it's 100% a winner.
Why did I have bad luck? No other enemy near, so that's not the problem.
Two turns later, turn 5. I attack Mazaca. Again bad luck.
Turn 8: I try to attack Tibium. Again bad luck.