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Trump is leading the polls: 10/27/2016 15:03:29


Richard Sharpe 
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^^^

Very true. The only reason I would ever consider voting Hillary is to ensure that Trump is not elected. Given that my state is squarely blue it probably doesn't matter but I'm so against Trump that I am still considering holding my nose and voting Clinton just to ensure I did my part to avoid him being elected.

Man, if only Romney or another half-decent republican candidate had run. Weakest democrat candidate in years and Trump is the best the GOP can manage...
Trump is leading the polls: 10/27/2016 15:30:24


Imperator
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No polls are accurate. But they lean one way. You shave a few points for Hillary off, you get a more accurate result. Thus, a poll showing Trump +1 = Trump +3-5


Yeah, there are normally polling errors, but they go both ways. A poll showing R+1 is equally likely to be accurate as to be R+3.5, or D+2.5. There's a reason that a factor called the "margin of error" is normally published along with a poll.




I'd also like to point out that there is basically zero incentive for a polling company to rig data. Besides the fact that polls published by democrat leaning sites are normally conducted by independent polling companies and not the site itself, it's just a terrible idea from a business point of view.

Yeah that's right, pollsters are usually polling companies or private universities. Pretty much the only way they make money is by getting lucrative deals with news sites, and the way they do this is by being really accurate so that their polls are in high demand. Publishing fake numbers only hurts the pollster; If they had any prestige from being accurate in previous elections, all of it instantly vanishes, and if they are a new pollster trying to establish themselves, they become a joke.

Publishing bad numbers so that liberals can have the upper hand in internet debates before the election is honestly against their self interest.
Trump is leading the polls: 10/27/2016 15:45:10

Nauzhror 
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"Trump wants peace not just with Russia, but other countries too. He's said so. "

He's a loose cannon. He doesn't have to declare war to tart wars, he just has to insult or offend other countries world leaders enough that they do so. The man is a foreign affairs disaster waiting to happen.
Trump is leading the polls: 10/27/2016 16:23:59


Remove Kebab
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Voting Clinton is voting for war.

Insulting leaders doesn't start war.

Duturte insulted Obama but did Obama invade the Philippines?

No.

Edited 10/27/2016 16:27:51
Trump is leading the polls: 10/27/2016 16:32:34


Eklipse
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Trump may be antagonistic in personality, but at-least he's more peaceful in policy.

Hillary Clinton, on the other hand, plans to continue the same violent, interventionist tactics that have dominated America's foreign policy.
Trump is leading the polls: 10/27/2016 16:36:26


Ox
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Trump is leading the polls: 10/27/2016 16:40:36

E Masterpierround
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To be fair, Obama can't unilaterally go to war with the Philippines. In other countries, this isn't the case. Also, the situation in the Philippines is weird, because we're allies. Insulting a powerful leader of a foreign country could lead to either war, or that foreign government investing in anti-US terror operations.
Trump is leading the polls: 10/27/2016 17:47:24


Remove Kebab
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If Trump insults a foreign leader then its the foreign leaders problem to deal with it.

An insult is better than full out war, which you'd get if you vote for Hillary.
Trump is leading the polls: 10/27/2016 17:56:34


GeneralPE
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kek Ox anyone with sense knows the geneva conventions do more harm than good
Trump is leading the polls: 10/27/2016 17:59:40


Belgian Gentleman
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@GeneralPE socialism alive in the motherland http://i.imgur.com/wx08mjl.png
Trump is leading the polls: 10/27/2016 19:12:32


Epicular
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@Kebab

Voting Clinton is voting for war.

Insulting leaders doesn't start war.


Trump may or may not start wars by insulting other leaders, but the much more likely scenario is Trump receiving an insult that drives him to start wars. I'm sure you know how thin his skin is; Hillary baits him all the time.

Where is all this "voting Hillary is voting for war" shit coming from? Why is it automatically assumed that Hillary is going to go out and start a bunch of wars for no good reason? Don't even mention her vote for the Iraq invasion, since Trump's running mate voted in favor of that invasion too.

There is no evidence to support that Trump is a rapist, isn't it weird how all these rape accusations are only coming out when Trump decides to run for president? The past 40 years no one has said anything about rape except now, that's strange.


That's entirely due to the Trump tape being released. It made one or two people feel confident enough to come forward, which spurred a chain reaction. Same thing happened with Bill Cosby. Same thing happened with Roger Ailes. Suggesting that this isn't the same kind of situation with Trump and that it's instead an elaborate liberal conspiracy would be foolish.

Killing people? You mean Hillary? Lol

Since you're the master on where the evidence is at, trying to claim that there's any hard evidence that Hillary herself actually killed people is completely, entirely, 100% hypocritical. You can deny that Trump is a rapist, since it's true that no hard evidence supporting that exists yet- but there's also no evidence against Hillary. You can't excuse Trump then turn around and blame Hillary when they're in similar situations. That's called a double standard.
Trump is leading the polls: 10/27/2016 21:36:16


DerWyyy
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Trump has had to much mistakes. Miss Universe, bus tape, racism, making fun of disabled etc. he wont win.

fivethirtyeight is not biased. they state the truth you cannot handle
Trump is leading the polls: 10/27/2016 22:37:50


Remove Kebab
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Hillary wants a no fly zone in Syria but that would require us to go to war with Russia and Syria, generals have even said that.

Hillary has messed up Libya.

The media is biased against Trump, 40 years is more than enough to speak out, and there's been like 10 women so far, and considering the media pays people to protest Trump, it's not unlikely that the accusations against Trump are false.

And Trump isn't racist, he supports Mexicans and blacks, even Obamas half brother endorses Trump.
Trump is leading the polls: 10/27/2016 22:53:05


Жұқтыру
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Went to war with a core power? I miss something?


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_in_North-West_Pakistan

though it's not quite right to say that it's war with Pakistan, Pakistan specifically said they wouldn't let America in, and most Pakis believe that they're at war with America. I think the actual phrase is "violating international sovereignty of a core power".

how much do they pay you to shill on Mongolian Yurt building forums?


rats he found our HQ

http://www.yurtforum.com/forums/

trump will win motivates anti-Trump voters, so the more you say it, the less likely it is to be true.


Yes the more motivation behind a voter the more his vote will count. I heard that Lukashenka was so motivated to re-elect himself that all the other votes combined weren't worth as much.

One motivated man.

at-least he's more peaceful in policy.


uh no. That's all there is to it, the only bit more peaceful than Clinton is that he wants calmer relations with Russia, but last I checked, they weren't at war anyway. He's still for going on with the war in all the countries USA is in. Let's also not forget his policy on ignoring war conventions.

would require us to go to war with Russia and Syria


oh yes denying military access to a country to a semi-strategic foreign land will bring war, not crippling sanctions. And I think Clinton said something like she would only attack SAR if it was internationally approved.

The media is biased against Trump


uh there's loads of media. But not in Russian-paid.

Trump isn't racist


oh yes the man who said Christians and Americans would go first in American policy isn't racist, not at all.
Trump is leading the polls: 10/27/2016 23:50:39


Eklipse
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An American president wanting to focus on Americans?!

How racist!
Trump is leading the polls: 10/28/2016 00:03:32


Жұқтыру
Level 56
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not focus, put first*

to be fair though, that's nearly every American president or their rhetor since the beginning

Edited 10/28/2016 00:04:05
Trump is leading the polls: 10/28/2016 00:09:18


Richard Sharpe 
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Focusing on Americans isn't the worst approach. Focusing on Christians (or any religion) is. Flies directly in the face of the Constitution
Trump is leading the polls: 10/28/2016 00:22:30


Remove Kebab
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If a certain religion is dangerous, we shall ups focus on that religion.

Focusing on American is the best approach? !

Globalism will end when Trump gets elected.

Another reason to vote Trump.
Trump is leading the polls: 10/28/2016 03:42:25


DerWyyy
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many world leaders said they dislike Trump(except Putin). Libya was messed up before hillary and Benghazi. and yes, Donald J Trump is indeed racist...and sexist....
Trump is leading the polls: 10/28/2016 05:04:54


Major General Smedley Butler
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The advantage of non-democracy is not having to put up with this bs every four years
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