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:# For a single 4vs2 attack the chance is 93%.
 
:# For a single 4vs2 attack the chance is 93%.
 
:# To get the extra bonus armies next turn, all 3 attacks have to succeed, so your combined chances of taking that bonus are:<br>
 
:# To get the extra bonus armies next turn, all 3 attacks have to succeed, so your combined chances of taking that bonus are:<br>
71% x 71% x 93% = '''~46,8%'''
+
71% x 71% x 93% = '''~47%'''
 +
 
 
# Bonus 2:
 
# Bonus 2:
 
:# You are missing 2 territories, one with 2 neutrals and the other one with 4 neutrals.
 
:# You are missing 2 territories, one with 2 neutrals and the other one with 4 neutrals.
 
:# Single chance for the 3 vs. 2 attack: 71%
 
:# Single chance for the 3 vs. 2 attack: 71%
 
:# Single chance for the 7 vs. 4 attack: 84%
 
:# Single chance for the 7 vs. 4 attack: 84%
:# Combined odds:
+
:# Combined odds:<br>
71% x 84% = '''~59,6%'''
+
71% x 84% = '''~60%'''
  
 
So in this case the odds for completing the 2nd bonus are significantly better than for the 1st one.
 
So in this case the odds for completing the 2nd bonus are significantly better than for the 1st one.
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;Note:In ladder games the [[Luck Modifier|luck modifier]] is lower (16%), so the results look a bit different:
 
;Note:In ladder games the [[Luck Modifier|luck modifier]] is lower (16%), so the results look a bit different:
  
#Bonus 1:
+
Bonus 1:<br>
:79% x 79% x 100% = '''~62,4%'''
+
79% x 79% x 100% = '''~62%'''
#Bonus 2:
+
 
:79% x 98% = '''~77,4%'''
+
Bonus 2:<br>
 +
79% x 98% = '''~77%'''
  
 
==Hiding your income==
 
==Hiding your income==

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