Editing Advanced Strategy
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:# For a single 4vs2 attack the chance is 93%. | :# For a single 4vs2 attack the chance is 93%. | ||
:# To get the extra bonus armies next turn, all 3 attacks have to succeed, so your combined chances of taking that bonus are:<br> | :# To get the extra bonus armies next turn, all 3 attacks have to succeed, so your combined chances of taking that bonus are:<br> | ||
− | 71% x 71% x 93% = '''~ | + | 71% x 71% x 93% = '''~47%''' |
+ | |||
# Bonus 2: | # Bonus 2: | ||
:# You are missing 2 territories, one with 2 neutrals and the other one with 4 neutrals. | :# You are missing 2 territories, one with 2 neutrals and the other one with 4 neutrals. | ||
:# Single chance for the 3 vs. 2 attack: 71% | :# Single chance for the 3 vs. 2 attack: 71% | ||
:# Single chance for the 7 vs. 4 attack: 84% | :# Single chance for the 7 vs. 4 attack: 84% | ||
− | :# Combined odds: | + | :# Combined odds:<br> |
− | 71% x 84% = '''~ | + | 71% x 84% = '''~60%''' |
So in this case the odds for completing the 2nd bonus are significantly better than for the 1st one. | So in this case the odds for completing the 2nd bonus are significantly better than for the 1st one. | ||
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;Note:In ladder games the [[Luck Modifier|luck modifier]] is lower (16%), so the results look a bit different: | ;Note:In ladder games the [[Luck Modifier|luck modifier]] is lower (16%), so the results look a bit different: | ||
− | + | Bonus 1:<br> | |
− | + | 79% x 79% x 100% = '''~62%''' | |
− | + | ||
− | + | Bonus 2:<br> | |
+ | 79% x 98% = '''~77%''' | ||
==Hiding your income== | ==Hiding your income== |