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What are the best picks?: 6/4/2015 00:52:53

Hennns
Level 58
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@Sep. ofc not, but keep in mind picking isn't my strongest side :p

I'd proably go smt like:
EA
Scand
WR
North Africa (?)
CA (?)
SA

Though my picks would definitely change depending on my opponent, that's proably what I'd pick against someone I don't know.


I've not looked on other suggestions, and thus do not have any comment on them btw.
What are the best picks?: 6/4/2015 08:17:21


Sephiroth
Level 61
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@Chris: only because i picked carelessly because i expected the average 1v1 auto-game :P SA is obviously better than CA there
What are the best picks?: 6/4/2015 16:41:00


ZippyChippy 
Level 55
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And this is why I get killed ..... why are my would be picks so awful ! ! !
1 North Africa
2 West Africa
3 East Africa
4 5 6 any order SA Scan SEA

Cluster yes but two borders to defend bonuses and plow through SA CA would be my approach
What are the best picks?: 6/4/2015 21:18:09


hedja 
Level 61
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Disagree.. If I get one from my 1/2 and one from my 3/4 and miss out on SEA, I'm better placed with my counter in Xinjiang.
If I get one from my 1/2 and both from my 3/4 I'm still placed well, since I have a combo(WR) which I can complete in 2 turns, whereas SEA can only be taken in 3 turns. Is there any other combination I'm missing out on here?


Half the time with your picks vs Szew's you will get SA + West Russia + Scan vs CA + SEA + Greenland (case 1) other half it will be CA + Scan + Xinjiang vs SA + West Russia + SEA (case 2).

Case 1: You are able to take West Russia in 2 turns while he takes SA in 2 turns as long as he doesn't get too unlucky (not sure about the exact luck on taking a 4 bonus from 1 start in 2 turns) - you probably have the better positioning because of svalbard, you take it you will get scan in 2 turns (conservatively) and if he takes sea it will be hard for him to break. So if the picks are like this, overall I would say win for you.

Case 2: The only chance you have of taking a bonus is CA and that only works if he takes SA in the first 2 turns instead of trying to stop you. Scan is too easily counterable and visible from West Russia, and West China is out of the question. The only options for you are to go for elimination in West Russia or to take CA - I'm sure szew would do something that makes it nearly 100% win no matter what you do, although I can't at the moment, as he definitely has better positioning. Overall I think with your 2 picks you may have a slight advantage overall.

However when I was comparing your picks and saying I preferred Szew's that is because most of the people here said that they would pick SA/CA as their 1,2 or maybe Aus combo (which is probably worse but still an option) and his safe pick 3 meant that he would have 1 border in America, 1 safe pick in SEA first and then hopefully for him 1 pick around Scan next to 2 of their picks, giving him the advantage (in my opinion) over yours where you could end up with a double pick in Scan vs 1 in europe for instance, a border in america and they have a safe one in asia or oceania or africa.

And this is why I get killed ..... why are my would be picks so awful ! ! !
1 North Africa
2 West Africa
3 East Africa
4 5 6 any order SA Scan SEA

Cluster yes but two borders to defend bonuses and plow through SA CA would be my approach


Having 3 in Africa is very inefficient, because even though as you said you have less borders, if they picked the first turn bonus you are in a much worse position - however the only good thing about your picks is that if they went SA / CA combo, and a counter in Scan, they could waste a lot of troops trying to find you around Scan, and if you take Brazil with 6 the turn they plan on finishing SA you will definitely be in the better position. However, I definitely do not suggest for going for a picking strategy which relies on the other player wasting armies because your picks are so unorthodox, much safer to go for better bonuses (income/territory).

@Chris: only because i picked carelessly because i expected the average 1v1 auto-game :P SA is obviously better than CA there


Seph this is why I suggest you always have a sneaky peek of the other person's profile before you start a game, when I saw you were an oldie from 2012, you 2v2 in the ladder with Bjarke and your win percentages are 73, 69, 82 I needed to play risky :D
What are the best picks?: 6/4/2015 23:07:27


Sephiroth
Level 61
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(not sure about the exact luck on taking a 4 bonus from 1 start in 2 turns)


84.64% if you can attack from both the territories you take the first turn
70~75% if there's a dead end

Edited 6/4/2015 23:12:57
What are the best picks?: 6/4/2015 23:44:36


Timinator • apex 
Level 67
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@hedja: Problem in Indo it's a garantueed 3rd turn bonus. you could end up in awkward position against someone with a 2nd turn bonus

Edited 6/5/2015 04:09:26
What are the best picks?: 6/5/2015 05:53:02


Sephiroth
Level 61
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when I saw you were an oldie from 2012


I created this account in 2012 but i only started playing at the end of this january... for the few months i played back in 2012, it was only 3v3 with friends against randoms (just like the poon squads do :P ) and that's why i have 82%
So I am a legit noob
What are the best picks?: 6/5/2015 06:38:23


hedja 
Level 61
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Timi: Isn't is the same as having SEA as your safe bouns, except that it is definitely safer and you need to take 1 more territory for 1 more income? Also with Indo you can stop them from having SEA and from having Aus, and in this game where I didn't know where the enemy was going to be I wanted to be certain that they didnt have any bonuses around there and that mine was safe.

Seph: Just because they may be inflated from playing random bad guys in open RT games while you're with teammates doesn't mean that in reality they are more of a 50%, it's still impressive and means you're probably going to understand standard good strategy :D
What are the best picks?: 6/5/2015 07:00:26


[WM] Gnuffone 
Level 60
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SA > CA is pretty obvious.
i think the only way to pick here is
1 SA
2 CA
3 SEA
4 scan
5 Greenland
6 russia

africa as 3 isn't viable bc if you get 1 2 3 you lost bc no exp.

however you could go for australia combo and pick as 3 eu as blind counter. AA combo > sa+ca probably, but if your opponent is smart enoguh to pick SEA as 3rd as szew suggested earlier you basically lost at picks.
What are the best picks?: 6/5/2015 07:15:51


hedja 
Level 61
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AA combo > sa+ca probably


Are you sure Gnuff? If you both have your 3rd pick in scan the player in america can eliminate player in aus before turn 3, unless player in aus doesnt go for 2 turn combo, in which case player in america has income advantage going into turn 3. This is of course assuming that as soon as you see you have both americas you need to clear him out of scan before he gets his safe picks as well.
What are the best picks?: 6/5/2015 07:35:11


[WM] Gnuffone 
Level 60
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if you go aggresive in North, i will run in turn 2 while finishing my +5 AA. so it's 50% :P
if you eliminante me you won, if i run i will be 10v8 income and i will win probably
What are the best picks?: 6/5/2015 17:20:11


ChrisCMU 
Level 61
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I wish we had more of these threads and less of the dumb OT crap on here.
What are the best picks?: 6/5/2015 19:59:33


hedja 
Level 61
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I'm not sure about the exact 50% chance of you getting 1st move, getting a 3vs2 and take the aus bonus, but let's call it that anyway ;)

Me too Chris, I think more people should put interesting picks like this on the forum for people to discuss, it's always fun to talk about what everyone would do - I think most players just can't be bothered.
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