Group A

Favourites for top 3

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1. huddyj 2. Master Bjarke 3. Buns157 (still possible)

Player (Win-Loss)

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huddyj (5-1) Predicted 1st
Buns157 (5-1) Predicted 3rd
Gibs (4-2)
BenSeu (3-0)
rocky1 (3-5)
Kevin Turner (2-4)
mslasm (2-4)
Pantelas (1-6)
slejer (1-2)
Master Bjarke (1-2) Predicted 2nd

Since last update, I've edged ahead of Buns with the win against him to claim the lead. Buns is still looking solid though, so I had better not slip up. Gibs is also in the hunt, holding a tie-break over me should I lose another game. Master Bjarke is off to a slow start, but Group A first-timer, BenSeu, is showing he's got what it takes to mix it with the best. He has already beaten last season's runner up, Master Bjarke, and Group A regulars Pantelas and rocky1. Predicted top 3 is still possible, but Bjarke especially will need to get a wriggle on, currently sitting at the bottom of Group A!

Edited 2/10/2016 12:19:59

Thanks!

Group B

Favourites for top 3

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1. Arkanton 2. TWOLKER 3. smileyleg (2nd-3rd still possible)

Player (Win-Loss) (Position)

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Dacian Novac (7-1) (1st) Not predicted as top 3
smileyleg (6-1) (2nd) Predicted 3rd
Lampião (4-4)
TWOLKER (3-2) Predicted 2nd
KingNorbs (3-5)
Panagiotis (3-4)
Arkanton (2-4) Predicted 1st
indibob (2-5)
kirdol (2-6)

Since last update:
smileyleg has locked down second place with a tie-break win over TWOLKER. TWOLKER has put on a couple of wins to climb to 4th in this group, but looks good for top 3, as he's the only player outside the top two with a winning record (3-2). Arkanton can only make top 3 if he beats smileyleg and TWOLKER in his last two games, and TWOLKER loses at least 1 other game. Panagiotis is the only other player who can make it to top 3. (Lampião may have a remote chance if results fall a particular way, but I don't think it's realistic)

Group C

Favourites for top 3

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1. Master Turtle 2. Алексей 3. Don (not possible)

Player (Win-Loss) (Position

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Алексей (7-0) (1st) Predicted 2nd
slydog384 (6-3)
iNsAnE (5-2)
Don (5-2) Predicted 3rd
ARand0mPlayer (5-4)
Kent (3-4)
Master Turtle (2-3) Predicted 1st
Ryzys (1-3)
BlacKnight (1-5)
Legacy (0-9) All boot losses

Алексей has taken control of this group, and can't lose top spot even if he doesn't win another game. Well done! slydog finished the season strongly, but will need to wait on iNsAnE and Don to see if he's done enough to qualify for the top 3 and promotion to Group B. Don should finish top 3, with a tie-break over slydog meaning 1 win in his last two matches will be enough. iNsAnE has tricky games against Kent and Master Turtle left, as well as losing the tie to slydog, so he's still got some work to do to wrap up a promotion. Turtle can theoretically end up top 3, but has lost some crucial tie-breaks so I can't see it happening.

Master Turtle is 9th now with his 5 losses and the tie-break loss vs BlacKnight.
Did not see this coming.

Group D

Favourites for top 3

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1. cookie 2. Bonsai 3. Wenyun (highly unlikely)

Player (Win-Loss)

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zanbato (7-2)
Bonsai (7-1) Predicted 2nd
Matt431 (6-2)
cookie (6-2) Predicted 1st
Corvus5 (3-5)
Prabster Realm (3-5)
boorzuur (2-6)
Fleecemaster (2-6)
Des (1-7) all boot losses
Wenyun (0-1) Predicted 3rd

zanbato currently sits top of this group, with a win over Bonsai. To win, Bonsai just needs to beat Wenyun, who is hard to read with only 1 completed match (a loss to zanbato). Matt and cookie both have wins over zanbato, so if they and Bonsai all beat Wenyun, zanbato will miss the top 3 completely! Wenyun can win the group by winning all 8 remaining matches (a long shot)

Edited 2/12/2016 05:01:35

I don't know, I wouldn't put it past Wenyun... Although that also means he has to beat me... ^_^

Am I defo getting relagated even if I win my last match against him?

Group E

Favourites for top 3

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1. ALE 2. Taji 3. Szwenk (not possible)

Player (Win-Loss) (Position)

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Baer (7-2)
PhucilliJerry (7-2)
szwenk (6-2) Predicted 3rd
Taji (5-3) Predicted 2nd
skull11244 (5-4)(5th)
Winged Hussars (4-5) (6th)
ALE (4-5) (7th) Predicted 1st
ipg (3-6) (8th)
japan77 (2-6) (9th)
DanetDuo (1-8) (10th)

Just one match left to play in Group E, and it's crucial to the results at the top end! If szwenk beats Taji, he creates a 3-way tie for 1st with Baer and PJ. On count-back, Pj would be 1st, szwenk 2nd, and Baer 3rd. If Taji can beat szwenk, however, Baer wins, PJ comes in 2nd, and Taji would take 3rd. All other places are decided, with group favourite, ALE, finishing in 7th position, narrowly avoiding a relegation.

I will soon be publishing this season's P/R Guide, so stay tuned to see the promotion and relegation slots awarded to each group. There will be at least 3 promotions per group (excluding Group A) and 2 relegations per group (excluding Groups G1 & G2).

Thanks for hosting, huddyj. I was mostly happy with my tournament, until I realized my bad picks against Matt could actually cost me top 3! I'm cheering for Wenyun :)

Edited 2/12/2016 05:13:36

Well, if I go down, I go down... ;)

Group F

Favourites for top 3

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1. Ink Splatoon 2. Mr. Legi 3. large shrimp (Mr. Legi was inactive)

Player (Win-Loss) (Position)

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Ink Splatoon (7-0) (1st) Predicted 1st
large shrimp (6-1) (2nd) Predicted 2nd
Coronel Gavilan (4-2)
Skilled (4-2)
Oilspotter (3-4) (5th)
lh70 (2-5) (6th)
Masterpierround (1-6) (7th) all boot losses
Mr. Legi (0-7) (8th) all boot losses (Predicted 3rd)

Group F has just the sudden death (as far as promotions go) match between Coronel Gavilan and Skilled left to be completed. The winner will finish 3rd and gain promotion, the loser will finish 4th and is almost certain to miss the promotions. With Mr. Legi's inactivity, Skilled would be the next favourite for a top 3 spot, so this group looks like it might deliver just what was expected after all. Can Coronel Gavilan defy the predictions and claim the promotion?

Group G1

Favourites for top 3

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1. Oh Noes 2. Hades 3. INSIDE (3-way tie for 1st!)

Player (Win-Loss)

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Hades (7-1)(1-1) Predicted 2nd
INSIDE (7-1)(1-1) Predicted 3rd
Oh Noes (7-1)(1-1) Predicted 1st
ViralGoat (4-4)(1-0) (4th)
graemes (4-4)(0-1) (5th)
j willy 47 (2-5)
Zombiegriz (2-6)
New Luna Republic (1-5)
mario1995 (0-7)

Well, the 3-way unbreakable tie for 1st has happened! The tie-break tournament has started, with Hades reversing his group result against Oh Noes to take the early lead. For those wishing to follow their progress, here is the tie-break tournament link: https://www.warlight.net/MultiPlayer/Tournament?ID=17492

Hades (1-0)
INSIDE (0-0)
Oh Noes (0-1)

Group G2

Favourites for top 3

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1. AI 2. Turkish 3. Ameter (not going to happen)

Player (Win-Loss)

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DR. Love (6-1)
Leo (5-2)
Turkish (5-2) Predicted 2nd
AI (3-4) Predicted 1st
AyushTheGreat (3-5)
Super Smoove (2-0)
Noobster11 (2-4)
Ameter (2-4) Predicted 3rd
Oxygen (1-7) (9th)

Super Smoove is the unknown factor in Group G2. No wins over any of the top four yet, though, so he'll still need to prove himself. I expect the current top 3 to remain unchanged from here. Each needs only to play against Super Smoove, and I just don't have a clue how those are likely to play out.

The placings that are allready decided (note I did it a bit quick so I may have made mistakes). Feel free to tell me other ranks that are final and I will update those :)

A:

B:
1st Dacian Novac (0 people guessed this)
2nd Smileyleg (4 people guessed this)

C:
Алексей (7 people guessed)

D:

E:

F:
1st Ink Splatoon (8 people guessed right)
2nd Large Shrimp (1 guy guessed right - and it was me! :D)

G1:

G2:


Current rankings in the guessing game
12 p Master Bjarke (guessed 4 out of 5 exactly right!)
9 p OxTheArtist
6 p Bear, mario1995 and Huddyj
5 p Ryzys, Buns, Mr. Legi, Hades and Bonsai80
4 p mslasm, Master Turtle and Panagiotis
3 p zanbato, INSIDE, and Des
2 p j willy, and E Masterpierround
0 p Fleecemaster and PhucilliJerry


Of course if I happened to win this, then whoever is 2nd will get the coins (but not the bragging rights!). However note that so far only the first 15 of 72 points is decided, so nothing is settled yet. Except that Fleecemaster cant win because he can only get 9 points total due to having only predicted his own group of course.

Edit: Average Joe (if we take the favorite predictions and use that as predictor) have 6 points currently. I am excited to see if this pooling of knowledge will remain competitive. I for one expect it to finish in the top quarter of people, although I would be surprised to see it win. (the average points is 4,45 atm)

Edited 2/12/2016 20:04:21

Can Ox actually be in the comp? I thought it was just for small earth league participants? Nice work being so convincingly ahead though, Bjarke!

I dont see any reason to exclude non-participants, so I would say, yes he can :). Not playing would probably be a disadvantage as it would probably mean that you have less feeling with the small earth skills of the players.

Edit: And at least I can do good here, since I am doing so awfull in the actual tournaments

Edited 2/12/2016 20:07:54

You've only had this season's poor performance. Every other season, you've played amazing! And I also think it's good to have some 'outside' interest in this league. I hope Ox decides to join up for the next season. :)

Love the frequent updates to this! I got all of the top players in my league at the start and then the boot win xD I've turned my game around and even beat Don :D I'll be staying in C again most likely unless tie breakers crap on me

Do our points count from our own group predictions? in that case we'd have to exclude one of ox's predictions. And also our group is finished. wp inside.